Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $83.5200 (-0.11%) ($83.4200 - $83.5900) on Mon. Apr. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.24% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $83.5200(-0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BND advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(70%)    TLT(63%)    TIP(57%)    BNDX(52%)    BWX(43%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-65%)    UUP(-23%)    DIA(-7%)    XHB(-5%)    XOP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.12% (StdDev 0.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $83.5(0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.43(0.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.39(0.16%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   1.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.16% (three month std-dev: 0.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.06%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.2%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.1%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150520

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_20_2015	83.04	83.39	83.43	83.5	83.51	83.53	83.52(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	0	10	19	2.46	44%	0	75	0.24%	0	1	60	0
2	Apr_17_2015	83.04	83.38	83.42	83.45	83.5	83.51	83.61(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	0	18	22	1.69	44%	0.01	93.8	0.24%	0	1.8	67	0
3	Apr_16_2015	83.03	83.36	83.42	83.37	83.44	83.51	83.47(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	10	9	13	1.29	42%	0.01	87.5	0.25%	0	0.8	67	0
4	Apr_15_2015	83.02	83.35	83.4	83.34	83.39	83.5	83.49(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	28	10	30	22	1.02	46%	0.01	106.3	0.25%	0	1.1	53	0
5	Apr_14_2015	83.01	83.32	83.39	83.33	83.39	83.38	83.41(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	0	16	11	1.4	46%	0.01	100	0.25%	0	0.6	46	0

6	Apr_13_2015	83	83.29	83.38	83.35	83.35	83.29	83.26(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10	-16	-2	6.05	46%	0	95.8	0.26%	0	-0.2	47	0
7	Apr_10_2015	83	83.26	83.37	83.39	83.39	83.33	83.24(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-10	-27	-1	4.29	46%	0	90	0.25%	0	-0.1	49	0
8	Apr_9_2015	83	83.24	83.36	83.43	83.45	83.41	83.28(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-10	-0	-16	7	1.03	46%	0	85.3	0.26%	0	0.1	57	0
9	Apr_8_2015	83	83.21	83.36	83.47	83.45	83.46	83.46(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-0	-2	22	3.47	46%	0.01	83.8	0.26%	0	0.8	53	0
10	Apr_7_2015	82.99	83.16	83.37	83.45	83.47	83.48	83.52(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	0	5	39	0.98	46%	0.01	77.5	0.26%	0	1.1	66	0

11	Apr_6_2015	82.98	83.1	83.36	83.41	83.44	83.49	83.47(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	10	18	51	1.77	48%	0	60	0.26%	0	1	67	0
12	Apr_2_2015	82.98	83.04	83.34	83.35	83.38	83.46	83.4(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	10	27	64	0.79	52%	0.01	41.2	0.26%	0	0.9	68	0
13	Apr_1_2015	82.97	83	83.31	83.29	83.31	83.39	83.51(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	10	27	66	3.13	52%	0	33.3	0.26%	0	1.2	68	0
14	Mar_31_2015	82.97	82.95	83.29	83.26	83.24	83.31	83.37(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	10	6	74	2	52%	0.01	24.5	0.26%	0	1	67	0
15	Mar_30_2015	82.96	82.91	83.24	83.29	83.28	83.24	83.28(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	27	-0	6	88	1.63	52%	0	20.8	0.26%	0	0.9	68	0

16	Mar_27_2015	82.96	82.91	83.2	83.3	83.32	83.18	83.18(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10	-33	91	6.54	52%	0	21.3	0.26%	0	0.8	72	0
17	Mar_26_2015	82.96	82.87	83.15	83.3	83.35	83.32	83.1(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-0	-29	111	2.34	52%	0.01	28.3	0.26%	0	0.6	72	0
18	Mar_25_2015	82.95	82.86	83.11	83.3	83.37	83.46	83.37(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	10	22	136	1.56	54%	0	31.9	0.26%	0	1.3	63	0
19	Mar_24_2015	82.95	82.85	83.04	83.33	83.3	83.39	83.5(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	10	45	150	2.3	54%	0.01	39.1	0.26%	0	1.7	67	0
20	Mar_23_2015	82.94	82.82	82.94	83.19	83.21	83.28	83.36(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	60	10	37	128	1.57	49%	0	42.9	0.26%	0	1.5	65	0

21	Mar_20_2015	82.94	82.79	82.83	83.08	83.08	83.22	83.32(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	52	10	37	96	1.01	49%	0.01	35	0.28%	0	1.6	62	0
22	Mar_19_2015	82.93	82.76	82.71	82.93	82.97	83.15	83.1(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	20	58	62	1.21	50%	0	18.9	0.28%	0	1.1	48	0
23	Mar_18_2015	82.93	82.73	82.65	82.85	82.83	82.95	83.35(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	46	10	49	37	5.53	51%	0	8.3	0.28%	0	2.1	53	0
24	Mar_17_2015	82.93	82.7	82.57	82.71	82.75	82.79	82.84(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	17	0	26	-10	1.47	46%	0	-9.1	0.27%	0	0.5	38	0
25	Mar_16_2015	82.93	82.68	82.53	82.65	82.7	82.71	82.77(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	0	17	-38	1.2	48%		-27.3	0.27%	0	0.3	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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