Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $83.4700 (0.08%) ($83.3900 - $83.6100) on Mon. Apr. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.26% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $83.4700(0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BND advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(70%)    TLT(63%)    TIP(57%)    BNDX(52%)    BWX(43%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-65%)    UUP(-23%)    DIA(-7%)    XHB(-5%)    XOP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.13% (StdDev 0.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $83.41(0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.36(0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.1(0.45%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.45% (three month std-dev: 0.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150506

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_6_2015	82.98	83.1	83.36	83.41	83.44	83.49	83.47(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	10	18	51	1.77	48%	0	60	0.26%	0	1	67	0
2	Apr_2_2015	82.98	83.04	83.34	83.35	83.38	83.46	83.4(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	10	27	64	0.79	52%	0.01	41.2	0.26%	0	0.9	68	0
3	Apr_1_2015	82.97	83	83.31	83.29	83.31	83.39	83.51(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	10	27	66	3.13	52%	0	33.3	0.26%	0	1.2	68	0
4	Mar_31_2015	82.97	82.95	83.29	83.26	83.24	83.31	83.37(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	10	6	74	2	52%	0.01	24.5	0.26%	0	1	67	0
5	Mar_30_2015	82.96	82.91	83.24	83.29	83.28	83.24	83.28(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	27	-0	6	88	1.63	52%	0	20.8	0.26%	0	0.9	68	0

6	Mar_27_2015	82.96	82.91	83.2	83.3	83.32	83.18	83.18(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10	-33	91	6.54	52%	0	21.3	0.26%	0	0.8	72	0
7	Mar_26_2015	82.96	82.87	83.15	83.3	83.35	83.32	83.1(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-0	-29	111	2.34	52%	0.01	28.3	0.26%	0	0.6	72	0
8	Mar_25_2015	82.95	82.86	83.11	83.3	83.37	83.46	83.37(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	10	22	136	1.56	54%	0	31.9	0.26%	0	1.3	63	0
9	Mar_24_2015	82.95	82.85	83.04	83.33	83.3	83.39	83.5(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	10	45	150	2.3	54%	0.01	39.1	0.26%	0	1.7	67	0
10	Mar_23_2015	82.94	82.82	82.94	83.19	83.21	83.28	83.36(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	60	10	37	128	1.57	49%	0	42.9	0.26%	0	1.5	65	0

11	Mar_20_2015	82.94	82.79	82.83	83.08	83.08	83.22	83.32(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	52	10	37	96	1.01	49%	0.01	35	0.28%	0	1.6	62	0
12	Mar_19_2015	82.93	82.76	82.71	82.93	82.97	83.15	83.1(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	20	58	62	1.21	50%	0	18.9	0.28%	0	1.1	48	0
13	Mar_18_2015	82.93	82.73	82.65	82.85	82.83	82.95	83.35(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	46	10	49	37	5.53	51%	0	8.3	0.28%	0	2.1	53	0
14	Mar_17_2015	82.93	82.7	82.57	82.71	82.75	82.79	82.84(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	17	0	26	-10	1.47	46%	0	-9.1	0.27%	0	0.5	38	0
15	Mar_16_2015	82.93	82.7	82.53	82.65	82.7	82.79	82.77(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	0	17	-38	1.2	48%	0	-27.3	0.27%	0	0.3	39	0

16	Mar_13_2015	82.93	82.68	82.52	82.54	82.63	82.71	82.61(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	10	26	-54	2.11	48%	0	-42.4	0.27%	0	-0.3	46	0
17	Mar_12_2015	82.93	82.7	82.56	82.44	82.53	82.68	82.69(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	20	20	44	-54	8.42	50%	-0.01	-61.8	0.27%	0	-0	51	0
18	Mar_11_2015	82.94	82.71	82.58	82.42	82.53	82.54	82.63(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	10	10	31	-52	4.83	50%	0	-79.4	0.28%	0	-0.3	50	0
19	Mar_10_2015	82.94	82.72	82.64	82.42	82.38	82.37	82.54(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	-0	25	-46	3.77	51%	-0.01	-94.3	0.28%	0	-0.6	47	0
20	Mar_9_2015	82.95	82.75	82.7	82.41	82.4	82.22	82.22(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-20	-49	-62	1.98	49%	-0.01	-105.6	0.27%	0	-1.8	47	0

21	Mar_6_2015	82.96	82.8	82.76	82.49	82.49	82.39	82.12(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-68	-10	-71	-57	1.58	50%	-0.01	-123.5	0.27%	0	-2.4	39	0
22	Mar_5_2015	82.97	82.88	82.82	82.69	82.65	82.58	82.6(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10	-21	-17	1.34	52%	0	-108.6	0.27%	0	-1	42	0
23	Mar_4_2015	82.97	82.93	82.83	82.77	82.76	82.59	82.55(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-43	-10	-49	-24	1.43	52%	-0.01	-85.7	0.27%	0	-1.1	42	0
24	Mar_3_2015	82.98	83	82.83	82.91	82.89	82.71	82.55(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-53	-20	-65	-15	2.65	52%	-0.01	-66	0.27%	0	-1.2	42	0
25	Mar_2_2015	82.99	83.07	82.85	83.03	83.03	82.92	82.65(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-27	-10	-35	-1	2.48	52%		-47.2	0.27%	0	-1	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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