Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $82.9500 (-0.18%) ($82.9000 - $83.0400) on Tue. Feb. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.27% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $82.9500(-0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BND declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(70%)    TLT(63%)    TIP(58%)    BNDX(52%)    BWX(43%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-65%)    UUP(-23%)    DIA(-6%)    XHB(-5%)    XOP(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.135% (StdDev 0.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $83.64
5 Day Moving Average   $83.34(-0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.66(-0.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.64(-0.82%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.39% (three month std-dev: 0.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_10_2015	83.02	83.64	83.66	83.34	83.27	83.08	82.95(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-63	-20	-62	-67	1.45	57%	0	5.1	0.27%	0	-2.1	44	INF
2	Feb_9_2015	83.02	83.67	83.74	83.51	83.46	83.22	83.1(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-75	-20	-84	-49	1.38	57%	0	30.6	0.27%	0	-1.9	43	INF
3	Feb_6_2015	83.02	83.67	83.8	83.71	83.64	83.47	83.13(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-71	-20	-87	-24	2.91	57%	0	55.6	0.27%	0	-1.8	42	INF
4	Feb_5_2015	83.02	83.68	83.87	83.95	83.83	83.71	83.67(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-21	-10	-38	31	2.13	62%	0.02	88.9	0.26%	0	-0	44	INF
5	Feb_4_2015	83	83.66	83.86	84	83.97	83.8	83.85(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-17	-20	-35	37	2.95	62%	0.01	102.6	0.26%	0	0.6	56	INF

6	Feb_3_2015	82.99	83.62	83.82	84.02	84.01	83.95	83.82(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-15	-10	-34	44	1.24	62%	0.02	109.8	0.26%	0	0.6	59	INF
7	Feb_2_2015	82.97	83.58	83.8	84	84	84.14	84.08(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	10	29	72	6.07	65%	0.04	111.4	0.26%	0	1.4	65	INF
8	Jan_30_2015	82.94	83.51	83.76	83.91	83.94	84.07	84.35(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	78	10	73	92	10.47	68%	0.04	102.1	0.25%	0	2.1	72	INF
9	Jan_29_2015	82.91	83.41	83.71	83.78	83.79	83.86	83.89(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	10	27	81	1.55	65%	0.02	114.3	0.24%	0	1.4	70	INF
10	Jan_28_2015	82.89	83.33	83.67	83.7	83.74	83.8	83.98(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	47	10	36	79	1.39	65%	0.04	87.8	0.25%	0	1.6	67	INF

11	Jan_27_2015	82.86	83.25	83.61	83.59	83.66	83.72	83.68(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	10	15	64	1.15	63%	0.02	69.8	0.24%	0	1	64	INF
12	Jan_26_2015	82.84	83.17	83.58	83.57	83.62	83.68	83.63(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	10	12	70	7.81	63%	0.01	57.6	0.25%	0	0.9	68	INF
13	Jan_23_2015	82.83	83.1	83.54	83.58	83.63	83.61	83.73(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	0	2	85	6.26	63%	0.04	48.4	0.25%	0	1.2	74	INF
14	Jan_22_2015	82.8	83.01	83.47	83.63	83.64	83.57	83.46(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10	-24	101	2.16	60%	0.01	43.8	0.25%	0	0.8	75	INF
15	Jan_21_2015	82.79	82.98	83.45	83.65	83.64	83.65	83.44(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	27	-0	-9	136	2.47	60%	0.02	42	0.25%	0	0.8	76	INF

16	Jan_20_2015	82.77	82.94	83.42	83.64	83.69	83.7	83.6(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	47	0	7	166	3.03	60%	0.02	38.9	0.25%	0	1.1	81	INF
17	Jan_16_2015	82.75	82.89	83.35	83.58	83.61	83.74	83.69(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	73	10	33	191	3.63	60%	0.04	39.1	0.25%	0	1.4	85	INF
18	Jan_15_2015	82.72	82.84	83.25	83.48	83.5	83.69	83.94(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	113	20	79	214	4.21	64%	0.04	37.5	0.25%	0	2.1	94	INF
19	Jan_14_2015	82.69	82.78	83.09	83.3	83.34	83.48	83.57(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	95	10	61	197	2.48	60%	0.04	35.7	0.24%	0	1.7	93	INF
20	Jan_13_2015	82.66	82.74	82.97	83.22	83.2	83.31	83.38(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	65	10	33	160	2.22	60%	0.02	38.5	0.25%	0	1.5	60	INF

21	Jan_12_2015	82.64	82.71	82.85	83.17	83.15	83.2	83.3(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	61	0	34	141	4.4	60%	0.02	45.8	0.25%	0	1.5	58	INF
22	Jan_9_2015	82.62	82.67	82.74	83.09	83.12	83.09	83.19(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-0	16	110	1.65	60%	0.02	44.4	0.25%	0	1.4	60	INF
23	Jan_8_2015	82.6	82.64	82.62	82.98	83.04	83.11	83.05(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	10	19	75	1.87	60%	0.02	42.9	0.26%	0	1.2	54	INF
24	Jan_7_2015	82.58	82.61	82.52	82.84	82.92	83.15	83.18(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	67	20	72	52	2.43	60%	0.02	34.1	0.26%	0	1.7	52	INF
25	Jan_6_2015	82.56	82.57	82.47	82.67	82.72	82.98	83.13(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	81	20	97	34	3.89	60%		18.4	0.26%	0	1.8	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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