Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Jan. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $83.6900 (-0.3%) ($83.5800 - $83.8500) on Sat. Jan. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.25% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $83.6900(-0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BND advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.125% (StdDev 0.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $83.58(0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.35(0.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.89(0.97%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.69% (three month std-dev: 0.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.29%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.97%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.48%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_16_2015	82.75	82.89	83.35	83.58	83.61	83.74	83.69(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	73	10	33	191	3.63	60%	0.04	39.1	0.25%	0	1.4	85	INF
2	Jan_15_2015	82.72	82.84	83.25	83.48	83.5	83.69	83.94(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	113	20	79	214	4.21	64%	0.04	37.5	0.25%	0	2.1	94	INF
3	Jan_14_2015	82.69	82.78	83.09	83.3	83.34	83.48	83.57(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	95	10	61	197	2.48	60%	0.04	35.7	0.24%	0	1.7	93	INF
4	Jan_13_2015	82.66	82.74	82.97	83.22	83.2	83.31	83.38(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	65	10	33	160	2.22	60%	0.02	38.5	0.25%	0	1.5	60	INF
5	Jan_12_2015	82.64	82.71	82.85	83.17	83.15	83.2	83.3(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	61	0	34	141	4.4	60%	0.02	45.8	0.25%	0	1.5	58	INF

6	Jan_9_2015	82.62	82.67	82.74	83.09	83.12	83.09	83.19(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-0	16	110	1.65	60%	0.02	44.4	0.25%	0	1.4	60	INF
7	Jan_8_2015	82.6	82.64	82.62	82.98	83.04	83.11	83.05(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	10	19	75	1.87	60%	0.02	42.9	0.26%	0	1.2	54	INF
8	Jan_7_2015	82.58	82.61	82.52	82.84	82.92	83.15	83.18(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	67	20	72	52	2.43	60%	0.02	34.1	0.26%	0	1.7	52	INF
9	Jan_6_2015	82.56	82.57	82.47	82.67	82.72	82.98	83.13(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	81	20	97	34	3.89	60%	0.02	18.4	0.26%	0	1.8	55	INF
10	Jan_5_2015	82.54	82.53	82.42	82.49	82.53	82.68	82.89(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	51	10	70	-7	5.82	58%	0.01	-5.7	0.26%	0	1.2	47	INF

11	Jan_2_2015	82.53	82.51	82.38	82.34	82.39	82.47	82.65(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	19	10	40	-44	2.22	54%	0	-23.5	0.26%	0	0.5	50	INF
12	Dec_31_2014	82.53	82.49	82.39	82.22	82.28	82.39	82.37(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	8	10	33	-68	1.71	50%	0	-42.4	0.26%	0	-0.4	43	INF
13	Dec_30_2014	82.53	82.5	82.44	82.14	82.18	82.32	82.31(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	10	24	-71	5.85	50%	-0.01	-48.5	0.26%	0	-0.7	48	INF
14	Dec_29_2014	82.54	82.51	82.48	82.23	82.13	82.18	82.25(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	0	1	-60	2.73	50%	-0.01	0	0.27%	0	-1	48	INF
15	Dec_26_2014	82.55	82.54	82.55	82.34	82.25	82.05	82.11(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-31	-20	-28	-40	1.3	50%	-0.02	0	0.27%	0	-1.6	50	INF

16	Dec_24_2014	82.57	82.57	82.6	82.44	82.39	82.07	82.04(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-84	-30	-95	-51	2.28	50%	-0.04	0	0.28%	0	-2.1	43	INF
17	Dec_23_2014	82.6	82.61	82.67	82.58	82.55	82.44	82.01(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-66	-10	-82	-18	6.12	50%	-0.04	0	0.28%	0	-2.7	46	INF
18	Dec_22_2014	82.63	82.63	82.73	82.58	82.71	82.71	82.75(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-0	7	63	2.16	67%	0.01	0	0.21%	0	0.7	59	INF
19	Dec_19_2014	82.62	82.63	82.7	82.77	82.76	82.65	82.79(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-10	-20	-8	2.2	67%	0.01	0	0.21%	0	459.9	54	INF
20	Dec_18_2014	82.61	82.63	82.66	82.77	82.79	82.71	82.61(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-40	-10	-47	-19	1.63	64%	0	0	0.21%	0	458.9	44	INF

21	Dec_17_2014	82.61	82.63	82.65	82.79	82.85	82.87	82.74(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	0	11	4	3.94	64%	0.01	0	0.22%	0	435.5	50	INF
22	Dec_16_2014	82.6	82.63	82.61	82.78	82.79	82.86	82.94(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	10	31	12	6.53	71%	0.02	0	0.21%	0	436.5	56	INF
23	Dec_15_2014	82.58	82.63	82.56	82.69	82.71	82.82	82.75(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	10	40	16	5.51	67%	0.01	0	0.21%	0	459.7	57	INF
24	Dec_12_2014	82.57	82.63	82.54	82.63	82.64	82.72	82.9(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	48	10	56	22	6.23	67%	0.04	0	0.21%	0	460.6	50	INF
25	Dec_11_2014	82.54	82.63	82.53	82.51	82.53	82.61	82.62(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	10	23	9	3.28	60%		0	0.2%	0	516.4	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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