Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ BND: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $82.6500 (0.34%) ($82.4200 - $82.6900) on Fri. Jan. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.26% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $82.6500(0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BND declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(70%)    TLT(63%)    TIP(58%)    BNDX(52%)    BWX(43%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-65%)    UUP(-23%)    DIA(-7%)    XHB(-5%)    XOP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.13% (StdDev 0.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.34(0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.38(0.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.51(0.17%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   0.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.34% (three month std-dev: 0.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_2_2015	82.53	82.51	82.38	82.34	82.39	82.47	82.65(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	19	10	40	-44	2.22	54%	0	-23.5	0.26%	0	0.5	50	0
2	Dec_31_2014	82.53	82.49	82.39	82.22	82.28	82.39	82.37(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	8	10	33	-68	1.71	50%	0	-42.4	0.26%	0	-0.4	43	0
3	Dec_30_2014	82.53	82.5	82.44	82.14	82.18	82.32	82.31(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	10	24	-71	5.85	50%	-0.01	-48.5	0.26%	0	-0.7	48	0
4	Dec_29_2014	82.54	82.51	82.48	82.23	82.13	82.18	82.25(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	0	1	-60	2.73	50%	-0.01	0	0.27%	0	-1	48	0
5	Dec_26_2014	82.55	82.54	82.55	82.34	82.25	82.05	82.11(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-31	-20	-28	-40	1.3	50%	-0.02	0	0.27%	0	-1.6	50	0

6	Dec_24_2014	82.57	82.57	82.6	82.44	82.39	82.07	82.04(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-84	-30	-95	-51	2.28	50%	-0.04	0	0.28%	0	-2.1	43	0
7	Dec_23_2014	82.6	82.61	82.67	82.58	82.55	82.44	82.01(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-66	-10	-82	-18	6.12	50%	-0.04	0	0.28%	0	-2.7	46	0
8	Dec_22_2014	82.63	82.63	82.73	82.58	82.71	82.71	82.75(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-0	7	63	2.16	67%	0.01	0	0.21%	0	0.7	59	0
9	Dec_19_2014	82.62	82.63	82.7	82.77	82.76	82.65	82.79(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-10	-20	-8	2.2	67%	0.01	0	0.21%	0	459.9	54	0
10	Dec_18_2014	82.61	82.63	82.66	82.77	82.79	82.71	82.61(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-40	-10	-47	-19	1.63	64%	0	0	0.21%	0	458.9	44	0

11	Dec_17_2014	82.61	82.63	82.65	82.79	82.85	82.87	82.74(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	0	11	4	3.94	64%	0.01	0	0.22%	0	435.5	50	0
12	Dec_16_2014	82.6	82.63	82.61	82.78	82.79	82.86	82.94(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	10	31	12	6.53	71%	0.02	0	0.21%	0	436.5	56	0
13	Dec_15_2014	82.58	82.63	82.56	82.69	82.71	82.82	82.75(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	10	40	16	5.51	67%	0.01	0	0.21%	0	459.7	57	0
14	Dec_12_2014	82.57	82.63	82.54	82.63	82.64	82.72	82.9(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	48	10	56	22	6.23	67%	0.04	0	0.21%	0	460.6	50	0
15	Dec_11_2014	82.54	82.63	82.54	82.51	82.53	82.61	82.62(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	10	23	9	3.28	60%	0	0	0.2%	0	516.4	50	0

16	Dec_10_2014	82.54	82.63	82.53	82.49	82.46	82.57	82.7(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	36	10	42	17	4.08	60%	0.02	0	0.21%	0	516.9	50	0
17	Dec_9_2014	82.52	82.63	82.53	82.42	82.42	82.45	82.48(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	0	32	13	3.73	53%	-0.01	0	0.2%	0	515.5	50	0
18	Dec_8_2014	82.53	82.63	82.52	82.41	82.38	82.35	82.45(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-0	-14	-6	2.84	53%	-0.01	0	0.21%	0	485	50	0
19	Dec_5_2014	82.54	82.63	82.52	82.43	82.4	82.39	82.28(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-31	-0	-36	-14	3.7	44%	-0.04	0	0.21%	0	484	50	0
20	Dec_4_2014	82.57	82.63	82.52	82.55	82.5	82.42	82.52(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10	-16	-6	1.56	59%	-0.01	0	0.2%	0	515.8	50	0

21	Dec_3_2014	82.58	82.63	82.52	82.59	82.59	82.41	82.38(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-49	-20	-57	-23	3.88	59%	-0.04	0	0.21%	0	484.6	50	0
22	Dec_2_2014	82.61	82.63	82.52	82.64	82.68	82.57	82.4(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-40	-10	-47	-19	5.21	59%	-0.05	0	0.23%	0	515	50	0
23	Dec_1_2014	82.65	82.63	82.52	82.65	82.7	82.77	82.58(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	1935	10	2276	910	3.68	59%	-0.02	0	0.22%	0	589.9	50	0
24	Nov_28_2014	82.67	82.63	82.52	66.13	82.63	82.79	82.87(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	111.6	56831	760	66860	26744	0.73	100%	0.08	0	0.01%	0	552.5	50	0
25	Nov_26_2014	82.6	82.63	82.52	49.56	82.63	82.79	82.73(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	301.5	42619	-10000	50140	20056	1.15	100%		0	0.02%	0	752.1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.