Trading Signals: BK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: BK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Bank of New York Mellon Corporation)
BK latest price $45.5478 (1.71%) ($45.0015 - $45.8736) on Mon. Nov. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $45.5478(1.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BK advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BK advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(77%)    IVE(70%)    IWD(70%)    VYM(69%)    SDY(66%)
Factors Impacting BK price   BK will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-9%)    TIP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.06(3.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.85(6.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.85(8.84%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22.2%
Market Cap   $40.349b

The Bank of New York Mellon Corp. is a bank holding company, which engages in the provision of financial services. It operates through the following segments: Investment Management, Investment Services, and Other. The Investment Management segment provides services to institutional and retail investors, as well as investment management, wealth and estate planning. The Investment Services segment includes institutional trust and custody fees, broker-dealer services, corporate trust, depositary receipts, and foreign exchange. The Other segment consists of leasing portfolio, corporate treasury, derivatives, and insurance services. The company was founded by Alexander Hamilton on June 9, 1784 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. BK price fluctuates within 4.59% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 2.06%(61%) Average negative next day return: -1.65%(39%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 2.83%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -3.31%(56%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 4.25%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.49%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161214

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_14_2016	38.72	41.85	42.85	44.06	44.29	44.9	45.55(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	96	110	66	187	10.08	71%	0.26	85.2	1.2%	0	1.9	83	0
2	Nov_11_2016	38.62	41.45	42.42	43.39	43.47	44.42	44.78(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	93	160	74	149	6.64	70%	0.13	74	1.2%	0	1.8	80	0
3	Nov_10_2016	38.57	41.09	42.09	42.67	42.87	43.67	44.28(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	99	140	93	118	15.6	70%	0.16	61.3	1.19%	0	1.7	81	0
4	Nov_9_2016	38.51	40.74	41.81	42.07	42.07	42.52	43.64(3.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	57	70	50	76	14.03	68%	0.13	51.4	1.19%	0	1.6	82	0
5	Nov_8_2016	38.46	40.47	41.59	41.55	41.67	42.06	42.05(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	70	30	73	6.07	63%	0.1	43.3	1.11%	0	0.9	85	0

6	Nov_7_2016	38.42	40.27	41.52	41.46	41.45	41.62	42.19(2.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	30	25	104	7.61	63%	0.1	42.2	1.11%	0	1.1	88	0
7	Nov_4_2016	38.38	40.1	41.52	41.32	41.33	41.28	41.2(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-10	-6	123	6.58	65%	0.08	43.8	1.18%	0	0.7	88	0
8	Nov_3_2016	38.35	39.97	41.43	41.41	41.43	41.27	41.25(0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	35	-30	-10	171	4.87	65%	0.08	48	1.18%	0	0.8	85	0
9	Nov_2_2016	38.32	39.85	41.35	41.5	41.52	41.37	41.08(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	42	-20	-16	215	5.35	65%	0.08	55.4	1.19%	0	0.8	86	0
10	Nov_1_2016	38.29	39.74	41.13	41.61	41.63	41.59	41.59(0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	60	-10	-1	241	4.66	69%	0.08	62	1.18%	0	1.2	76	0

11	Oct_31_2016	38.26	39.58	40.81	41.57	41.6	41.66	41.47(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	63	10	2	246	5.48	69%	0.05	64.9	1.19%	0	1.2	76	0
12	Oct_28_2016	38.24	39.39	40.44	41.56	41.52	41.67	41.69(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	70	20	13	242	5.59	69%	0.05	68	1.19%	0	1.5	69	0
13	Oct_27_2016	38.22	39.21	40.04	41.44	41.45	41.53	41.7(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	76	10	24	231	8.13	69%	0.05	67.1	1.19%	0	1.7	70	0
14	Oct_26_2016	38.2	38.98	39.61	41.16	41.19	41.38	41.61(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	76	30	34	202	6.75	69%	0.05	62.7	1.19%	0	1.9	68	0
15	Oct_25_2016	38.18	38.77	39.26	40.56	40.83	41.37	41.41(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	86	110	61	162	7.75	69%	0.03	52.1	1.2%	0	2.1	66	0

16	Oct_24_2016	38.17	38.58	38.92	39.92	40.1	40.99	41.42(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	94	170	84	124	9.15	69%	0.05	40.7	1.2%	0	2.5	69	0
17	Oct_21_2016	38.15	38.38	38.63	39.13	39.27	40.29	41.08(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	90	190	92	82	12	60%	0.03	23.2	1.21%	0	3	70	0
18	Oct_20_2016	38.14	38.23	38.36	38.45	38.52	39.21	40.31(4.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	66	130	76	35	14.25	57%	0	3.9	1.27%	0	3.1	65	0
19	Oct_19_2016	38.14	38.13	38.18	37.84	37.96	38.25	38.58(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	18	60	27	-11	4.79	49%	-0.03	-31.3	1.15%	0	0.9	62	0
20	Oct_18_2016	38.15	38.12	38.21	37.79	37.73	37.83	38.19(1.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	10	6	-9	4.21	49%	0	-35.9	1.15%	0	0.1	55	0

21	Oct_17_2016	38.15	38.13	38.23	37.77	37.77	37.68	37.5(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-20	-15	-10	3.42	44%	-0.08	-42	1.13%	0	-1.3	50	0
22	Oct_14_2016	38.18	38.17	38.28	38.03	37.97	37.63	37.66(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-19	-70	-28	7	4.72	44%	-0.05	-41.3	1.12%	0	-1.1	51	0
23	Oct_13_2016	38.2	38.2	38.32	38.24	38.26	37.87	37.3(-2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-29	-70	-43	14	5.87	44%	-0.08	-35.9	1.12%	0	-1.8	41	0
24	Oct_12_2016	38.23	38.29	38.35	38.56	38.59	38.31	38.28(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-12	-50	-27	32	4.02	55%	-0.03	-25.8	1.07%	0	-0	47	0
25	Oct_11_2016	38.24	38.3	38.29	38.69	38.75	38.66	38.12(-1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-2	-10	-14	35	4.09	55%		-24.4	1.1%	0	-0.4	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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