Trading Signals: BK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: BK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Bank of New York Mellon Corporation)
BK latest price $39.0656 (3.26%) ($37.8501 - $39.0846) on Wed. May. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $39.0656(3.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BK declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(77%)    IVE(70%)    IWD(70%)    VYM(69%)    SDY(66%)
Factors Impacting BK price   BK will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-15%)    IGOV(-9%)    GLD(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.96(2.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.84(3.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.11(2.51%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.6%
Market Cap   $34.607b

The Bank of New York Mellon Corp. is a bank holding company, which engages in the provision of financial services. It operates through the following segments: Investment Management, Investment Services, and Other. The Investment Management segment provides services to institutional and retail investors, as well as investment management, wealth and estate planning. The Investment Services segment includes institutional trust and custody fees, broker-dealer services, corporate trust, depositary receipts, and foreign exchange. The Other segment consists of leasing portfolio, corporate treasury, derivatives, and insurance services. The company was founded by Alexander Hamilton on June 9, 1784 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. BK price fluctuates within 1.52% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.5%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.02%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.74%(83%) Average negative next three day return: -1.84%(17%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 5.51%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.86%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2016	35.28	38.11	37.84	37.96	37.86	38.11	39.07(3.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	22	40	27	8	8.03	76%	0	58.6	1.48%	0	1.7	53	0
2	May_17_2016	35.28	38.03	37.84	37.72	37.72	37.66	37.83(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10	-3	-37	8.16	74%	-0.03	58.8	1.44%	0	-0.3	37	0
3	May_16_2016	35.29	37.98	37.65	37.8	37.8	37.62	37.74(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-30	-5	-45	3.9	76%	0.09	70.6	1.45%	0	-0.3	37	0
4	May_13_2016	35.26	37.92	37.73	37.73	37.88	37.79	37.45(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-0	-6	-48	5.41	76%	-0.03	70.7	1.47%	0	-0.6	41	0
5	May_12_2016	35.27	37.85	37.81	37.75	37.84	37.97	37.74(-0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-9	30	5	-49	6.71	78%	-0.06	76.4	1.47%	0	-0.1	40	0

6	May_11_2016	35.29	37.77	37.87	37.68	37.69	37.98	37.86(-0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	50	16	-48	5.32	73%	0	78.9	1.52%	0	0.1	45	0
7	May_10_2016	35.29	37.67	37.98	37.57	37.52	37.7	38.21(2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	30	15	-42	4.15	73%	0	65	1.55%	0	0.4	57	0
8	May_9_2016	35.29	37.49	38.04	37.49	37.38	37.4	37.38(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10	-9	-37	4.71	71%	-0.03	54	1.53%	0	-0.1	59	0
9	May_6_2016	35.3	37.33	38.16	37.75	37.48	37.33	37.54(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-50	-11	-3	3.55	65%	-0.03	49.4	1.59%	0	0.1	64	0
10	May_5_2016	35.31	37.15	38.29	37.89	37.75	37.36	37.41(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-80	-19	29	3.79	65%	-0.08	44.9	1.6%	0	0.1	66	0

11	May_4_2016	35.34	36.98	38.4	38.09	37.96	37.62	37.3(-1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-10	-70	-33	58	4.3	67%	-0.06	44.8	1.61%	0	0.2	63	0
12	May_3_2016	35.36	36.87	38.45	38.44	38.26	38.14	37.8(-2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-40	-18	102	4.97	67%	-0.03	48.9	1.61%	0	0.5	69	0
13	May_2_2016	35.37	36.71	38.37	38.68	38.54	38.29	38.71(1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	37	-60	-2	152	6.06	65%	0.03	51.7	1.58%	0	1	83	0
14	Apr_29_2016	35.36	36.53	38.14	38.62	38.64	38.37	38.21(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-50	-19	162	5.95	64%	-0.06	51.7	1.65%	0	0.9	83	0
15	Apr_28_2016	35.38	36.36	37.92	38.75	38.75	38.79	38.43(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	47	10	-4	198	5.45	64%	-0.06	54.2	1.68%	0	1.1	86	0

16	Apr_27_2016	35.4	36.17	37.68	38.76	38.77	38.91	39.03(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	74	30	19	237	5.13	64%	-0.03	54.8	1.67%	0	1.6	89	0
17	Apr_26_2016	35.41	35.97	37.35	38.46	38.58	38.71	38.99(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	77	30	24	236	6.01	66%	-0.06	52.2	1.67%	0	1.8	73	0
18	Apr_25_2016	35.43	35.75	36.88	38.01	38.16	38.63	38.46(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	74	100	28	213	6.37	66%	-0.08	46.4	1.69%	0	1.8	74	0
19	Apr_22_2016	35.46	35.58	36.44	37.57	37.65	38.45	38.83(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	90	160	55	193	6.82	68%	-0.06	38.6	1.69%	0	2.3	71	0
20	Apr_21_2016	35.48	35.38	35.91	36.96	36.95	37.68	38.49(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	75	140	51	146	8.41	64%	-0.08	31.3	1.71%	0	2.6	70	0

21	Apr_20_2016	35.51	35.21	35.42	36.46	36.37	36.84	37.56(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	52	80	35	102	7.31	62%	-0.11	25.8	1.75%	0	2.4	67	0
22	Apr_19_2016	35.55	35.11	35.14	36.09	36.05	36.22	36.73(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	30	32	82	5.09	60%	-0.11	20.1	1.74%	0	2	60	0
23	Apr_18_2016	35.59	35.06	34.9	35.58	35.69	35.9	36.23(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	50	24	47	4.26	60%	-0.17	5.5	1.73%	0	1.5	59	0
24	Apr_15_2016	35.65	35.04	34.76	35.12	35.24	35.88	35.79(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	140	35	24	5.29	56%	0.03	-9.3	1.74%	0	1	52	0
25	Apr_14_2016	35.64	35.01	34.66	34.67	34.75	35.48	35.99(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	36	150	47	1	4.65	58%		-23.4	1.8%	0	1.3	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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