Trading Signals: BK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: BK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Bank of New York Mellon Corporation)
BK latest price $39.0405 (1.98%) ($38.4218 - $39.3310) on Thu. Oct. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.87% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $39.0405(1.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BK advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(78%)    IWD(71%)    IVE(70%)    VYM(69%)    IWN(66%)
Factors Impacting BK price   BK will decline at least -0.935% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    VIXM(-27%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-11%)    GLD(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.935% (StdDev 1.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.32(1.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.98(2.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.55(3.97%)
To recent high   -8%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $34.584b

The Bank of New York Mellon Corp. is a bank holding company, which engages in the provision of financial services. It operates through the following segments: Investment Management, Investment Services, and Other. The Investment Management segment provides services to institutional and retail investors, as well as investment management, wealth and estate planning. The Investment Services segment includes institutional trust and custody fees, broker-dealer services, corporate trust, depositary receipts, and foreign exchange. The Other segment consists of leasing portfolio, corporate treasury, derivatives, and insurance services. The company was founded by Alexander Hamilton on June 9, 1784 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. BK price fluctuates within 2.26% (three month std-dev: 1.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 26 Average positive next day return: 0.75%(58%) Average negative next day return: -0.59%(42%) Sample size 26 Average positive next three day return: 1.21%(81%) Average negative next three day return: -1.47%(19%) Sample size 26 Average positive next weekly return: 1.81%(77%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.52%(23%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_22_2015	39	37.55	37.98	38.32	38.42	38.72	39.04(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	60	13	36	8.89	47%	-0.03	56.6	1.87%	0	1.8	67	0
2	Oct_21_2015	39.01	37.4	37.89	38.1	38.22	38.6	38.28(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	80	26	43	8.39	48%	-0.05	45.8	1.86%	0	1.1	62	0
3	Oct_20_2015	39.03	37.31	37.85	37.8	37.95	38.12	38.67(2.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	40	21	37	8.59	48%	-0.05	28.8	1.89%	0	1.7	66	0
4	Oct_19_2015	39.05	37.19	37.85	37.54	37.55	37.84	37.65(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	50	1	29	5.22	46%	-0.05	14.3	1.86%	0	0.6	66	0
5	Oct_16_2015	39.07	37.15	37.73	37.54	37.52	37.78	37.95(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	40	15	52	5.71	46%	-0.1	15.7	1.86%	0	1.1	70	0

6	Oct_15_2015	39.11	37.08	37.61	37.59	37.48	37.26	37.94(3.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	8	-50	-4	42	3.9	46%	-0.08	12	1.86%	0	1.2	55	0
7	Oct_14_2015	39.14	37.04	37.61	37.66	37.61	37.25	36.8(-1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-7	-70	-24	46	5.39	43%	-0.08	18	1.82%	0	-0.3	57	0
8	Oct_13_2015	39.17	37.08	37.51	37.9	37.87	37.71	37.34(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	11	-30	-9	69	4.18	45%	-0.05	35.4	1.81%	0	0.4	58	0
9	Oct_12_2015	39.19	37.09	37.4	37.92	37.96	37.96	37.93(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	19	0	1	73	2.95	45%	-0.08	40.7	1.81%	0	1.2	62	0
10	Oct_9_2015	39.22	37.04	37.2	37.87	37.85	38.04	37.92(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	30	12	66	4.19	47%	-0.08	47.5	1.83%	0	1.3	56	0

11	Oct_8_2015	39.25	36.99	37.11	37.63	37.67	37.95	38.31(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	35	60	24	66	4.11	45%	-0.05	41.6	1.83%	0	2.1	63	0
12	Oct_7_2015	39.27	36.91	36.88	37.34	37.19	37.66	38.01(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	80	19	40	5.12	45%	-0.08	35	1.85%	0	1.9	53	0
13	Oct_6_2015	39.3	36.84	36.71	37.08	36.9	37.4	37.46(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	80	31	22	4.26	45%	-0.08	30.5	1.84%	0	1.2	47	0
14	Oct_5_2015	39.33	36.8	36.6	36.79	36.68	36.72	37.63(2.5%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	18	-0	25	-3	5.42	45%	-0.08	11.5	1.84%	0	1.6	49	0
15	Oct_2_2015	39.36	36.72	36.51	36.43	36.31	36.4	36.72(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-17	10	-10	-37	7.65	43%	-0.1	-26.5	1.83%	0	0	47	0

16	Oct_1_2015	39.4	36.73	36.48	36.51	36.36	36.64	36.89(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	40	16	-29	5.59	43%	-0.08	-35.3	1.83%	0	0.3	48	0
17	Sep_30_2015	39.43	36.71	36.51	36.35	36.39	36.22	36.7(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-30	8	-37	6.19	43%	-0.1	-47.8	1.83%	0	-0	49	0
18	Sep_29_2015	39.47	36.68	36.6	36.29	36.25	36.08	36.03(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-40	-18	-42	4.89	40%	-0.13	-44.4	1.81%	0	-1.2	48	0
19	Sep_28_2015	39.52	36.74	36.75	36.37	36.37	36.57	35.81(-3.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9	40	-3	-27	6.95	40%	-0.1	-32.4	1.84%	0	-1.8	43	0
20	Sep_25_2015	39.56	36.86	36.89	36.6	36.37	36.43	37.12(2.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	9	-10	12	-2	7.03	41%	-0.1	-25	1.79%	0	0.5	60	0

21	Sep_24_2015	39.6	36.9	36.88	36.46	36.38	36.17	36.11(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-50	-15	-18	4.72	38%	-0.1	-41.5	1.76%	0	-1.3	45	0
22	Sep_23_2015	39.64	36.95	36.96	36.7	36.52	36.34	36.39(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-50	-22	-6	3.73	38%	-0.1	-65.4	1.76%	0	-0.9	50	0
23	Sep_22_2015	39.68	36.92	36.99	36.97	36.89	36.59	36.42(-1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-60	-15	15	5.8	39%	-0.1	-87.5	1.76%	0	-0.7	56	0
24	Sep_21_2015	39.72	36.91	37.04	37.19	37.19	36.7	36.96(1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-90	-17	23	3.91	39%	-0.08	-110.2	1.76%	0	0.1	47	0
25	Sep_18_2015	39.75	37	36.97	37.22	37.32	37.2	36.43(-2.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-13	-10	-20	7	10.56	39%		-106.8	1.74%	0	-0.7	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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