Trading Signals: BK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 2, 2014

Trading Signals: BK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Bank of New York Mellon Corporation)
BK latest price $37.2858 (1.77%) ($36.7489 - $37.3274) on Tue. Dec. 2, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $37.2858(1.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BK advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(78%)    IVE(71%)    VYM(70%)    VT(65%)    XLI(65%)
Factors Impacting BK price   BK will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    VIXM(-30%)    IGOV(-13%)    GLD(-10%)    UUP(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.06(0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.01(0.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.7(1.6%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.6%
Market Cap   $33.03b

The Bank of New York Mellon Corp. is a bank holding company, which engages in the provision of financial services. It operates through the following segments: Investment Management, Investment Services, and Other. The Investment Management segment provides services to institutional and retail investors, as well as investment management, wealth and estate planning. The Investment Services segment includes institutional trust and custody fees, broker-dealer services, corporate trust, depositary receipts, and foreign exchange. The Other segment consists of leasing portfolio, corporate treasury, derivatives, and insurance services. The company was founded by Alexander Hamilton on June 9, 1784 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. BK price fluctuates within 1.23% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.29%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.33%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.38%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -0.78%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.15%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.81%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_2_2014	35.78	36.7	37.01	37.06	37.01	36.89	37.29(1.77%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	5	-30	-1	24	3.77	49%	0.08	75.6	1.21%	0	1.3	67	0
2	Dec_1_2014	35.75	36.62	36.96	37.02	37.05	36.94	36.64(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-7	-20	-15	19	2.79	46%	0.06	76.9	1.2%	0	0	55	0
3	Nov_28_2014	35.73	36.59	36.97	37.11	37.15	37.14	37.05(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	0	-1	41	1.66	46%	0.08	93.5	1.19%	0	0.9	79	0
4	Nov_26_2014	35.7	36.57	36.93	37.1	37.17	37.14	37.22(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	18	10	6	54	1.71	46%	0.08	120.4	1.18%	0	1.3	86	0
5	Nov_25_2014	35.67	36.5	36.89	37.02	37.08	37.14	37.12(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	21	20	7	62	2.93	46%	0.08	106.5	1.18%	0	0.9	86	0

6	Nov_24_2014	35.64	36.37	36.83	36.95	36.95	37.17	37.06(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	40	12	67	2.68	46%	0.03	98	1.19%	0	0.9	84	0
7	Nov_21_2014	35.63	36.25	36.78	36.89	36.86	37	37.11(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	20	19	79	4.52	48%	0.06	93.4	1.19%	0	1	88	0
8	Nov_20_2014	35.61	36.12	36.67	36.81	36.86	37	36.99(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	20	-10	3	71	3.81	48%	0.08	83.3	1.19%	0	0.9	76	0
9	Nov_19_2014	35.58	35.96	36.57	36.74	36.72	36.73	36.83(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	0	2	55	4.78	48%	0.06	75.7	1.19%	0	0.8	48	0
10	Nov_18_2014	35.56	35.8	36.47	36.73	36.7	36.73	36.74(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	-0	3	56	4.47	48%	0.06	74.6	1.19%	0	0.9	62	0

11	Nov_17_2014	35.54	35.66	36.38	36.69	36.65	36.73	36.78(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	10	3	73	4.14	48%	0.11	71.4	1.19%	0	1	74	0
12	Nov_14_2014	35.5	35.5	36.26	36.65	36.62	36.7	36.72(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	10	14	88	4.76	48%	0.11	69.6	1.19%	0	1	70	0
13	Nov_13_2014	35.46	35.34	36.26	36.51	36.49	36.59	36.65(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	20	14	98	4.97	48%	0.08	62.6	1.2%	0	1.1	71	0
14	Nov_12_2014	35.43	35.18	36.17	36.35	36.31	36.53	36.79(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	47	40	19	132	3.63	48%	0.11	54.5	1.19%	0	1.3	76	0
15	Nov_11_2014	35.39	34.99	36.07	36.16	36.14	36.39	36.52(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	50	23	150	3.38	48%	0.08	43	1.19%	0	1.3	76	0

16	Nov_10_2014	35.36	34.85	35.87	36.02	35.98	36.1	36.56(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	20	22	149	4.15	48%	0.11	36.7	1.19%	0	1.4	71	0
17	Nov_7_2014	35.32	34.69	35.68	35.83	35.82	35.89	36.02(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	10	4	146	2.33	43%	0.09	24.8	1.18%	0	1.2	71	0
18	Nov_6_2014	35.29	34.59	35.52	35.79	35.78	35.86	35.89(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	35	10	-4	152	4.85	44%	0.09	18.6	1.21%	0	1.2	71	0
19	Nov_5_2014	35.26	34.5	35.3	35.79	35.76	35.76	35.8(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	42	-20	-2	175	3.39	44%	0.09	20	1.22%	0	1.2	72	0
20	Nov_4_2014	35.23	34.48	35.09	35.97	35.93	35.7	35.82(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	55	-50	10	190	4.88	44%	0.11	22.4	1.22%	0	1.3	73	0

21	Nov_3_2014	35.19	34.42	34.9	35.68	35.98	35.75	35.61(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	43	-20	0	170	4.56	44%	0.11	11.1	1.22%	0	1.2	65	0
22	Oct_31_2014	35.15	34.41	34.69	35.48	35.67	36.16	35.84(-2.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	57	110	20	166	6.84	42%	0.09	6.4	1.22%	0	1.4	68	0
23	Oct_30_2014	35.12	34.39	34.45	35.18	35.34	36.2	36.79(2.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	109	180	89	168	3.63	47%	0.11	-2.8	1.2%	0	2.4	70	0
24	Oct_29_2014	35.08	34.29	34.09	34.55	34.7	35.18	35.8(4.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	75	110	67	97	3.39	43%	0.11	-25.6	1.16%	0	1.7	59	0
25	Oct_28_2014	35.04	34.25	33.81	34.09	34.19	34.48	34.36(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	70	23	8	9.01	36%		-45.4	1.04%	0	0.1	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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