Trading Signals: BK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 15, 2014

Trading Signals: BK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Bank of New York Mellon Corporation)
BK latest price $35.0834 (1.59%) ($34.7715 - $35.3036) on Tue. Jul. 15, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $35.0834(1.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BK advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(78%)    VT(65%)    XLI(65%)    SPY(64%)    IWM(63%)
Factors Impacting BK price   BK will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    VIXM(-30%)    IGOV(-13%)    GLD(-10%)    TIP(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.65(1.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.64(1.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.93(3.4%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.6%
Market Cap   $31.079b

The Bank of New York Mellon Corp. is a bank holding company, which engages in the provision of financial services. It operates through the following segments: Investment Management, Investment Services, and Other. The Investment Management segment provides services to institutional and retail investors, as well as investment management, wealth and estate planning. The Investment Services segment includes institutional trust and custody fees, broker-dealer services, corporate trust, depositary receipts, and foreign exchange. The Other segment consists of leasing portfolio, corporate treasury, derivatives, and insurance services. The company was founded by Alexander Hamilton on June 9, 1784 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. BK price fluctuates within 2.45% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 29 Average positive next day return: 0.86%(45%) Average negative next day return: -1.03%(55%) Sample size 29 Average positive next three day return: 1.69%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -2.05%(48%) Sample size 29 Average positive next weekly return: 2.87%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.98%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140815

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_15_2014	32.07	33.93	34.64	34.65	34.63	34.86	35.08(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	40	23	116	8.52	65%	0.12	69.4	1.01%	0	1.4	75	0
2	Jul_14_2014	32.03	33.78	34.57	34.53	34.56	34.57	34.53(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	37	0	9	122	5.03	63%	0.09	59.4	1%	0	0.9	70	0
3	Jul_11_2014	32	33.68	34.46	34.55	34.49	34.41	34.51(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	23	-20	-10	123	4.4	63%	0.09	59.6	1%	0	0.9	70	0
4	Jul_10_2014	31.97	33.57	34.31	34.61	34.5	34.54	34.61(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	32	-0	-3	138	5.07	59%	0.09	63.1	1%	0	1.1	75	0
5	Jul_9_2014	31.94	33.47	34.18	34.59	34.6	34.57	34.52(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	-10	3	141	4.45	59%	0.13	67.3	1.04%	0	1.2	69	0

6	Jul_8_2014	31.9	33.37	34.04	34.64	34.59	34.45	34.5(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	30	-30	-10	151	6.02	59%	0.09	75.7	1.04%	0	1.3	71	0
7	Jul_7_2014	31.87	33.26	33.9	34.61	34.69	34.64	34.61(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	54	-0	12	180	4.3	54%	0.13	81.3	1.04%	0	1.6	77	0
8	Jul_3_2014	31.83	33.14	33.74	34.34	34.66	34.72	34.8(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	64	40	31	164	2.74	51%	0.13	79.1	1.11%	0	2	72	0
9	Jul_2_2014	31.79	33	33.53	33.96	34.22	34.75	34.51(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	58	130	32	137	5.24	51%	0.09	74.2	1.11%	0	1.9	71	0
10	Jul_1_2014	31.76	32.86	33.37	33.71	33.78	34.6	34.77(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	90	180	73	142	10.11	51%	0.13	71.2	1.1%	0	2.6	73	0

11	Jun_30_2014	31.72	32.71	33.15	33.35	33.34	33.7	34.39(3.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	70	70	57	107	12.21	49%	0.13	69.4	1.09%	0	2.8	69	0
12	Jun_27_2014	31.68	32.57	32.9	33.1	33.01	32.95	33.24(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-20	0	59	5.86	43%	0.06	71.4	1%	0	1.3	60	0
13	Jun_26_2014	31.66	32.49	32.82	33.06	33.03	32.98	32.9(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-10	-4	58	5.48	40%	0.06	70.1	1%	0	0.8	60	0
14	Jun_25_2014	31.64	32.44	32.78	33.03	33.04	32.98	33.25(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	10	7	66	5.77	42%	0.06	68.1	0.99%	0	1.6	69	0
15	Jun_24_2014	31.62	32.35	32.69	32.97	32.94	33.08	33(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	30	11	75	7.72	42%	0.06	70.3	0.99%	0	1.3	71	0

16	Jun_23_2014	31.6	32.29	32.65	32.9	32.86	33	33.13(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	30	30	90	3.98	42%	0.06	75.2	1%	0	1.8	74	0
17	Jun_20_2014	31.58	32.22	32.58	32.67	32.65	32.81	33.04(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	30	18	75	8.18	48%	0.06	71.4	1%	0	1.8	71	0
18	Jun_19_2014	31.56	32.15	32.5	32.55	32.45	32.71	32.72(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	50	15	69	8.83	52%	0.06	78.6	1.06%	0	1.4	69	0
19	Jun_18_2014	31.54	32.09	32.44	32.49	32.39	32.5	32.95(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	35	10	23	72	5.37	52%	0.06	76.3	1.08%	0	2	74	0
20	Jun_17_2014	31.52	32	32.32	32.39	32.3	32.19	32.67(2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	11	-30	-4	57	5.05	52%	0.06	66.4	1.08%	0	1.7	74	0

21	Jun_16_2014	31.5	31.93	32.23	32.37	32.33	32.29	31.98(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	4	-10	-13	53	3.92	49%	0.03	59.8	1.05%	0	0.1	56	0
22	Jun_13_2014	31.49	31.9	32.22	32.47	32.41	32.4	32.44(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10	3	72	3.8	51%	0.06	62.1	1.05%	0	1.3	70	0
23	Jun_12_2014	31.47	31.82	32.14	32.44	32.4	32.37	32.4(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10	2	70	4.67	51%	0.03	49.6	1.05%	0	1.3	70	0
24	Jun_11_2014	31.46	31.77	32.08	32.38	32.36	32.37	32.46(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	10	12	72	3.36	51%	0.06	45.7	1.06%	0	1.6	76	0
25	Jun_10_2014	31.44	31.74	31.99	32.24	32.24	32.43	32.55(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	33	40	21	67	2.96	51%		52.7	1.07%	0	2	82	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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