Trading Signals: BIIB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 3, 2015

Trading Signals: BIIB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Biogen Inc)
BIIB latest price $324.3800 (1.76%) ($319.1100 - $325.8050) on Mon. Aug. 3, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.15% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $324.3800(1.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BIIB advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BIIB declines -11.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BIIB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(41%)    XLV(36%)    XBI(31%)    SPY(28%)    IVE(26%)
Factors Impacting BIIB price   BIIB will decline at least -1.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.575% (StdDev 3.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

Resistance Level   $367.49
5 Day Moving Average   $318.69(1.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $337.2(-3.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $367.49(-11.73%)
To recent high   -22.3%
To recent low   8.1%
Market Cap   $51.349b

Biogen, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in discovering, developing, and delivering therapies for neurological and neurodegenerative diseases. It offers TECFIDERA, AVONEX, PLEGRIDY, TYSABRI, ZINBRYTA, and FAMPYRA for the treatment of multiple sclerosis; SPINRAZA for the treatment of spinal muscular atrophy; and FUMADERM for the treatment of severe plaque psoriasis. The company was founded by Charles Weissmann, Heinz Schaller, Kenneth Murray, Walter Gilbert, and Phillip Allen Sharp in 1978 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. BIIB price fluctuates within 11.07% (three month std-dev: 3.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 2.27%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.61%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.11%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -4.55%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.24%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150903

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_3_2015	399.34	367.49	337.2	318.69	318.12	320.38	324.38(1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	18	40	83	-179	3.02	36%	-0.23	-51.3	3.15%	0	-1.1	28	INF
2	Jul_31_2015	400.25	371.59	345.13	315.7	316.37	316.61	318.78(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	10	37	-197	2.26	39%	-0.23	-54.6	3.17%	0	-1.3	30	INF
3	Jul_30_2015	401.16	376.02	353.5	311.95	314.51	315.86	317(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-76	50	-27	-222	2.3	38%	-0.23	-60.4	3.2%	0	-1.5	31	INF
4	Jul_29_2015	402.09	380.65	362.17	325.56	314.15	316.13	313.34(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-174	-60	-153	-238	3.28	38%	-0.26	-56.1	3.21%	0	-1.8	27	INF
5	Jul_28_2015	403.12	385.46	371.16	341.24	332.44	313.15	319.93(3.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-204	-480	-199	-217	3.55	35%	-0.24	-52	3.22%	0	-2	29	INF

6	Jul_27_2015	404.09	389.62	379.57	359.15	352.09	312.17	309.43(3.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-772	-850	-879	-449	9.98	30%	-0.27	-46.6	3.21%	0	-2.7	22	INF
7	Jul_24_2015	405.2	394.96	388.52	379.05	376.72	351.72	300.03(-22.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-3.4	-763	-480	-882	-406	16.63	27%	-0.31	-38	3.2%	0	-4.1	19	INF
8	Jul_23_2015	406.48	400.99	398.43	399.98	400.16	392.01	385.05(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-289	-140	-337	-145	2.6	40%	-0.07	-37.4	1.83%	0	-2.2	38	INF
9	Jul_22_2015	406.77	402.32	400.01	403.71	403.91	401.71	391.74(-4.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-192	-40	-226	-88	4.05	40%	-0.05	-12.9	1.83%	0	-1.6	41	INF
10	Jul_21_2015	406.99	403.53	400.72	405.47	406.39	408.31	409.5(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	82	40	95	44	1.77	44%	-0.01	13.2	1.75%	0	0.9	54	INF

11	Jul_20_2015	407.05	403.83	400.39	403.61	404.82	406.1	408.93(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	82	30	94	44	1.82	44%	-0	23.3	1.75%	0	0.7	61	INF
12	Jul_17_2015	407.06	403.87	399.82	400.07	402.64	404.47	404.66(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	76	50	93	23	1.89	44%	-0.01	23.6	1.75%	0	0.1	46	INF
13	Jul_16_2015	407.12	403.72	399.67	396.79	399.33	403.54	403.73(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	98	90	125	15	1.34	44%	-0.01	16.4	1.77%	0	0	43	INF
14	Jul_15_2015	407.17	403.15	399.74	395.9	396.62	400.82	400.55(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	133	80	169	24	1.47	44%	-0.01	13.8	1.77%	0	-0.3	42	INF
15	Jul_14_2015	407.21	402.63	400.03	395.33	396.25	395.12	400.2(2.29%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	36	-10	59	-32	1.51	44%	-0.02	14.1	1.78%	0	-0.3	38	INF

16	Jul_13_2015	407.3	402.13	399.67	396.9	396.97	392.43	391.23(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-194	-80	-209	-150	1.52	41%	-0.04	19.4	1.76%	0	-1.2	29	INF
17	Jul_10_2015	407.47	402.14	401.44	399.58	400.51	397.38	388.23(-2.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-162	-50	-174	-127	3.89	41%	-0.05	27.7	1.75%	0	-1.5	34	INF
18	Jul_9_2015	407.66	402.53	403.81	402.79	403.23	401.52	399.29(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-80	-30	-83	-70	1.33	44%	-0	44.1	1.72%	0	-0.4	50	INF
19	Jul_8_2015	407.68	402.08	404.94	404.01	404.24	403.65	397.68(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-60	-10	-66	-43	1.31	44%	0	46.4	1.72%	0	-0.5	58	INF
20	Jul_7_2015	407.68	401.42	406.78	405.26	405.65	404.94	408.06(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10	26	21	1.49	47%	0	43.8	1.71%	0	0.6	67	INF

21	Jul_6_2015	407.68	400.38	407.61	402.89	404.75	404.84	404.63(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-23	20	-34	9	1.19	47%	0.07	33.7	1.71%	0	0.4	66	INF
22	Jul_2_2015	407.38	399.57	408.26	403.71	404.03	406.35	404.28(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	40	26	55	0.93	47%	0.03	31.3	1.71%	0	0.4	65	INF
23	Jul_1_2015	407.24	398.62	408.11	405.12	405.14	404.65	405.41(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	63	-10	57	82	0.99	47%	0.03	28.3	1.71%	0	0.6	60	INF
24	Jun_30_2015	407.13	397.74	406.86	406.16	406.63	401.7	403.94(1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-125	-80	-167	1	1.58	47%	0.02	24.9	1.73%	0	0.5	63	INF
25	Jun_29_2015	407.06	396.93	405.51	408.63	409.33	405.62	396.21(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-197	-60	-257	-16	1.47	44%		29.3	1.72%	0	-0.1	64	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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