Trading Signals: BIIB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: BIIB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Biogen Inc)
BIIB latest price $425.6100 (2.77%) ($417.0900 - $425.7000) on Thu. Mar. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.29% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $425.6100(2.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BIIB advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BIIB advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BIIB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(42%)    XLV(37%)    XBI(32%)    SPY(28%)    IVE(27%)
Factors Impacting BIIB price   BIIB will decline at least -1.145% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.145% (StdDev 2.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $415.58(2.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $412.13(3.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $405.17(5.04%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   30.9%
Market Cap   $67.374b

Biogen, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in discovering, developing, and delivering therapies for neurological and neurodegenerative diseases. It offers TECFIDERA, AVONEX, PLEGRIDY, TYSABRI, ZINBRYTA, and FAMPYRA for the treatment of multiple sclerosis; SPINRAZA for the treatment of spinal muscular atrophy; and FUMADERM for the treatment of severe plaque psoriasis. The company was founded by Charles Weissmann, Heinz Schaller, Kenneth Murray, Walter Gilbert, and Phillip Allen Sharp in 1978 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. BIIB price fluctuates within 2.2% (three month std-dev: 2.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 0.75%(55%) Average negative next day return: -0.75%(45%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 1.49%(65%) Average negative next three day return: -1.94%(35%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 1.67%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.63%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150405

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_5_2015	349.43	405.17	412.13	415.58	414.62	416.77	425.61(2.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	137	30	144	114	1.85	68%	0.36	90.9	2.29%	0	2.3	85	INF
2	Mar_4_2015	348.18	403.39	410.13	412.48	411.57	412.31	414.13(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	21	10	8	61	1.52	66%	0.34	114.6	2.27%	0	1.3	82	INF
3	Mar_3_2015	347.01	402.36	408.86	411.44	410.84	412.47	412.79(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	64	20	58	82	1.24	69%	0.34	136.1	2.28%	0	1.3	70	INF
4	Mar_2_2015	345.85	401.22	407.43	409.86	409.39	410.83	415.79(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	58	20	53	73	1.35	72%	0.3	149	2.38%	0	1.9	71	INF
5	Feb_27_2015	344.81	399.87	405.07	408.42	408.08	409.21	409.59(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	20	28	52	1.37	72%	0.28	173.5	2.46%	0	1.3	57	INF

6	Feb_26_2015	343.86	397.23	403.38	408.11	407.92	407.95	410.1(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-0	29	47	0.86	72%	0.26	105.9	2.48%	0	1.1	58	INF
7	Feb_25_2015	342.97	394.45	401.42	407.44	407.3	406.95	408.94(1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-10	-8	30	1.11	72%	0.28	80.4	2.48%	0	0.9	68	INF
8	Feb_24_2015	342	391.99	400	405.87	406.66	407.89	404.89(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	30	32	42	0.85	72%	0.24	70	2.48%	0	0.8	61	INF
9	Feb_23_2015	341.17	389.94	399.16	404.48	404.63	407.65	408.58(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	87	50	94	67	0.96	72%	0.25	68	2.48%	0	1.1	68	INF
10	Feb_20_2015	340.32	387.44	398.35	401.09	401.11	405.43	408.05(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	117	80	130	77	0.95	72%	0.27	65.3	2.48%	0	1.1	69	INF

11	Feb_19_2015	339.41	384.77	397.57	397.91	397.24	401.61	406.73(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	130	70	140	98	1.14	72%	0.26	60.1	2.49%	0	1.2	84	INF
12	Feb_18_2015	338.54	382.51	395.96	394.56	394.2	396.79	401.12(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	99	40	100	94	0.78	72%	0.22	58.5	2.5%	0	1	84	INF
13	Feb_17_2015	337.81	380.6	395.2	393.36	392.57	392.87	397.91(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-0	18	79	1.32	72%	0.22	61.9	2.5%	0	0.9	75	INF
14	Feb_13_2015	337.06	378.37	394.43	393.16	393.2	391.61	391.66(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-11	-30	-39	72	1.18	68%	0.18	63.5	2.54%	0	0.7	69	INF
15	Feb_12_2015	336.46	375.9	394.26	395.22	395.03	392.27	392.11(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-43	-50	-84	82	1.76	68%	0.14	60.6	2.54%	0	0.8	72	INF

16	Feb_11_2015	335.99	373.77	390.81	397.16	397.61	394.79	390(-1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-30	-50	-72	97	1.77	68%	0.18	62	2.55%	0	0.8	73	INF
17	Feb_10_2015	335.39	371.91	387.32	397.38	398.72	397.79	395.13(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10	-27	114	1.81	69%	0.2	67.1	2.55%	0	1.1	68	INF
18	Feb_9_2015	334.72	369.52	383.77	397.14	396.69	400.43	396.88(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	63	60	38	139	1.44	69%	0.21	70.8	2.56%	0	1.3	68	INF
19	Feb_6_2015	334.02	366.77	380.36	395.76	394.95	399.66	402(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	182	80	176	200	1.64	69%	0.22	70.9	2.55%	0	1.8	75	INF
20	Feb_5_2015	333.28	364.05	375.85	393.19	391.63	392.95	401.79(2.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	131	10	114	180	1.58	69%	0.23	76.5	2.56%	0	2	78	INF

21	Feb_4_2015	332.52	361.45	370.92	383.48	388.11	390.25	391.12(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	134	70	127	156	2.17	68%	0.2	73.1	2.54%	0	1.8	69	INF
22	Feb_3_2015	331.85	358.58	367.81	375.5	378.7	390.31	393.89(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	197	240	207	166	1.78	68%	0.23	59.2	2.54%	0	2.3	67	INF
23	Feb_2_2015	331.09	355.63	364.47	368.3	369.76	385.96	390(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	416	320	470	255	1.83	68%	0.21	50.1	2.54%	0	2.5	68	INF
24	Jan_30_2015	330.41	353.09	360.54	362.78	362.39	367.1	389.16(10.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	310	90	349	194	4.03	69%	0.19	47.6	2.54%	0	3.1	70	INF
25	Jan_29_2015	329.77	350.47	355.46	356.46	356.56	353.56	353.25(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-84	-60	-108	-13	1.71	63%		47.9	2.21%	0	0.3	53	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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