Trading Signals: BIIB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 29, 2014

Trading Signals: BIIB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Biogen Inc)
BIIB latest price $319.8500 (3.58%) ($314.5425 - $319.9400) on Thu. May. 29, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.72% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $319.8500(3.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BIIB advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BIIB advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BIIB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(38%)    XBI(33%)    SPY(29%)    QQQ(27%)    VT(27%)
Factors Impacting BIIB price   BIIB will decline at least -1.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.36% (StdDev 2.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $307.57(3.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $300.03(6.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $294.79(8.5%)
To recent high   -9.1%
To recent low   16.7%
Market Cap   $50.632b

Biogen, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in discovering, developing, and delivering therapies for neurological and neurodegenerative diseases. It offers TECFIDERA, AVONEX, PLEGRIDY, TYSABRI, ZINBRYTA, and FAMPYRA for the treatment of multiple sclerosis; SPINRAZA for the treatment of spinal muscular atrophy; and FUMADERM for the treatment of severe plaque psoriasis. The company was founded by Charles Weissmann, Heinz Schaller, Kenneth Murray, Walter Gilbert, and Phillip Allen Sharp in 1978 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. BIIB price fluctuates within 3.27% (three month std-dev: 2.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 1.21%(42%) Average negative next day return: -1.74%(58%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 2.15%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -2.52%(75%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 2.99%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.91%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140629

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_29_2014	300.43	294.79	300.03	307.57	308.44	314.06	319.85(3.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	163	140	174	130	1.77	47%	0.12	54.7	2.72%	0	2.6	77	INF
2	May_28_2014	300.06	293.04	297.48	302.67	303.42	308.23	308.81(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	148	120	159	114	1.16	43%	0.06	38.9	2.7%	0	2	72	INF
3	May_27_2014	299.89	292.06	296.06	298.86	298.99	302.81	309.77(3.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	118	90	126	92	1.31	43%	0.07	18.4	2.73%	0	2.6	70	INF
4	May_23_2014	299.69	290.67	294.92	295.06	295.35	298.62	299.71(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	89	80	95	72	0.88	39%	0	-8.2	2.71%	0	1.6	59	INF
5	May_22_2014	299.69	289.94	293.64	293.38	292.91	295.17	299.69(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	78	50	83	64	1.09	39%	0	-21.2	2.73%	0	1.8	65	INF

6	May_21_2014	299.69	289.61	291.99	291.35	290.93	292.08	295.36(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	20	28	31	0.98	39%	-0.03	-25.6	2.75%	0	0.9	57	INF
7	May_20_2014	299.78	290.06	290.9	291.58	290.73	290.64	289.79(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10	-2	18	1.09	39%	-0.07	-8.4	2.76%	0	-0	53	INF
8	May_19_2014	300	290.8	290.57	292.79	292.08	289.78	290.75(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-32	-60	-44	3	0.77	39%	-0.07	13.6	2.8%	0	-0	50	INF
9	May_16_2014	300.21	291.12	290.5	294.75	294.05	290.81	291.32(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-55	-80	-75	4	1.15	39%	-0.07	35.7	2.83%	0	0	58	INF
10	May_15_2014	300.41	291.09	289.64	293.81	295.42	294.38	289.53(-2.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-14	-10	-25	18	1.31	39%	-0.08	34.5	2.86%	0	-0.2	54	INF

11	May_14_2014	300.66	291.19	289.39	292.5	293.29	297.29	296.5(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	100	49	37	1.03	39%	-0.03	24.1	2.87%	0	0.7	50	INF
12	May_13_2014	300.76	290.64	288.38	290	290.55	296.46	295.85(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	138	150	164	61	0.99	39%	-0.04	14.5	2.91%	0	0.7	41	INF
13	May_12_2014	300.88	289.85	287.76	288.02	287.06	289.29	300.54(4.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	82	40	103	19	1.68	39%	-0	-2.3	2.93%	0	1.4	44	INF
14	May_9_2014	300.89	288.55	285.91	285.92	285.25	284.63	286.65(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-20	-5	-44	1.08	33%	-0.12	-17.6	2.86%	0	-0.2	42	NAN
15	May_8_2014	301.25	288.6	285.82	284.99	285.62	284.83	282.96(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-10	-21	-57	1.23	33%	-0.16	-28.9	2.88%	0	-0.7	46	NAN

16	May_7_2014	301.73	289.46	286.95	285.75	285.69	285.87	284(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	0	-19	-52	1.38	33%	-0.16	-30.9	2.92%	0	-0.7	46	NAN
17	May_6_2014	302.21	289.61	289.07	286.38	286.48	286.41	285.94(-1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	6	-0	16	-23	1.24	33%	-0.15	-42.1	2.96%	0	-0.5	52	NAN
18	May_5_2014	302.66	290.02	290.97	287.36	286.14	285.52	290.06(2.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-20	-30	-21	-17	1.18	33%	-0.12	-45.4	3%	0	0	59	NAN
19	May_2_2014	303.03	289.93	291.71	285.97	286.87	286.54	282.01(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-3	0	-4	-1	1.28	33%	-0.2	-53.4	2.99%	0	-1	59	NAN
20	May_1_2014	303.64	290.91	292.7	286.73	286.67	286.77	286.75(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	0	-18	-2	1.31	33%	-0.17	-54.5	3.03%	0	-0.5	51	NAN

21	Apr_30_2014	304.16	291.98	293.27	288.35	287.43	287.19	287.12(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-20	-31	-7	1.45	33%	-0.17	-43.5	3.07%	0	-0.5	43	NAN
22	Apr_29_2014	304.69	293.05	293.26	292.27	290.68	286.58	290.84(2.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-51	-120	-66	-6	1.63	33%	-0.14	-30.9	3.12%	0	-0.2	54	NAN
23	Apr_28_2014	305.13	293.75	292.29	295.34	295.04	287.66	283.12(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-135	-180	-166	-43	1.8	33%	-0.24	-24.9	3.12%	0	-1	46	NAN
24	Apr_25_2014	305.87	294.36	291.67	298.32	299.78	294.78	285.81(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-106	-100	-132	-26	1.73	33%	-0.23	-28.7	3.17%	0	-0.9	50	NAN
25	Apr_24_2014	306.56	295.53	291.93	299.26	300.79	302.42	294.84(-3.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-10	50	-18	14	2.39	33%		-41.5	3.19%	0	-0.1	47	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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