Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Baidu Inc)
BIDU latest price $176.5500 (3.2%) ($171.7700 - $176.8346) on Thu. Sep. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.66% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $176.5500(3.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BIDU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BIDU advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BIDU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(70%)    MCHI(66%)    FXI(61%)    EEM(56%)    VWO(56%)
Factors Impacting BIDU price   BIDU will decline at least -0.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.83% (StdDev 1.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $174.04(1.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $173.93(1.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $171.89(2.71%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   12.5%
Market Cap   $61.793b

Baidu, Inc. is a Chinese language internet search company, which engages in the provision of internet search solutions and online marketing solutions. The company's products and services include Baidu App, Baidu Search, Baidu Feed, Haokan, Quanmin, Baidu Post Bar, Baidu Knows, Baidu Encyclopedia, Baidu Input Method Editor, or Baidu IME and Overseas Products. It operates through Baidu Core and iQIYI segments. The Baidu Core segment offers keyword-based marketing services. The iQiyi segment focuses in the membership and online advertising services. The company was founded by Yanhong Li and Xu Yong on January 18, 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. BIDU price fluctuates within 2.33% (three month std-dev: 1.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.9%(45%) Average negative next day return: -1.16%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.5%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -0.99%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 4.99%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.57%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_1_2016	170.7	171.89	173.93	174.04	173.58	172.89	176.55(3.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-3	-40	-8	12	3.61	55%	-0.11	75.1	1.66%	0	1.2	65	0
2	Aug_31_2016	170.88	171.21	173.77	173.3	173.4	173.43	171.07(-2.5%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-21	0	-31	9	3.05	49%	-0.09	63.1	1.62%	0	-0	60	0
3	Aug_30_2016	171.04	170.82	173.98	173.38	173.64	174.28	175.45(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	30	42	54	1.95	51%	-0.06	54.7	1.65%	0	1	73	0
4	Aug_29_2016	171.14	170.11	173.75	172.99	173.02	173.36	173.65(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	10	7	51	1.66	51%	-0.06	49.1	1.66%	0	0.7	71	0
5	Aug_26_2016	171.24	169.6	173.69	173.03	173.24	173	173.47(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-10	-6	57	1.44	55%	-0.06	49.3	1.74%	0	0.8	68	0

6	Aug_25_2016	171.34	168.93	173.2	173.84	173.79	172.68	172.85(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-20	-50	-44	53	1.34	55%	-0.08	53.8	1.74%	0	0.8	64	0
7	Aug_24_2016	171.48	168.56	172.75	174.35	174.82	173.47	171.49(-1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-20	-50	-49	69	1.67	58%	-0.07	62.1	1.74%	0	0.6	70	0
8	Aug_23_2016	171.6	168.26	172.24	174.6	175.17	174.9	173.49(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-0	-32	85	1.8	58%	-0.09	68.3	1.79%	0	1	75	0
9	Aug_22_2016	171.76	167.77	171.5	174.56	174.94	176.18	173.85(-2.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	56	60	34	122	2.77	58%	-0.09	70.5	1.79%	0	1.2	78	0
10	Aug_19_2016	171.92	167.09	170.77	174.38	174.24	175.43	177.53(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	100	50	83	150	2.91	60%	-0.08	67	1.77%	0	2.1	78	0

11	Aug_18_2016	172.06	166.23	169.7	172.47	172.96	173.7	175.4(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	77	40	57	135	2.54	60%	-0.09	61.2	1.77%	0	2	80	0
12	Aug_17_2016	172.21	165.5	168.42	170.94	171.31	173.04	172.73(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	80	56	114	2.43	60%	-0.1	54	1.76%	0	1.8	60	0
13	Aug_16_2016	172.38	164.88	167.37	169.52	169.95	172.22	173.3(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	115	100	114	117	2.64	64%	-0.07	43.9	1.77%	0	2.2	61	0
14	Aug_15_2016	172.5	164.24	166.11	167.96	168.26	169.57	172.95(2.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	81	60	82	78	3.45	64%	0.01	32.8	1.88%	0	2.7	63	0
15	Aug_12_2016	172.49	163.78	165.08	166.66	166.8	167.69	167.98(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	40	22	47	1.84	62%	-0.1	23.3	1.85%	0	1.6	64	0

16	Aug_11_2016	172.67	163.5	164.25	166.54	166.7	166.96	167.72(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	10	44	53	1.55	62%	-0.09	29.5	1.86%	0	1.7	62	0
17	Aug_10_2016	172.83	163.32	163.99	165.51	166.15	165.9	165.63(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	0	4	34	1.45	62%	-0.13	22.6	1.87%	0	1	58	0
18	Aug_9_2016	173.06	163.23	163.94	164.83	165.29	166.44	165.54(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	60	23	43	1.3	62%	-0.13	19.3	1.88%	0	1	59	0
19	Aug_8_2016	173.28	163.18	163.76	163.88	164.29	166.39	166.45(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	79	100	84	62	1.77	62%	-0.13	13.4	1.91%	0	1.4	60	0
20	Aug_5_2016	173.5	163.17	163.15	163.23	162.97	164.14	167.38(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	70	50	78	45	2.99	62%	-0.1	9.2	1.91%	0	1.8	53	0

21	Aug_4_2016	173.67	162.78	162.47	161.68	161.94	162.18	162.56(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	20	19	2	1.75	60%	-0.12	-21.5	1.88%	0	-0.1	50	0
22	Aug_3_2016	173.87	162.82	162.36	162.29	161.16	161.8	162.24(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-18	10	-20	-13	1.74	60%	-0.11	-16.2	1.89%	0	-0.3	45	0
23	Aug_2_2016	174.06	162.8	162.22	162.94	162.34	161.69	160.75(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	13	-40	16	2	1.85	52%	-0.13	-5.3	1.91%	0	-1	44	0
24	Aug_1_2016	174.28	162.87	162.29	163.6	162.98	160.52	163.23(2.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-120	-57	-26	4.26	52%	-0.11	13.7	2.13%	0	0.2	46	0
25	Jul_29_2016	174.48	162.95	162.41	163	163.13	162.99	159.6(-3.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-53	-0	-58	-36	7.86	54%		18.7	2.13%	0	-1.5	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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