Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Baidu Inc)
BIDU latest price $169.4500 (-0.93%) ($167.6700 - $171.5300) on Wed. May. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.47% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $169.4500(-0.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BIDU advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BIDU declines -4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BIDU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(70%)    MCHI(66%)    FXI(61%)    VWO(56%)    EEM(55%)
Factors Impacting BIDU price   BIDU will decline at least -1.235% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.235% (StdDev 2.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $157.27(-7.19%)
Resistance Level   $176.19
5 Day Moving Average   $165.9(2.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $167.63(1.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $176.19(-3.83%)
To recent high   -13.4%
To recent low   7.1%
Market Cap   $59.308b

Baidu, Inc. is a Chinese language internet search company, which engages in the provision of internet search solutions and online marketing solutions. The company's products and services include Baidu App, Baidu Search, Baidu Feed, Haokan, Quanmin, Baidu Post Bar, Baidu Knows, Baidu Encyclopedia, Baidu Input Method Editor, or Baidu IME and Overseas Products. It operates through Baidu Core and iQIYI segments. The Baidu Core segment offers keyword-based marketing services. The iQiyi segment focuses in the membership and online advertising services. The company was founded by Yanhong Li and Xu Yong on January 18, 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. BIDU price fluctuates within 6.27% (three month std-dev: 2.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.17%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.5%(33%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 3.06%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -4.9%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 4.69%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.42%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2016	174.77	176.19	167.63	165.9	166.31	169.83	169.45(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	37	160	75	-77	3.22	67%	-0.15	-61.2	2.47%	0	-0.6	37	INF
2	May_17_2016	175.03	177.36	168.3	164.62	164.43	167.55	171.04(1.83%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	69	130	119	-83	5.06	69%	-0.13	-62.7	2.48%	0	-0.6	36	INF
3	May_16_2016	175.26	178.49	168.54	163.65	162.93	162.8	167.96(5.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	-20	18	-146	5.49	71%	-0.04	-61.7	2.52%	0	-0.9	33	INF
4	May_13_2016	175.33	179.73	169.55	163.96	163.76	161.3	159.75(-0.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-104	-110	-73	-197	3.13	68%	-0.2	-58.7	2.46%	0	-1.7	23	INF
5	May_12_2016	175.69	181.45	172.88	166.79	165.67	163.07	161.28(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-132	-130	-113	-189	4.1	73%	-0.21	-52.5	2.48%	0	-1.8	23	INF

6	May_11_2016	176.06	183.23	175.38	169.58	168.7	166.21	163.05(-1.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-104	-120	-86	-158	6.15	73%	-0.2	-45	2.67%	0	-2	22	INF
7	May_10_2016	176.41	184.84	177.91	172.43	171.85	168.27	166.21(-1.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-96	-160	-80	-144	5.46	73%	-0.18	-39.6	2.67%	0	-2.1	23	INF
8	May_9_2016	176.73	186	180.16	174.06	173.45	171.19	169.49(-2.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-117	-100	-106	-151	6.56	69%	-0.14	-37.8	2.67%	0	-2.1	24	INF
9	May_6_2016	176.97	186.88	182.07	175.94	175.06	175.43	173.94(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-63	-0	-43	-121	3.11	69%	-0.14	-38.4	2.66%	0	-1.8	30	INF
10	May_5_2016	177.21	187.48	183.78	180.01	176.89	175.71	175.22(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-52	-100	-37	-96	3.56	64%	-0.14	-29.3	2.67%	0	-1.9	30	INF

11	May_4_2016	177.46	187.95	185.55	182.17	181.09	174.69	177.28(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-107	-270	-105	-111	4.01	64%	-0.13	-28.6	2.74%	0	-1.8	30	INF
12	May_3_2016	177.69	188.49	187.22	184.31	184.23	178.08	174.36(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-199	-230	-217	-144	5.48	64%	-0.11	-22.9	2.74%	0	-2.6	28	INF
13	May_2_2016	177.89	189.07	189.32	187.09	187.38	187.48	178.91(-7.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-77	10	-80	-66	10.17	60%	-0.08	-17.1	2.72%	0	-2.2	44	INF
14	Apr_29_2016	178.04	189.63	190.82	188.91	189.14	190.38	194.3(4.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	60	50	75	15	6.95	70%	-0.03	-2.9	2.56%	0	1.2	66	INF
15	Apr_28_2016	178.1	189.4	190.65	188.2	188.14	187.28	186.02(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-30	-27	-21	3.61	68%	-0.08	-1.5	2.55%	0	-0.9	58	INF

16	Apr_27_2016	178.25	189.66	191.63	189.55	188.91	187.9	187.95(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-50	-45	-5	2.26	62%	-0.1	16.8	2.55%	0	-0.5	65	INF
17	Apr_26_2016	178.43	189.76	192.25	190.69	190.51	189.01	188.25(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-24	-60	-37	14	1.89	62%	-0.12	27.7	2.64%	0	-0.4	54	INF
18	Apr_25_2016	178.64	189.85	192.27	191.95	191.78	189.93	188.04(-1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-36	-70	-54	20	1.76	62%	-0.12	39.8	2.64%	0	-0.5	59	INF
19	Apr_22_2016	178.85	189.74	192.09	192.93	192.78	192	190.76(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-22	-30	-39	29	2.02	62%	-0.1	43.2	2.65%	0	0.3	53	INF
20	Apr_21_2016	179.03	189.46	191.51	193.42	193.31	193.63	192.74(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	10	-2	42	1.73	64%	-0.11	47.6	2.65%	0	0.8	53	INF

21	Apr_20_2016	179.22	189.03	190.56	194.01	193.39	193.55	193.67(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-0	6	41	1.5	64%	-0.12	52.1	2.66%	0	1.1	53	INF
22	Apr_19_2016	179.44	188.74	189.87	194.08	193.79	193	194.52(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-30	3	38	2.12	64%	-0.13	64.3	2.66%	0	1.5	56	INF
23	Apr_18_2016	179.68	188.34	188.79	192.65	193.61	193.23	192.94(-0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	0	-4	19	1.5	64%	-0.07	64.6	2.67%	0	1.2	54	INF
24	Apr_15_2016	179.81	188.06	188.34	191.08	192.21	194.59	193.22(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	100	41	31	1.64	60%	0.08	62.1	2.69%	0	1.4	61	INF
25	Apr_14_2016	179.67	187.57	187.97	189.23	190.15	194	195.72(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	100	160	115	54	2.03	62%		58.6	2.76%	0	2.3	66	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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