Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 15, 2015

Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Baidu Inc)
BIDU latest price $150.2400 (3.6%) ($145.6550 - $150.3000) on Thu. Oct. 15, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.34% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $150.2400(3.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BIDU advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BIDU advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BIDU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(69%)    MCHI(65%)    FXI(60%)    VWO(55%)    EEM(54%)
Factors Impacting BIDU price   BIDU will decline at least -1.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.67% (StdDev 3.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $146.01(2.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $146.37(2.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $141.63(6.08%)
To recent high   -27.6%
To recent low   13.5%
Market Cap   $52.584b

Baidu, Inc. is a Chinese language internet search company, which engages in the provision of internet search solutions and online marketing solutions. The company's products and services include Baidu App, Baidu Search, Baidu Feed, Haokan, Quanmin, Baidu Post Bar, Baidu Knows, Baidu Encyclopedia, Baidu Input Method Editor, or Baidu IME and Overseas Products. It operates through Baidu Core and iQIYI segments. The Baidu Core segment offers keyword-based marketing services. The iQiyi segment focuses in the membership and online advertising services. The company was founded by Yanhong Li and Xu Yong on January 18, 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. BIDU price fluctuates within 4.14% (three month std-dev: 3.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.27%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.61%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 4.32%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.44%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 8.59%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.93%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_15_2015	172.5	141.63	146.37	146.01	145.71	146.97	150.24(3.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	56	50	48	80	3.58	41%	-0.3	8.9	3.34%	0	1.5	72	INF
2	Oct_14_2015	173.02	141.39	145.14	144.21	144.4	145.07	145.02(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	40	17	63	2.37	39%	-0.32	0.7	3.31%	0	0.6	70	INF
3	Oct_13_2015	173.58	141.58	144.45	144.16	143.58	144.45	146.5(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	30	5	65	2.69	41%	-0.16	0.7	3.31%	0	0.8	73	INF
4	Oct_12_2015	173.85	141.3	143.52	144.82	143.93	143.74	144.07(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-30	-3	69	2.43	41%	-0.35	-1.5	3.33%	0	0.5	62	INF
5	Oct_9_2015	174.46	141.14	142.51	145.93	145.43	142.71	144.22(2.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-14	-140	-37	57	2.85	41%	-0.33	0.2	3.33%	0	0.5	54	INF

6	Oct_8_2015	175.03	141.1	141.58	146.79	146.85	144.11	141.26(-2.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-32	-130	-58	47	5.55	41%	-0.32	0.5	3.33%	0	0	48	INF
7	Oct_7_2015	175.59	141.34	140.8	146.05	146.93	148.16	144.77(-3.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	80	4	50	6.81	41%	-0.28	-4.2	3.32%	0	0.6	46	INF
8	Oct_6_2015	176.08	141.55	139.59	144.57	144.82	149.59	149.8(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	89	240	100	57	3.18	41%	-0.24	-5.9	3.3%	0	1.3	46	INF
9	Oct_5_2015	176.5	141.38	138.12	141.95	141.59	145.7	149.62(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	109	200	130	44	3.76	41%	-0.25	-17.3	3.33%	0	1.3	57	INF
10	Oct_2_2015	176.95	141.13	137.07	138.64	138.11	140.06	148.51(7.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	52	90	71	-4	6.16	41%	-0.24	-37.9	3.35%	0	1.2	57	INF

11	Oct_1_2015	177.37	141.08	136.28	135.8	135.82	137.48	137.53(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	13	90	32	-45	3	35%	-0.3	-53.1	3.18%	0	-0.6	42	INF
12	Sep_30_2015	177.9	141.6	137.11	134.82	135.12	136.17	137.41(0.53%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	25	60	49	-46	2.63	35%	-0.3	-52.9	3.18%	0	-0.7	38	INF
13	Sep_29_2015	178.43	141.92	138.28	133.81	133.78	134.17	136.68(2.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-17	20	2	-73	3.39	35%	-0.31	-54	3.18%	0	-0.9	34	INF
14	Sep_28_2015	178.99	142.46	138.75	133.7	133.84	134.06	133.06(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	10	-7	-87	4.05	35%	-0.34	-51.1	3.15%	0	-1.6	33	INF
15	Sep_25_2015	179.6	143.42	139.62	135.25	134.87	133.4	134.34(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-80	-30	-91	3.53	35%	-0.34	-45.9	3.16%	0	-1.6	37	INF

16	Sep_24_2015	180.21	144.31	140.61	136.9	136.82	133.62	132.59(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-90	-170	-84	-108	4.84	35%	-0.33	-43.9	3.15%	0	-2.1	32	INF
17	Sep_23_2015	180.8	144.88	142.07	139.79	139.72	136.34	132.37(-2.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-104	-170	-106	-99	4.57	35%	-0.35	-52.3	3.15%	0	-2.5	34	INF
18	Sep_22_2015	181.43	145.23	143.89	143.39	143.08	140.01	136.12(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-73	-160	-78	-56	4.43	35%	-0.38	-65.3	3.15%	0	-2	44	INF
19	Sep_21_2015	182.12	145.55	145.15	144.44	145.6	143.11	140.84(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-43	-100	-46	-35	2.89	36%	-0.34	-92.9	3.13%	0	-1.1	44	INF
20	Sep_18_2015	182.75	146.15	145.71	144.53	145.27	146.14	142.57(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	60	-29	-35	3.28	36%	-0.32	-101.7	3.13%	0	-0.8	40	INF

21	Sep_17_2015	183.34	146.85	146.37	144.82	144.91	148.09	147.06(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	160	68	2	5.18	38%	-0.4	-92.1	3.11%	0	0	44	INF
22	Sep_16_2015	184.07	147.56	146.45	144.76	144.01	144.4	150.35(6.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	32	0	43	-2	4.84	38%	-0.38	-74.4	3.12%	0	0.5	59	INF
23	Sep_15_2015	184.78	148.23	145.76	144.71	144.07	141.72	141.4(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-56	-130	-62	-37	4.44	33%	-0.43	-63.6	3.01%	0	-1	58	INF
24	Sep_14_2015	185.58	149.48	146.38	146.07	146.46	143.62	141.27(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-58	-130	-69	-23	3.79	33%	-0.41	-57.6	3.01%	0	-1	53	INF
25	Sep_11_2015	186.35	150.6	147.47	147.01	148.29	146.43	144.03(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-60	-55	-11	4.92	33%		-59	3%	0	-0.8	43	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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