Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Baidu Inc)
BIDU latest price $199.6100 (0.59%) ($197.2300 - $201.6400) on Mon. Jul. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.88% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $199.6100(0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BIDU advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BIDU declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BIDU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(60%)    VWO(55%)    EEM(54%)    VT(45%)    QQQ(44%)
Factors Impacting BIDU price   BIDU will decline at least -0.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.94% (StdDev 1.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $193.2(3.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $190.91(4.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $196.32(1.68%)
To recent high   -9.5%
To recent low   8.1%
Market Cap   $69.864b

Baidu, Inc. is a Chinese language internet search company, which engages in the provision of internet search solutions and online marketing solutions. The company's products and services include Baidu App, Baidu Search, Baidu Feed, Haokan, Quanmin, Baidu Post Bar, Baidu Knows, Baidu Encyclopedia, Baidu Input Method Editor, or Baidu IME and Overseas Products. It operates through Baidu Core and iQIYI segments. The Baidu Core segment offers keyword-based marketing services. The iQiyi segment focuses in the membership and online advertising services. The company was founded by Yanhong Li and Xu Yong on January 18, 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. BIDU price fluctuates within 4.3% (three month std-dev: 1.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.17%(20%) Average negative next day return: -0.91%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.2%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -2.12%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 10.97%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.61%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150820

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_20_2015	203.94	196.32	190.91	193.2	193.56	198.29	199.61(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	138	180	169	45	2.9	46%	-0.02	-42.6	1.88%	0	0.4	47	0
2	Jul_17_2015	203.98	196.79	189.76	191.93	191.82	193.24	198.44(4.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	115	50	151	5	5.83	46%	-0.03	-42.8	1.89%	0	0.2	42	0
3	Jul_16_2015	204.05	197.33	189.44	189.8	190.43	188.82	190.1(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-59	-50	-41	-112	2.35	38%	-0.07	-45.4	1.81%	0	-0.8	28	0
4	Jul_15_2015	204.19	198.28	190.2	189.29	190.47	190.4	186.58(-2.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-73	20	-51	-140	4.05	35%	-0.11	-44.2	1.8%	0	-1.2	20	0
5	Jul_14_2015	204.41	199.24	191.41	188.89	190.94	192.04	191.28(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	39	70	88	-109	1.77	37%	-0.07	-46.6	1.79%	0	-0.9	21	0

6	Jul_13_2015	204.56	199.98	192.24	188.14	188.44	190.54	193.27(2.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	80	50	-147	4.05	37%	-0.08	-48.7	1.79%	0	-0.7	28	0
7	Jul_10_2015	204.73	200.7	193.14	187.29	186.93	189.83	187.75(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	22	100	83	-160	3.04	32%	-0.1	-51.1	1.74%	0	-1.4	16	0
8	Jul_9_2015	204.93	201.7	195.05	189.15	187.3	186.34	187.57(1.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-28	-70	21	-174	5.39	37%	-0.1	-47.3	1.75%	0	-1.6	16	0
9	Jul_8_2015	205.13	202.63	197.27	191.38	189.12	184.04	184.58(-1.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-214	-220	-205	-242	6.45	43%	-0.12	-43.9	1.78%	0	-2.3	13	0
10	Jul_7_2015	205.38	203.63	200.03	194.28	193.23	188.26	187.54(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-233	-200	-238	-216	6.25	43%	-0.09	-41.1	1.86%	0	-2.4	27	0

11	Jul_6_2015	205.56	204.51	202.31	196.87	197.22	194.21	189.03(-4.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-161	-100	-161	-160	4.58	41%	-0.11	-36.1	1.86%	0	-2.8	28	0
12	Jul_2_2015	205.79	205.44	204.58	199.74	199.57	198.2	197.03(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-100	-50	-97	-108	1.82	45%	-0.09	-21.1	1.81%	0	-2	33	0
13	Jul_1_2015	205.97	205.86	205.98	201.84	201.31	200.24	198.71(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-73	-50	-72	-76	2.88	45%	-0.1	-3.3	1.81%	0	-1.9	37	0
14	Jun_30_2015	206.18	206.17	207.12	204.16	203.73	200.94	199.08(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-84	-100	-93	-57	2.52	45%	-0.08	18.3	1.81%	0	-2	43	0
15	Jun_29_2015	206.35	206.44	207.83	206.74	206.09	202.38	200.5(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-141	-140	-167	-61	2.41	45%	-0.05	46.8	1.82%	0	-1.8	50	0

16	Jun_26_2015	206.46	206.55	208.47	208.57	208.73	206.51	203.36(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-102	-70	-128	-25	3.06	45%	-0.07	54.9	1.81%	0	-0.9	54	0
17	Jun_25_2015	206.6	206.32	208.96	210.07	210.49	209.79	207.55(-1.32%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-27	-20	-45	26	1.65	44%	-0.05	61	1.8%	0	0.3	54	0
18	Jun_24_2015	206.7	205.98	208.92	210.7	211.08	210.95	210.32(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	0	-1	53	1.66	44%	-0.03	70.4	1.83%	0	1.1	63	0
19	Jun_23_2015	206.77	205.53	208.38	210.54	210.81	211.18	211.98(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	20	14	60	1.89	47%	-0.02	79.7	1.83%	0	1.7	67	0
20	Jun_22_2015	206.82	204.93	207.45	209.14	210.34	211.2	209.64(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	50	51	62	1.99	47%	-0.04	86.4	1.84%	0	1.3	65	0

21	Jun_19_2015	206.91	204.61	206.81	208.36	208.71	210.44	210.87(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	56	60	55	59	2.54	49%	-0.05	99.4	1.85%	0	1.8	72	0
22	Jun_18_2015	207.01	204.06	206.27	207.71	207.1	209.48	210.7(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	79	70	80	77	2	53%	-0.04	116.6	1.86%	0	2.1	77	0
23	Jun_17_2015	207.1	203.31	205.59	206.92	206.53	206.98	209.51(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	76	10	76	74	4.28	53%	-0.09	116	1.92%	0	1.9	67	0
24	Jun_16_2015	207.29	202.51	205	205.95	205.79	204.71	205(-0.35%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-17	-40	-31	27	1.69	51%	-0.12	102.8	1.9%	0	0.7	58	0
25	Jun_15_2015	207.54	201.86	204.85	205.46	205.61	206.08	205.73(-0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	20	-9	37	1.39	51%		85.4	1.9%	0	0.9	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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