Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Baidu Inc)
BIDU latest price $213.3700 (0.25%) ($212.2600 - $215.2500) on Wed. Apr. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $213.3700(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BIDU advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BIDU advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BIDU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(59%)    VWO(55%)    EEM(54%)    VT(45%)    QQQ(44%)
Factors Impacting BIDU price   BIDU will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $210.57(1.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $212.51(0.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $210.38(1.42%)
To recent high   -8.6%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $74.68b

Baidu, Inc. is a Chinese language internet search company, which engages in the provision of internet search solutions and online marketing solutions. The company's products and services include Baidu App, Baidu Search, Baidu Feed, Haokan, Quanmin, Baidu Post Bar, Baidu Knows, Baidu Encyclopedia, Baidu Input Method Editor, or Baidu IME and Overseas Products. It operates through Baidu Core and iQIYI segments. The Baidu Core segment offers keyword-based marketing services. The iQiyi segment focuses in the membership and online advertising services. The company was founded by Yanhong Li and Xu Yong on January 18, 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. BIDU price fluctuates within 1.84% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.28%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.47%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.36%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.81%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.84%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.37%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150522

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_22_2015	216.97	210.38	212.51	210.57	211.15	214.11	213.37(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	64	110	70	45	1.61	51%	-0.1	-17.9	1.74%	0	0.8	53	0
2	Apr_21_2015	217.19	210.36	212.45	210.05	209.88	212.54	212.85(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	118	90	133	73	2.5	54%	-0.11	-10.3	1.74%	0	0.6	56	0
3	Apr_20_2015	217.44	210.51	211.63	210.26	209.34	208.18	211.86(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-50	8	15	3.18	54%	-0.16	4.1	1.8%	0	0.3	52	0
4	Apr_17_2015	217.78	210.53	210.88	210.97	210.23	207.22	207.87(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-120	-110	-145	-45	4.19	53%	-0.05	18.4	1.78%	0	-0.6	52	0
5	Apr_16_2015	217.89	210.86	211	212.35	212.95	210.5	206.9(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-98	-70	-124	-19	4.05	54%	-0.19	39.4	1.79%	0	-0.9	54	0

6	Apr_15_2015	218.3	211.08	211.47	214.67	215.05	213.25	210.77(-1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-57	-50	-84	23	3.22	56%	-0.16	64.8	1.8%	0	-0.1	54	0
7	Apr_14_2015	218.65	210.75	211.27	215.08	216.35	215.4	213.91(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10	-13	49	2.46	56%	-0.15	55.5	1.79%	0	0.7	50	0
8	Apr_13_2015	218.97	210.33	210.9	213.07	215.31	216.86	215.4(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	80	50	48	2.98	56%	-0.14	36.2	1.79%	0	1.1	47	0
9	Apr_10_2015	219.28	209.78	210.07	210.71	212.33	217.3	214.79(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	135	190	159	63	3.1	53%	-0.11	12.6	1.81%	0	1.1	51	0
10	Apr_9_2015	219.53	209.22	209.12	209.46	209.02	213.77	218.48(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	178	150	216	62	6	53%	-0.1	-5.5	1.81%	0	2	52	0

11	Apr_8_2015	219.76	208.48	207.95	207.98	207.13	207.36	212.84(4.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	67	-0	91	-7	5.22	53%	-0.15	-19.8	1.78%	0	1.1	52	0
12	Apr_7_2015	220.08	208.32	207.91	207.09	207.16	204.27	203.87(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-102	-100	-108	-82	2.04	49%	-0.19	-22.3	1.71%	0	-1.1	53	0
13	Apr_6_2015	220.5	208.72	209.16	208.42	208.48	206.91	203.6(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-104	-50	-119	-58	4.15	49%	-0.33	-6.3	1.73%	0	-1.3	51	0
14	Apr_2_2015	221.23	209.21	210.11	209.17	209.88	210.04	208.51(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	20	20	17	1.78	49%	-0.19	10.1	1.7%	0	-0.2	56	0
15	Apr_1_2015	221.66	209.47	210.69	208.56	208.93	210.05	211.07(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	40	33	33	2.56	49%	-0.18	15.3	1.72%	0	0.4	60	0

16	Mar_31_2015	222.07	209.3	210.67	207.89	207.76	209.73	208.4(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	55	60	57	47	1.84	49%	-0.18	15.3	1.72%	0	-0.2	57	0
17	Mar_30_2015	222.48	209.22	210.26	208.93	207.34	207.81	210.54(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10	26	34	2.06	49%	-0.12	20.5	1.72%	0	0.3	50	0
18	Mar_27_2015	222.75	208.96	209.79	210.18	208.8	205.79	207.33(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-58	-120	-76	-3	2.62	49%	-0.13	26.9	1.71%	0	-0.4	45	0
19	Mar_26_2015	223.05	208.82	209.58	211.25	210.98	206.87	205.44(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-159	-140	-194	-53	2.97	49%	-0.15	27.6	1.72%	0	-0.8	41	0
20	Mar_25_2015	223.39	208.87	209.48	213.08	213.3	211.81	207.74(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-93	-50	-117	-21	4.16	49%	-0.16	38.2	1.73%	0	-0.3	42	0

21	Mar_24_2015	223.75	208.7	209.22	213.72	214.42	215.08	213.6(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	56	30	58	50	1.93	52%	-0.11	39.1	1.71%	0	1.1	57	0
22	Mar_23_2015	223.99	208.39	208.82	211.65	212.24	214.79	216.78(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	79	90	89	50	2.21	52%	-0.1	25.9	1.71%	0	2	63	0
23	Mar_20_2015	224.22	207.84	208.18	209.36	209.6	213.76	212.69(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	150	140	176	73	2.29	50%	-0.11	5	1.67%	0	1.3	61	0
24	Mar_19_2015	224.47	207.65	208.13	207.71	207.15	209.68	214.57(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	152	80	178	73	2.92	50%	-0.04	-1.7	1.68%	0	1.9	65	0
25	Mar_18_2015	224.57	207.24	207.96	205.47	204.97	205.44	210.95(3.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	34	10	42	10	3.6	52%		-31.4	1.67%	0	1.1	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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