Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Baidu Inc)
BIDU latest price $234.6000 (0.16%) ($233.9000 - $236.9800) on Mon. Dec. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.03% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $234.6000(0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BIDU advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BIDU declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BIDU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(59%)    EEM(54%)    VWO(54%)    VT(45%)    QQQ(44%)
Factors Impacting BIDU price   BIDU will decline at least -1.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.015% (StdDev 2.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $228.9(2.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $228.5(2.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $232.54(0.89%)
To recent high   -6.3%
To recent low   17.8%
Market Cap   $82.11b

Baidu, Inc. is a Chinese language internet search company, which engages in the provision of internet search solutions and online marketing solutions. The company's products and services include Baidu App, Baidu Search, Baidu Feed, Haokan, Quanmin, Baidu Post Bar, Baidu Knows, Baidu Encyclopedia, Baidu Input Method Editor, or Baidu IME and Overseas Products. It operates through Baidu Core and iQIYI segments. The Baidu Core segment offers keyword-based marketing services. The iQiyi segment focuses in the membership and online advertising services. The company was founded by Yanhong Li and Xu Yong on January 18, 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. BIDU price fluctuates within 3.08% (three month std-dev: 2.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.66%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 4.64%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.32%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2014	224.76	232.54	228.5	228.9	230.34	234.33	234.6(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	93	140	113	32	1.66	61%	0.1	-44.8	2.03%	0	0.3	48	INF
2	Dec_19_2014	224.54	233	227.74	227.15	227.09	232	234.23(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	124	150	156	27	3.05	61%	0.08	-50.8	2.11%	0	0.2	46	INF
3	Dec_18_2014	224.35	233.18	227.46	226.16	225.83	226.35	231.88(3.59%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	78	10	108	-13	2.77	64%	0.05	-57.5	2.11%	0	-0.2	36	INF
4	Dec_17_2014	224.23	233.58	227.26	225.63	225.31	222.18	223.85(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-103	-100	-98	-116	3.01	62%	0.02	-64.1	2.13%	0	-1.2	25	INF
5	Dec_16_2014	224.19	234.54	228.01	225.89	226.97	225.3	219.96(-2.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-107	-40	-99	-130	4	63%	-0.03	-69.6	2.13%	0	-1.9	23	INF

6	Dec_15_2014	224.25	235.79	229.53	227.88	228.2	228.44	225.81(-1.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-18	10	5	-87	2.41	62%	0	-70.6	2.12%	0	-1.4	27	INF
7	Dec_12_2014	224.25	236.97	230.58	228.25	227.41	228.65	229.32(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	30	15	-89	2.55	62%	0.11	-60.7	2.16%	0	-1	28	INF
8	Dec_11_2014	224	237.72	232.04	228.93	227.24	227.97	229.23(1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	6	0	32	-72	3.04	62%	0.13	-55.1	2.16%	0	-1.2	41	INF
9	Dec_10_2014	223.71	238.74	233.62	229.24	227.83	226.17	225.12(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-45	-70	-30	-91	2.25	62%	0.12	-46.6	2.15%	0	-1.9	33	INF
10	Dec_9_2014	223.44	240.02	235.55	230.48	229.02	226.52	229.9(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-104	-100	-101	-112	3	62%	0.15	-39.3	2.13%	0	-1.5	35	INF

11	Dec_8_2014	223.11	240.93	236.94	231.45	230.99	229.49	227.67(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-86	-50	-82	-99	4.47	62%	0.17	-30.2	2.14%	0	-2	30	INF
12	Dec_5_2014	222.74	241.48	238.74	233.23	232.99	231.51	232.72(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-65	-50	-59	-84	2.89	64%	0.21	-27.2	2.13%	0	-1.5	29	INF
13	Dec_4_2014	222.28	241.76	239.39	235.71	234.85	232.49	230.81(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-103	-80	-106	-94	2.49	64%	0.19	-16.7	2.13%	0	-1.9	36	INF
14	Dec_3_2014	221.86	242.19	240.45	238.76	238.27	234.46	231.29(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-112	-120	-119	-90	3.1	64%	0.19	8.7	2.14%	0	-2.1	32	INF
15	Dec_2_2014	221.44	242.79	241.69	241.37	241.44	237.2	234.74(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-137	-120	-151	-95	2.57	67%	0.21	38	2.13%	0	-1.7	34	INF

16	Dec_1_2014	220.98	242.96	242.69	243.2	243.51	242.08	236.61(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-100	-40	-110	-70	4.2	67%	0.23	68.3	2.21%	0	-1.4	39	INF
17	Nov_28_2014	220.47	243.13	244.01	244.94	245.15	245.68	245.11(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	20	26	7	1.34	70%	0.45	99.4	2.16%	0	0.5	61	INF
18	Nov_26_2014	219.49	242.74	243.89	243.59	244.84	244.95	246.03(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	20	37	10	2.92	70%	0.29	84.3	2.15%	0	0.6	61	INF
19	Nov_25_2014	218.86	241.75	244.19	242.47	243.08	244.62	244.34(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	50	8	4	1.87	70%	0.26	77.7	2.15%	0	0.4	59	INF
20	Nov_24_2014	218.29	241.03	244.73	242.15	242.45	244.72	243.91(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	70	70	80	40	2.43	70%	0.12	67.6	2.15%	0	0.4	53	INF

21	Nov_21_2014	218.03	239.92	245.08	242.2	242.05	241.53	245.3(2.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-20	24	29	3.74	70%	0.25	64.1	2.16%	0	0.6	59	INF
22	Nov_20_2014	217.49	238.84	244.29	243.08	242.33	240.19	238.39(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-72	-70	-92	-13	2.14	69%	0.23	65.9	2.13%	0	-0	52	INF
23	Nov_19_2014	217	237.88	244.28	244.22	244.59	242.57	240.42(-0.96%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-53	-50	-71	3	2.88	69%	0.23	67.8	2.13%	0	0.2	55	INF
24	Nov_18_2014	216.5	236.9	244.12	246.1	245.95	244.47	242.75(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-50	-40	-76	29	2.88	69%	0.26	77.6	2.13%	0	0.5	68	INF
25	Nov_17_2014	215.94	235.92	244.08	247.62	247.38	246.62	244.15(-2.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-20	-29	73	4.38	69%		88.1	2.13%	0	0.7	64	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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