Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 25, 2014

Trading Signals: BIDU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Baidu Inc)
BIDU latest price $162.9100 (1.98%) ($159.2844 - $167.3600) on Fri. Apr. 25, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.51% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $162.9100(1.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BIDU advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BIDU advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BIDU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(58%)    VWO(54%)    EEM(53%)    VT(45%)    QQQ(44%)
Factors Impacting BIDU price   BIDU will decline at least -1.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    UUP(-4%)    TIP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.255% (StdDev 2.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $161.02(1.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $157.93(3.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $155.64(4.67%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   13.5%
Market Cap   $57.019b

Baidu, Inc. is a Chinese language internet search company, which engages in the provision of internet search solutions and online marketing solutions. The company's products and services include Baidu App, Baidu Search, Baidu Feed, Haokan, Quanmin, Baidu Post Bar, Baidu Knows, Baidu Encyclopedia, Baidu Input Method Editor, or Baidu IME and Overseas Products. It operates through Baidu Core and iQIYI segments. The Baidu Core segment offers keyword-based marketing services. The iQiyi segment focuses in the membership and online advertising services. The company was founded by Yanhong Li and Xu Yong on January 18, 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. BIDU price fluctuates within 3.24% (three month std-dev: 2.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 3.99%(20%) Average negative next day return: -2.29%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.19%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -2.33%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.63%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.15%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140525

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_25_2014	156.3	155.64	157.93	161.02	161.38	161.44	162.91(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	63	10	50	103	9.47	47%	0.15	34.3	2.51%	0	1.4	63	NAN
2	Apr_24_2014	156.07	155.03	156.74	159.6	160.11	160.04	159.74(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	6	10	-12	58	6.73	47%	0.08	21.5	2.53%	0	1	52	NAN
3	Apr_23_2014	155.94	154.63	156.49	159.1	159.18	161.33	159.34(-2.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	100	37	69	2.98	47%	0.08	11.1	2.58%	0	1	49	NAN
4	Apr_22_2014	155.81	154.43	155.66	158.32	158.27	160.17	163.01(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	91	80	96	76	3.9	47%	0.18	-1	2.59%	0	1.9	52	NAN
5	Apr_21_2014	155.53	154.08	153.74	156.47	156.04	157.03	160.11(2.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	40	38	26	3.02	47%	0.12	-17.8	2.61%	0	1.4	57	NAN

6	Apr_17_2014	155.35	153.94	152.63	154.4	154.78	156.36	155.8(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	80	47	10	3.39	43%	0.01	-35	2.6%	0	0.5	55	NAN
7	Apr_16_2014	155.33	153.99	152.7	153.43	153.28	155.06	157.23(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	80	41	9	3.85	43%	0.05	0	2.66%	0	0.8	56	NAN
8	Apr_15_2014	155.25	154.11	152.89	153.52	152.7	153.19	155.47(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	10	32	17	5.36	43%	0.01	0	2.7%	0	0.3	54	NAN
9	Apr_14_2014	155.24	154.48	153.17	152.62	153.05	151.49	153.76(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-60	10	4	3.78	43%	-0.05	0	2.75%	0	-0.1	48	NAN
10	Apr_11_2014	155.31	154.84	153.03	150.57	151.89	152.2	149.74(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	40	-32	-35	4.39	43%	-0.18	0	2.74%	0	-1	44	NAN

11	Apr_10_2014	155.59	155.39	153.18	150.49	150.82	154.6	150.97(-4.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	35	180	51	-12	6.67	43%	-0.15	0	2.81%	0	-0.9	44	NAN
12	Apr_9_2014	155.83	155.39	153.24	151.79	150.5	151.57	157.68(4.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	58	20	68	27	5.68	48%	0.06	0	2.72%	0	31	50	NAN
13	Apr_8_2014	155.73	155.39	152.64	152.35	151.62	147.04	150.96(5.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-77	-230	-91	-36	7.46	40%	-0.18	0	2.57%	0	29	39	NAN
14	Apr_7_2014	156.01	155.39	153.14	153.99	154.72	149.43	143.51(-3.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-172	-230	-202	-81	10.33	28%	-0.5	0	2.23%	0	27.5	26	NAN
15	Apr_4_2014	156.79	155.39	154.6	155.74	157.69	156.21	149.35(-5.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-77	-30	-91	-36	8.2	33%	-0.32	0	2.14%	0	34.7	35	NAN

16	Apr_3_2014	157.29	155.39	155.52	156.01	157.77	160	157.45(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	53	130	62	25	4.38	44%	0.01	0	1.79%	0	39.5	44	NAN
17	Apr_2_2014	157.27	155.39	155.48	154.72	156.04	159.16	160.47(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	137	170	161	64	4.42	50%	0.15	0	1.79%	0	38.9	50	NAN
18	Apr_1_2014	157.03	155.39	155.38	153.05	153.23	155.53	159.18(4.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	70	110	82	33	5.35	50%	0.11	0	1.85%	0	38	50	NAN
19	Mar_31_2014	156.85	155.39	155.74	152.42	152.79	152.93	152.27(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	41	10	48	19	5.35	25%	-0.27	0	1.28%	0	35.3	50	NAN
20	Mar_28_2014	157.27	155.39	156.67	153.44	153.64	150.93	150.66(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-101	-120	-119	-48	4.51	25%	-0.42	0	1.24%	0	35.4	50	NAN

21	Mar_27_2014	157.93	155.39	157.7	154.97	155.04	152.64	151(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-179	-110	-210	-84	8.23	25%	-0.49	0	1.3%	0	38.7	50	NAN
22	Mar_26_2014	158.7	155.39	157.7	156.27	157.42	156.34	152.12(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-62	-30	-73	-29	4.55	25%	-0.51	0	1.38%	0	46	50	NAN
23	Mar_25_2014	159.52	155.39	157.7	157.96	158.23	157.45	156.05(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-72	-30	-85	-34	4.29	35%	-0.31	0	1.27%	0	62.4	50	NAN
24	Mar_24_2014	160.01	155.39	157.7	159.57	159.4	158.5	157.38(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-50	-40	-59	-24	4.68	35%	-0.27	0	1.35%	0	69	50	NAN
25	Mar_21_2014	160.45	155.39	157.7	160.42	160.83	159.02	158.31(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-56	-70	-66	-26	4.53	35%		0	1.48%	0	73	50	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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