Trading Signals: BCRX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 12, 2021

Trading Signals: BCRX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Sep. 2, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.)
BCRX latest price $8.0250 (7.07%) ($8.0250 - $8.0250) on Tue. Jan. 12, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.99% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $8.0250(7.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BCRX advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BCRX advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BCRX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(43%)    IBB(38%)    IWO(38%)    IWC(37%)    IWM(36%)
Factors Impacting BCRX price   BCRX will decline at least -2.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-13%)    VXX(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    TBT(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility

Market Trend Strength   -2.495% (StdDev 4.99%)
Hourly BBV 1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $7.71(4.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $7.55(6.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $7.74(3.68%)
To recent high   -5.9%
To recent low   59.4%
Market Cap   $1.416b

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. designs and develops novel, oral and small-molecule medicines. Its drug candidates include Berotralstat, BCX9930, BCX9250, RAPIVAB, ALPIVAB, RAPIACTA, PERAMIFLU, Galidesivir and Mundesine. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Durham, NC.

$. BCRX price fluctuates within 5.3% (three month std-dev: 4.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 5.95%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 20.54%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 18.02%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_12_2021	7.31		7.55	7.71	7.75	7.76	8.03(7.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	20	8	18	4.58	84%	0.27	6.6	4.99%	1	0.7	44	1.1
2	Jan_11_2021	7.29	7.74	7.46	7.59	7.63	7.63	7.5(-3.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	20	1	-14	3.63	83%	0.14	18.6	4.94%	-1.6	-0.5	31	0.2
3	Jan_8_2021	7.28	7.75	7.44	7.56	7.61	7.74	7.76(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	140	5	-29	3.49	83%	0.28	43.5	4.91%	-0.5	0	40	1.6
4	Jan_7_2021	7.26	7.75	7.41	7.5	7.51	7.63	7.73(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	120	4	-46	3.4	83%	0.14	63	4.93%	0.7	0	38	1.5
5	Jan_6_2021	7.25	7.72	7.39	7.46	7.45	7.47	7.54(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	10	6	-59	4.4	83%	0.28	87.5	4.99%	0.4	-0.4	34	-0.4

6	Jan_5_2021	7.23	7.71	7.46	7.36	7.44	7.4	7.41(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	-10	3	-72	2.94	83%	0	105.1	5.05%	-0.7	-0.6	28	-0.5
7	Jan_4_2021	7.23	7.65	7.55	7.32	7.35	7.42	7.39(-0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	80	1	-71	3.16	83%	0.14	114.5	5.12%	-1.1	-0.6	39	-1.6
8	Dec_31_2020	7.22	7.56	7.63	7.3	7.3	7.48	7.46(-0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	170	1	-65	2.87	83%	0.14	69.7	5.16%	0.7	-0.1	50	1.2
9	Dec_30_2020	7.21	7.45	7.72	7.32	7.26	7.28	7.51(6.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10	1	-51	5.49	83%	0.14	60.8	5.16%	1.5	0.1	58	1.3
10	Dec_29_2020	7.2	7.33	7.79	7.33	7.27	7.12	7.05(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-170	-14	-47	5.3	82%	0	56.1	5.33%	0.4	-0.3	45	0.2

11	Dec_28_2020	7.2	7.25	7.94	7.57	7.4	7.24	7.2(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-220	-16	-14	4.12	82%	0	62.4	5.34%	0.4	-0	53	1.2
12	Dec_24_2020	7.2	7.15	8.04	7.83	7.67	7.42	7.29(-3.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-290	-12	34	2.82	82%	0	70.2	5.32%	-2.4	0.1	68	1.3
13	Dec_23_2020	7.2	7.04	8.09	8.02	7.96	7.57	7.55(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-370	-11	88	5.36	82%	0.28	73.8	5.31%	-0.5	0.4	78	0.5
14	Dec_22_2020	7.18	6.9	8.07	8.17	8.14	7.92	7.59(-8.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	26	-200	-11	136	17.51	82%	0.42	75	5.4%	-0.7	0.5	79	-0.7
15	Dec_21_2020	7.15	6.75	8.09	8.31	8.32	7.92	8.26(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	50	40	-3	209	6.3	91%	0.99	75.6	5.27%	-0	1	87	-1.6

16	Dec_18_2020	7.08	6.56	8	8.37	8.33	8.36	8.46(2.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	69	10	4	264	6.13	91%	1.43	76.5	5.34%	1.8	1.2	83	1.2
17	Dec_17_2020	6.98	6.34	7.77	8.3	8.34	8.27	8.25(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	78	-40	6	293	6.5	91%	1.45	75.4	5.34%	-0.5	1.2	82	1.6
18	Dec_16_2020	6.88	6.14	7.48	8.18	8.28	8.3	8.3(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	85	50	10	310	4.76	91%	1.62	74.8	5.33%	-0.3	1.4	84	1.5
19	Dec_15_2020	6.77	5.95	7.17	7.96	8.11	8.41	8.3(-2.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	85	320	9	313	5.48	91%	2.11	75.1	5.33%	-0.2	1.5	85	0.8
20	Dec_14_2020	6.63	5.75	6.83	7.83	7.84	8.25	8.53(4.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	98	370	18	338	9.51	91%	2.95	79.8	5.32%	0.8	1.9	88	-0.6

21	Dec_11_2020	6.44	5.54	6.48	7.58	7.63	7.81	8.12(6.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	107	180	25	351	8.3	91%	3.04	84	5.34%	1.2	2	88	0.3
22	Dec_10_2020	6.25	5.33	6.18	7.18	7.45	7.43	7.64(5.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	110	90	31	345	0.62	90%	2.8	81.6	5.3%	1.3	2	88	0.9
23	Dec_9_2020	6.08	5.16	5.88	6.67	7.06	7.44	7.21(-6.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	97	550	29	301	10.26	89%	2.88	73.6	5.27%	0.2	1.9	84	1
24	Dec_8_2020	5.91	4.99	5.62	6.24	6.54	7.47	7.68(5.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	104	1140	50	264	11.47	100%	6.49	66.8	5.2%	1.5	2.8	81	1.6
25	Dec_7_2020	5.55	4.79	5.28	5.67	5.87	6.68	7.26(19.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	81	1070	45	190	27.75	100%		61.3	5.19%	1.5	3.3	81	1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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