Trading Signals: BB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 19, 2020

Trading Signals: BB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 28, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 14, 2022)

(BlackBerry Ltd)
BB latest price $5.1900 (4.22%) ($5.0100 - $5.2100) on Mon. Oct. 19, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.55% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $5.1900(4.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BB advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BB advances 6.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(8%)    VIXM(8%)    VXX(8%)    XME(6%)    EWI(4%)
Factors Impacting BB price   BB will decline at least -1.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
IPO(-13%)    VFMO(-10%)    SKYY(-8%)    ONLN(-8%)    IBUY(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility

Market Trend Strength   -1.275% (StdDev 2.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $5.11(1.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $4.89(6.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $4.78(8.58%)
To recent high   -7%
To recent low   3.2%
Market Cap   $14.548b

$. BB price fluctuates within 4.6% (three month std-dev: 2.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 1.51%(71%) Average negative next day return: -1.54%(29%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 4.56%(65%) Average negative next three day return: -1.2%(35%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 3.9%(71%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.3%(29%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_19_2020	5.24	4.78	4.89	5.11	5.1		5.19(4.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	-10	15	156	4.82	83%	0	44.1	2.55%	0	1.9	69	0.7
2	Oct_15_2020	5.24	4.74	4.77	4.97	4.98	5.1	5.16(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	42	170	20	106	4.45	80%	-0.19	30.6	2.5%	0	2.1	63	1.6
3	Oct_14_2020	5.25	4.72	4.71	4.86	4.88	5.05	5.08(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	33	260	22	67	5.21	80%	0	15.6	2.51%	0	2.1	61	2
4	Oct_13_2020	5.25	4.7	4.65	4.76	4.75	4.87	5.14(8.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	26	170	25	30	10.69	80%	-0.19	-6.5	2.51%	0	2.8	61	2.1
5	Sep_4_2020	5.26	4.99	5.16	5.32	5.33	5.18	5.11(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	20	-190	-9	108	5.84	52%	0	56.5	2.94%	0	0.5	62	-1.6

6	Sep_3_2020	5.26	4.98	5.13	5.35	5.38	5.43	5.18(-6.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	32	80	3	120	5.34	52%	-0.19	62	2.94%	0	0.8	65	-3.2
7	Sep_2_2020	5.27	4.97	5.1	5.32	5.35	5.48	5.52(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	190	16	122	5.1	73%	0.19	63.4	2.86%	0	2.3	73	-1.3
8	Sep_1_2020	5.26	4.93	5.02	5.23	5.23	5.32	5.58(6.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	43	120	24	99	6.66	73%	0.38	63.1	3.05%	0	3.3	77	-1
9	Aug_31_2020	5.24	4.89	4.94	5.07	5.12	5.21	5.22(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	150	14	61	4.3	66%	0	61.2	3.03%	0	2.4	71	-0.6
10	Aug_28_2020	5.24	4.86	4.89	4.98	5.01	5.13	5.23(3.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	22	190	15	41	3.99	66%	0	53	3.03%	0	3.1	67	0.5

11	Aug_27_2020	5.24	4.83	4.85	4.89	4.91	5.03	5.03(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	11	180	9	16	3.54	61%	-0.19	45.7	3%	0	2.2	61	0.5
12	Aug_26_2020	5.25	4.82	4.83	4.85	4.84	4.89	5.08(6.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	9	70	10	5	7.74	61%	-2.96	38	3%	0	3.3	54	1
13	Jul_6_2020	5.41	5.07	4.9	4.87	4.86	4.91	5.02(3.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	70	8	-32	4.58	48%	-3.39	-34.1	3.69%	0	-0.2	51	1.1
14	Jun_23_2020	5.6	5.15	5.15	5.09	5.11	5.15	5.1(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	70	-2	-46	4.46	48%	-0.53	37	4.56%	0	-0.2	50	-0
15	Jun_22_2020	5.63	5.13	5.19	5.12	5.13	5.11	5.12(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	-20	3	-36	5.15	48%	-0.53	40.6	4.56%	0	-0	47	-0.2

16	Jun_19_2020	5.66	5.11	5.26	5.09	5.14	5.08	5.06(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-50	-4	-24	8.34	48%	-0.7	38.2	4.57%	0	-0.1	56	-0.8
17	Jun_18_2020	5.7	5.09	5.3	5.13	5.13	5.14	5.08(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	0	10	-0	1	3.76	48%	-0.52	40.7	4.57%	0	-0	61	-0.7
18	Jun_17_2020	5.73	5.07	5.32	5.12	5.17	5.21	5.1(-2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	80	-6	11	3.61	48%	-0.69	41.7	4.7%	0	0.1	63	-0.9
19	Jun_16_2020	5.77	5.04	5.33	5.21	5.16	5.11	5.22(4.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-100	-7	34	5.59	48%	-0.86	47	5.06%	0	0.4	63	-1
20	Jun_12_2020	5.82	4.98	5.35	5.45	5.41	5.2	5.25(4.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-290	-4	78	4.12	48%	-0.68	57.4	6.18%	0	0.6	67	-1.4

21	Jun_11_2020	5.86	4.94	5.3	5.49	5.53	5.38	5.03(-9.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	19	-170	-4	86	5.9	48%	-0.85	58.2	6.34%	0	0.2	65	-2.6
22	Jun_10_2020	5.91	4.91	5.26	5.53	5.59	5.62	5.57(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	70	4	97	2.86	100%	-0.51	60	6.21%	0	1.5	73	0.9
23	Jun_9_2020	5.94	4.86	5.17	5.46	5.5	5.68	5.61(-3.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	250	4	94	3.71	100%	-0.17	61	6.29%	0	1.7	77	1
24	Jun_8_2020	5.95	4.8	5.07	5.41	5.41	5.57	5.79(5.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	33	210	12	95	6.2	100%	-0.5	68	6.51%	0	2.5	82	1.6
25	Jun_5_2020	5.98	4.74	4.94	5.24	5.31	5.32	5.47(4.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	28	50	11	80	5.84	100%		77	6.52%	0	2.3	80	2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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