Trading Signals: BAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: BAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Baxter International Inc.)
BAX latest price $42.1300 (4.52%) ($40.4000 - $43.4400) on Wed. Aug. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.68% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $42.1300(4.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BAX advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BAX advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(58%)    VYM(52%)    SPY(51%)    IVE(50%)    VT(50%)
Factors Impacting BAX price   BAX will decline at least -2.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-18%)    GDXJ(-6%)    TIP(-4%)    UUP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.84% (StdDev 5.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.41(4.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.27(7.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.46(9.54%)
To recent high   -41.8%
To recent low   15.4%
Market Cap   $21.494b

Baxter International, Inc. provides portfolio of essential renal and hospital products, including acute and chronic dialysis, sterile IV solutions, infusion systems and devices, parenteral nutrition therapies; premixed and oncolytic injectable, bio surgery products and anesthetics, drug reconstitution systems; and pharmacy automation, software and services. It operates through the following segment: Americas, Europe, Middle East & Africa and Asia-Pacific. The company was founded by Davis Baxter in 1931 and is headquartered in Deerfield, IL.

$. BAX price fluctuates within 3.41% (three month std-dev: 5.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 2.28%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.02%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 3.38%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -2.65%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 3.52%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.53%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150905

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2015	60.98	38.46	39.27	40.41	40.42	41.01	42.13(4.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	25	100	18	47	40.38	18%	-0.44	56.3	5.68%	0	2.8	78	INF
2	Aug_4_2015	61.25	38.17	38.81	39.68	39.73	40.06	40.31(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	60	9	33	76.06	18%	-0.47	-93.2	5.64%	0	2.1	73	INF
3	Aug_3_2015	61.54	38	38.56	39.24	39.23	39.82	39.51(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	100	9	27	6.95	18%	-0.45	-276.7	5.63%	0	1.7	68	INF
4	Jul_31_2015	61.82	37.92	38.37	38.88	38.79	39.41	40.08(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	17	100	14	24	11.66	19%	-0.45	-460.7	5.68%	0	2.6	77	INF
5	Jul_30_2015	62.1	37.82	38.08	38.39	38.23	38.64	40.01(3.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.4	10	60	9	14	14.5	19%	-0.43	-770.1	5.68%	0	3.3	76	INF

6	Jul_29_2015	62.37	37.74	37.84	37.98	37.94	38.17	38.5(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	6	40	5	8	8.41	19%	-0.48	-1272.7	5.65%	0	1.5	72	INF
7	Jul_28_2015	62.67	39.14	37.75	37.82	37.83	37.82	38.09(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	4	-0	2	8	8.3	19%	-0.48	-92.3	5.65%	0	-0.1	75	INF
8	Jul_27_2015	62.97	40.61	37.71	37.82	37.77	37.71	37.7(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	-10	-1	8	8.9	19%	-0.49	-67.3	5.64%	0	-0.3	59	INF
9	Jul_24_2015	63.28	42.18	37.71	37.77	37.79	37.71	37.64(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	3	10	1	8	6.61	19%	-0.5	-55.9	5.64%	0	-0.4	45	INF
10	Jul_23_2015	63.6	43.78	37.7	37.71	37.74	37.84	37.97(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	3	20	2	5	10.27	20%	-0.5	-49.4	5.64%	0	-0.4	45	INF

11	Jul_22_2015	63.92	45.36	37.61	37.71	37.74	37.74	37.71(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	20	1	-0	8.72	20%	-0.5	-45.5	5.65%	0	-0.5	37	INF
12	Jul_21_2015	64.24	46.93	37.5	37.67	37.64	37.64	37.85(0.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0	-19	-0	1	-79	7.29	20%	-0.51	-43.1	5.65%	0	-0.6	7	INF
13	Jul_20_2015	64.57	48.48	37.42	37.64	37.63	37.54	37.66(0.8%)	BT	CloseShort	10	0	-38	-20	-1	-150	12.16	20%	-0.49	-41.8	5.65%	0	-0.7	7	INF
14	Jul_17_2015	64.89	50.03	37.45	37.63	37.64	37.64	37.36(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-54	0	-1	-213	8.86	20%	-0.49	-41.3	5.65%	0	-0.8	5	INF
15	Jul_16_2015	65.21	51.6	37.54	37.68	37.65	37.71	37.77(0.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0	-65	10	2	-266	8.28	20%	-0.49	-41.2	5.65%	0	-0.8	5	INF

16	Jul_15_2015	65.53	53.13	37.63	37.53	37.57	37.64	37.7(-0.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0	-76	20	4	-315	12.87	20%	-0.49	-41.5	5.65%	0	-0.9	7	INF
17	Jul_14_2015	65.85	54.66	40.53	37.29	37.39	37.59	37.73(0.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0	-74	50	3	-306	11.63	20%	-0.47	-42.1	5.65%	0	-1	9	INF
18	Jul_13_2015	66.16	56.21	43.57	37.17	37.18	37.49	37.6(-0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0	-73	60	2	-296	8.97	20%	-0.47	-42.9	5.65%	0	-1.2	10	INF
19	Jul_10_2015	66.47	57.79	46.81	37.26	37.13	37.19	37.61(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-70	0	1	-283	10.11	20%	-0.46	-44	5.65%	0	-1.3	12	INF
20	Jul_9_2015	66.78	59.4	50.16	37.39	37.3	36.87	37.02(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-73	-90	-7	-272	10.33	21%	-0.48	-45.6	5.64%	0	-1.5	10	INF

21	Jul_8_2015	67.1	60.95	53.58	37.76	37.69	37.06	36.5(-1.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-116	-120	-61	-279	7.8	21%	-0.5	-48.7	5.64%	0	-1.8	12	INF
22	Jul_7_2015	67.44	62.46	57.06	44.45	38.05	37.73	37.11(-2.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-132	-490	-96	-238	17.08	22%	-0.46	-42.7	5.64%	0	-2	13	INF
23	Jul_6_2015	67.75	63.97	60.48	51.16	46.33	38.31	38.04(-0.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-109	-1490	-86	-179	17.52	22%	-0.51	-35.1	5.64%	0	-2.3	13	INF
24	Jul_2_2015	68.1	65.47	63.82	57.93	54.57	38.36	38.3(-1.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.2	-213	-2250	-224	-179	20.26	22%	-0.47	-25.1	5.64%	0	-3	13	INF
25	Jul_1_2015	68.42	66.99	67.18	64.74	62.99	54.35	38.86(-44.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-3.8	-197	-1040	-223	-120	24.44	22%		-8.3	5.64%	0	-4.2	14	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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