Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 16, 2022

Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 19, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

( Alibaba Group Holding Limited)
BABA latest price $86.7900 (0.67%) ($86.6100 - $90.5700) on Fri. Dec. 16, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.18% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $86.7900(0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BABA declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BABA advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BABA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(31%)    EWJ(22%)    EWY(18%)    USO(17%)    XLV(17%)
Factors Impacting BABA price   BABA will decline at least -2.09% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-7%)    UUP(-6%)    BND(-5%)    XME(-4%)    VIXM(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.09% (StdDev 4.18%)
Hourly BBV -0.7 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $88.95(-2.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $89.98(-3.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $85.66(1.32%)
To recent high   -7.8%
To recent low   37.4%
Market Cap   $232.833b

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. engages in providing online and mobile marketplaces in retail and wholesale trade. It operates through the following business segments: Core Commerce; Cloud Computing; Digital Media and Entertainment; and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The Core Commerce segment comprises of platforms operating in retail and wholesale. The Cloud Computing segment consists of Alibaba Cloud, which offers elastic computing, database, storage and content delivery network, large scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, a machine learning platform, and other services provide for enterprises of different sizes across various industries. The Digital Media and Entertainment segment relates to the Youko Tudou and UC Browser business. The Innovation Initiatives and Others segment includes businesses such as AutoNavi, DingTalk, Tmall Genie, and others. The company was founded by Chung Tsai and Yun Ma on June 28, 1999 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

$. BABA price fluctuates within 7.13% (three month std-dev: 4.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -4.32%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 6.07%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 10.98%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_16_2022	83.03	85.66	89.98	88.95	90.28	89.04	86.79(0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-10	-50	-22	27	25.06	61%	-0.17	50.4	4.18%	-0.7	0.2	68	0.6
2	Dec_15_2022	83.17	85.53	90.35	89.86	90.59	90.27	86.21(-5.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-0	-28	56	30.38	61%	-0.2	66.9	4.19%	-1.6	0.1	68	-0.8
3	Dec_14_2022	83.34	85.16	90.41	91.45	91.22	91.52	90.91(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	20	6	100	15.56	63%	-0.12	84.2	4.14%	0.1	0.9	68	-0.4
4	Dec_13_2022	83.44	84.57	90.1	90.93	91.8	90.91	91.41(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-40	8	118	21.13	61%	-0.12	92.4	4.14%	0.1	1.1	71	-0.4
5	Dec_12_2022	83.54	83.6	89.03	90.94	90.7	90.92	89.41(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	10	-26	112	15.17	61%	-0.13	89.6	4.19%	-1.1	0.9	68	-1.9

6	Dec_9_2022	83.65	82.69	87.8	91.16	91.15	92.7	91.34(-3.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	55	120	29	133	15.41	61%	-0.17	87.7	4.2%	-0	1.2	63	-0.8
7	Dec_8_2022	83.79	81.63	86.29	90.91	90.91	90.47	94.17(6.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	-30	27	120	29.17	61%	-0.12	88.7	4.19%	1.4	1.7	60	-0.1
8	Dec_7_2022	83.89	80.17	84.69	89.26	89.82	89.6	88.33(-3.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	0	-16	92	19.46	59%	-0.2	80.3	4.12%	-0.9	1.1	63	-0.5
9	Dec_6_2022	84.06	79.18	83.49	89.11	89.24	91.35	91.45(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	58	170	40	111	26.6	59%	-0.13	80.7	4.1%	0.9	1.6	64	-0.2
10	Dec_5_2022	84.17	78.06	82	86.79	87.81	90.03	90.52(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	82	210	72	111	30.85	59%	-0.15	79.7	4.13%	0.5	1.7	71	0.5

11	Dec_2_2022	84.3	76.99	80.9	83.86	85	87.14	90.06(4.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	68	220	59	93	34.93	59%	-0.15	76.7	4.16%	1.3	1.9	71	0.6
12	Dec_1_2022	84.43	75.73	80.17	80.95	81.77	85.59	85.94(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	68	360	61	90	20.17	57%	-0.28	66.7	4.12%	0.5	1.6	70	0.8
13	Nov_30_2022	84.67	74.67	79.34	79.46	79.23	82.85	87.56(9.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	94	310	88	111	60.01	57%	-0.26	58	4.1%	1.4	2	76	0.9
14	Nov_29_2022	84.89	73.55	78.42	77.15	77.37	77.96	79.86(5.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	55	60	42	92	24.14	54%	-0.35	54.1	3.93%	1.2	1.1	66	1.4
15	Nov_28_2022	85.19	72.75	77.62	76.56	76.27	75.61	75.88(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-70	-25	66	19.1	52%	-0.53	50.7	3.87%	-0.8	0.5	60	1.4

16	Nov_25_2022	85.64	72.17	77.2	77.48	76.76	76.78	75.5(-3.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-30	-24	82	13.04	55%	-0.93	47.2	3.87%	0	0.5	59	1.3
17	Nov_23_2022	86.44	71.69	76.72	79.23	78.17	76.93	78.5(3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	-150	-2	123	18.99	55%	-0.48	52	3.97%	1.8	1.1	68	1.4
18	Nov_22_2022	86.86	71.17	75.44	79.16	78.81	76.75	75.99(-1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-200	-44	111	20.6	55%	-0.13	49.9	3.95%	-0.9	0.8	67	1.3
19	Nov_21_2022	86.97	70.54	74.72	79.83	79.62	79.41	76.93(-4.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	25	-30	-14	142	18.97	55%	-0.46	43	3.94%	-1.2	1	66	1.6
20	Nov_18_2022	87.37	69.85	74.01	78.71	80	80.87	80.48(-4.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	75	130	43	169	29.43	57%	-0.38	28.4	3.91%	-0.1	1.8	73	2.1

21	Nov_17_2022	87.7	69.36	72.9	76.76	77.87	79.84	84.26(7.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	76	220	47	164	61.9	59%	-0.36	20.3	3.88%	1.5	2.7	78	2.4
22	Nov_16_2022	88.02	68.64	70.93	73.87	75.53	79.14	78.16(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	99	400	83	147	26.21	56%	-0.44	3.8	3.77%	0.4	2.1	69	2.5
23	Nov_15_2022	88.41	68.22	69.55	71.2	73.04	75.91	79.3(11.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	100	350	97	110	52.92	56%	-0.45	-17.8	3.77%	1.4	2.6	64	1.8
24	Nov_14_2022	88.81	67.97	68.12	68.97	69.64	71.93	71.33(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	260	38	68	30.16	51%	-0.53	-33.4	3.49%	0.9	0.8	64	2.3
25	Nov_11_2022	89.28	68.18	67.35	68.64	68.43	70.18	70.77(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	170	44	68	38.56	51%		-38	3.49%	0.9	0.6	64	2.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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