Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 29, 2021

Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 19, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

( Alibaba Group Holding Limited)
BABA latest price $231.8600 (2.02%) ($225.1000 - $232.3800) on Mon. Mar. 29, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.58% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $231.8600(2.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BABA declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BABA declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BABA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(73%)    MCHI(70%)    FXI(68%)    EEM(60%)    VWO(59%)
Factors Impacting BABA price   BABA will decline at least -1.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-19%)    VXX(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    UNG(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.29% (StdDev 2.58%)
Hourly BBV 1.6 ()
Intraday Trend 2.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $227.07(-2.07%)
Inflection Point   Yes
Resistance Level   $232.93
5 Day Moving Average   $229.82(0.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $232.16(-0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $232.93(-0.46%)
To recent high   -14.4%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $622.016b

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. engages in providing online and mobile marketplaces in retail and wholesale trade. It operates through the following business segments: Core Commerce; Cloud Computing; Digital Media and Entertainment; and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The Core Commerce segment comprises of platforms operating in retail and wholesale. The Cloud Computing segment consists of Alibaba Cloud, which offers elastic computing, database, storage and content delivery network, large scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, a machine learning platform, and other services provide for enterprises of different sizes across various industries. The Digital Media and Entertainment segment relates to the Youko Tudou and UC Browser business. The Innovation Initiatives and Others segment includes businesses such as AutoNavi, DingTalk, Tmall Genie, and others. The company was founded by Chung Tsai and Yun Ma on June 28, 1999 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

$. BABA price fluctuates within 2.13% (three month std-dev: 2.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.07%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.84%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.05%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.48%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.05%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.26%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210429

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_29_2021	251.55	232.93	232.16	229.82	227.89	226.72	231.86(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-60	7	-24	17.99	55%	-0.28	-70.4	2.58%	1.6	-0.2	45	1
2	Mar_26_2021	252.26	233.38	232.03	230.87	230.18	224.8	227.26(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-108	-170	-121	-67	21.85	55%	-0.25	-75.3	2.66%	-0.5	-1.2	53	1.4
3	Mar_25_2021	252.89	233.92	232.55	233.38	233.11	229.05	222.72(-2.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-148	-130	-172	-76	23.25	55%	-0.3	-85.4	2.67%	-1.4	-2.2	44	1.1
4	Mar_24_2021	253.65	234.82	234.4	236.12	236.78	235.57	229.59(-3.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-34	-30	-45	-1	15.3	49%	-0.23	-86	2.67%	-2	-1	51	1
5	Mar_23_2021	254.23	235.81	234.93	236.87	237.89	237.16	237.67(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10	11	21	12.21	51%	-0.3	-84.7	3.15%	-0.3	0.3	51	1.1

6	Mar_22_2021	254.99	236.47	234.91	234.72	235.99	238	237.12(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	80	15	16	11.31	51%	-0.28	-92.3	3.15%	-0.8	0.1	52	1.9
7	Mar_19_2021	255.7	237.22	233.92	233.35	233.79	238.61	239.79(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	87	150	104	34	15.75	51%	-0.29	-84.8	3.12%	0.9	0.3	48	1.6
8	Mar_18_2021	256.45	238.26	233.26	231.77	231.1	233.98	236.43(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	80	89	18	14.81	51%	-0.29	-79.5	3.14%	1.1	-0.2	49	1.2
9	Mar_17_2021	257.2	239.54	232.65	232.64	229.87	228.96	233.34(2.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-60	-9	-25	16.91	51%	-0.34	-67.9	3.14%	2.3	-0.5	46	2.1
10	Mar_16_2021	258.07	241.29	232.9	232.84	231.96	228.22	226.93(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-68	-120	-71	-59	19.24	52%	-0.32	-60.7	3.12%	-1.2	-1	35	1.9

11	Mar_15_2021	258.9	243.42	233.71	235.08	234.45	230.78	230.28(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-88	-120	-93	-72	14.41	52%	-0.32	-55.4	3.14%	-0.7	-1	35	2.4
12	Mar_12_2021	259.73	245.25	234.82	234.36	236.21	235.7	231.87(-3.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	10	-29	-58	17.73	50%	-0.3	-54.5	3.14%	-1.1	-0.9	35	1.8
13	Mar_11_2021	260.51	247.07	235.41	234.76	235.09	238.12	240.8(2.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	18	90	40	-48	15.13	52%	-0.27	-52	3.13%	1.5	-0.4	34	1.5
14	Mar_10_2021	261.21	248.35	235.24	232.7	233.82	236.72	234.3(-1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	50	100	86	-57	10.46	52%	-0.3	-53.2	3.11%	0.3	-0.9	28	1.2
15	Mar_9_2021	261.99	249.96	236.71	233.1	232.57	232.06	238.14(5.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	-20	18	-98	15.23	52%	-0.27	-49.6	3.1%	1.6	-0.8	27	1.2

16	Mar_8_2021	262.69	251.19	238	232.35	232.85	230.93	226.69(-3.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-87	-50	-66	-151	17.06	50%	-0.32	-52.3	3.03%	-1.6	-1.6	15	0.4
17	Mar_5_2021	263.53	253.22	240.72	235.35	235.08	233.08	233.89(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-74	-60	-50	-144	15.95	52%	-0.26	-47.2	2.99%	0.4	-1.4	21	0.6
18	Mar_4_2021	264.22	254.92	243.55	236.13	236.98	234.77	230.5(-2.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-87	-50	-65	-151	22.8	52%	-0.28	-46	3.01%	-1.7	-1.8	16	-0.4
19	Mar_3_2021	264.95	256.67	246.92	238.06	239.17	237.07	236.27(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-85	-50	-64	-146	13.52	52%	-0.29	-45.9	2.99%	-1.1	-1.6	20	0.3
20	Mar_2_2021	265.71	257.72	250.28	240.88	241.21	239.2	234.42(-3.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-93	-50	-78	-138	14.53	52%	-0.28	-47.9	3%	-2.5	-2	19	1

21	Mar_1_2021	266.46	259.34	253.92	244.54	244.57	241.26	241.69(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-72	-90	-59	-112	13.48	53%	-0.22	-43.6	2.98%	-0.1	-1.7	30	1
22	Feb_26_2021	267.06	260.08	256.56	247.01	246.49	243.22	237.76(-1.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-129	-100	-129	-130	17.41	50%	-0.24	-42.7	2.98%	-1.3	-2.4	22	0.5
23	Feb_25_2021	267.71	261.36	259.79	252.17	250.22	247.88	240.18(-4.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-94	-90	-94	-94	17.82	50%	-0.22	-33.3	3.01%	-2.2	-2.7	23	0.2
24	Feb_24_2021	268.3	262.51	262.73	257.04	255.3	249.76	250.34(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-88	-170	-93	-72	12.72	55%	-0.16	-24.8	2.97%	-0.4	-2	36	1.4
25	Feb_23_2021	268.74	263.34	264.46	261.14	258.77	252.57	252.75(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-173	-190	-201	-90	15.93	55%		4.3	3%	-0.4	-1.9	53	1.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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