Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 10, 2019

Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 19, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

( Alibaba Group Holding Limited)
BABA latest price $159.8500 (3.64%) ($157.4000 - $161.9800) on Mon. Jun. 10, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.85% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $159.8500(3.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BABA advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BABA declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BABA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(75%)    MCHI(73%)    FXI(68%)    EEM(58%)    VWO(58%)
Factors Impacting BABA price   BABA will decline at least -0.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-13%)    VXX(-11%)    TLT(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)    IFRA(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.925% (StdDev 1.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $154.28(3.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $152.97(4.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $159.06(0.5%)
To recent high   -18.1%
To recent low   7.1%
Market Cap   $428.833b

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. engages in providing online and mobile marketplaces in retail and wholesale trade. It operates through the following business segments: Core Commerce; Cloud Computing; Digital Media and Entertainment; and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The Core Commerce segment comprises of platforms operating in retail and wholesale. The Cloud Computing segment consists of Alibaba Cloud, which offers elastic computing, database, storage and content delivery network, large scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, a machine learning platform, and other services provide for enterprises of different sizes across various industries. The Digital Media and Entertainment segment relates to the Youko Tudou and UC Browser business. The Innovation Initiatives and Others segment includes businesses such as AutoNavi, DingTalk, Tmall Genie, and others. The company was founded by Chung Tsai and Yun Ma on June 28, 1999 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

$. BABA price fluctuates within 5.63% (three month std-dev: 1.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190710

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_10_2019	174.24	159.06	152.97	154.28	154.51	156.64	159.85(3.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	115	100	147	19	36.47	47%	0.02	-69.3	1.85%	0	0.1	46	1
2	Jun_7_2019	174.21	159.87	152.38	152.29	152.85	152.73	154.23(1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	10	33	-81	17.82	40%	-0.01	-76.2	1.79%	0	-0.6	28	1.1
3	Jun_6_2019	174.23	161.05	152.5	151.29	151.92	152.38	151.5(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-40	30	-6	-142	15.76	38%	-0.02	-78.8	1.83%	0	-0.9	19	1.1
4	Jun_5_2019	174.26	162.42	153.18	151.21	151.34	152.97	151.65(-1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	80	45	-158	23.21	38%	0	-80.5	1.83%	0	-1	18	0.7
5	Jun_4_2019	174.26	163.88	154.28	151.37	151.02	151.46	154.15(2.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	10	48	-178	27.42	38%	0.03	-79.9	1.82%	0	-0.9	25	0.4

6	Jun_3_2019	174.21	165.52	154.87	151.51	150.99	149.71	149.91(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-101	-70	-54	-240	25.25	35%	-0.01	-74.4	1.8%	0	-1.3	27	-0.8
7	May_31_2019	174.22	167.73	156.76	152.52	152.33	150.57	149.26(-1.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-129	-80	-86	-256	26.88	35%	-0.02	-65.4	1.81%	0	-1.4	22	-0.4
8	May_30_2019	174.25	169.78	159.3	153.87	154.1	152.28	151.07(-0.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-120	-80	-78	-245	17.34	35%	0	-62.6	1.82%	0	-1.4	22	-0.3
9	May_29_2019	174.25	171.71	161.89	155.42	155.18	154.08	152.48(-1.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-134	-50	-98	-241	30.07	35%	0.03	-60.1	1.83%	0	-1.5	23	-0.5
10	May_28_2019	174.2	173.41	164.12	157.61	157.12	155.93	154.81(-0.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-92	-60	-52	-213	38.6	35%	0.28	-59.5	1.83%	0	-1.5	23	-0.4

11	May_24_2019	173.72	175.06	165.7	158.78	159.2	156.29	155(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-136	-120	-98	-248	21.49	39%	0.14	-60	1.85%	0	-1.7	20	-0.5
12	May_23_2019	173.48	176.73	168.02	161.7	160.68	158.31	156(-1.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-208	-120	-184	-281	26.89	39%	0.12	-58	1.87%	0	-1.9	18	-0.7
13	May_22_2019	173.28	178.39	170.37	165.61	164.28	162.1	158.83(-2.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-144	-120	-114	-235	25.83	42%	-0.09	-54.2	1.87%	0	-2	25	-1.1
14	May_21_2019	173.43	179.81	172.5	169.36	168.32	163.05	163.43(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-178	-240	-159	-233	22.01	45%	0.16	-49.9	1.88%	0	-1.8	29	-0.6
15	May_20_2019	173.16	181.07	174.33	171.65	171.67	166.47	160.65(-5.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-249	-210	-247	-256	33.41	45%	0.13	-46	1.87%	0	-2.5	31	-0.8

16	May_17_2019	172.93	182.4	177.13	173.52	174.45	173.6	169.57(-3.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-125	-20	-103	-189	22.54	52%	0.19	-50.3	1.76%	0	-1.9	35	-0.9
17	May_16_2019	172.61	183.33	179.61	175.2	174.39	176.87	175.57(-1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	90	34	-108	20.58	56%	0.22	-47.4	1.72%	0	-1.3	38	-0.9
18	May_15_2019	172.23	183.95	181.04	175.9	174.39	175.31	177.6(1.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	54	0	96	-74	37.61	56%	0.03	-45.6	1.73%	0	-1.1	39	-1.1
19	May_14_2019	172.17	184.39	182.18	176.3	174.79	171.91	174.84(2.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-117	-140	-107	-146	17.87	56%	0.26	-46.9	1.73%	0	-1.7	39	-1.3
20	May_13_2019	171.72	184.87	183.32	177.61	176.54	174.27	170.01(-4.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-179	-110	-182	-170	22.33	53%	0.23	-47.2	1.69%	0	-2.8	31	-1.5

21	May_10_2019	171.33	185.88	185.14	181.26	179.82	177.66	178(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-102	-110	-102	-103	18.99	59%	0.26	-33.8	1.56%	0	-2	42	-1.4
22	May_9_2019	170.88	186.28	186.12	184.7	181.96	178.82	179.04(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-173	-170	-196	-102	22.73	59%	0.26	-6.7	1.57%	0	-2	41	-1.8
23	May_8_2019	170.44	186.68	187.08	186.97	186.11	181.99	179.59(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-131	-170	-154	-60	16.61	59%	0.24	23.5	1.59%	0	-2.2	40	-2.1
24	May_7_2019	170.04	187.1	187.79	188.92	188.42	185.1	181.43(-3.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-159	-130	-194	-54	22.66	55%	0.23	56.8	1.58%	0	-2.1	46	-2.5
25	May_6_2019	169.65	187.39	188.46	189.74	189.76	190.24	188.24(-3.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-25	20	-42	26	23.94	60%		85.3	1.55%	0	0.4	60	-2.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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