Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 12, 2019

Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 19, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

( Alibaba Group Holding Limited)
BABA latest price $168.7100 (0.75%) ($168.6100 - $170.4900) on Tue. Feb. 12, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.36% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $168.7100(0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BABA declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BABA advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BABA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(75%)    MCHI(73%)    FXI(68%)    EEM(58%)    VWO(58%)
Factors Impacting BABA price   BABA will decline at least -1.18% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    XHB(-6%)    VIXM(-5%)    UUP(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.18% (StdDev 2.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $168.4(0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $168.39(0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $162.27(3.97%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   29.2%
Market Cap   $452.602b

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. engages in providing online and mobile marketplaces in retail and wholesale trade. It operates through the following business segments: Core Commerce; Cloud Computing; Digital Media and Entertainment; and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The Core Commerce segment comprises of platforms operating in retail and wholesale. The Cloud Computing segment consists of Alibaba Cloud, which offers elastic computing, database, storage and content delivery network, large scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, a machine learning platform, and other services provide for enterprises of different sizes across various industries. The Digital Media and Entertainment segment relates to the Youko Tudou and UC Browser business. The Innovation Initiatives and Others segment includes businesses such as AutoNavi, DingTalk, Tmall Genie, and others. The company was founded by Chung Tsai and Yun Ma on June 28, 1999 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

$. BABA price fluctuates within 4.25% (three month std-dev: 2.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 1.28%(59%) Average negative next day return: -2.01%(41%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 2.28%(41%) Average negative next three day return: -11.01%(59%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 3.23%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.02%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190312

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_12_2019	151.18	162.27	168.39	168.4	167.76	168.94	168.71(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	46	40	29	98	8.59	66%	0.04	67.5	2.36%	0	0.9	76	1.5
2	Feb_11_2019	151.12	161.32	167.32	169.02	168.33	167.08	167.45(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-60	6	104	7.26	66%	0.01	71.9	2.37%	0	0.8	75	1.3
3	Feb_8_2019	151.1	160.53	166.54	168.87	168.72	166.58	167.36(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-30	-90	-66	78	8.33	63%	0.01	78.4	2.4%	0	0.9	64	1.3
4	Feb_7_2019	151.08	159.74	165.78	169	168.94	169.57	166.96(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	30	-30	101	11.91	65%	0.03	93.5	2.42%	0	1	65	1.1
5	Feb_6_2019	151.03	158.99	164.75	169.3	169.12	170.85	171.52(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	88	70	68	147	11.27	67%	0.1	106.7	2.43%	0	1.7	73	1.7

6	Feb_5_2019	150.88	157.74	162.84	168.36	168.2	168.31	171.83(3.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	73	0	52	137	12.8	67%	0.09	113.7	2.44%	0	2	76	1.8
7	Feb_4_2019	150.75	156.29	160.86	165.37	166.71	167.4	166.7(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	50	20	105	7.38	66%	0.02	107.7	2.43%	0	1.5	75	1.9
8	Feb_1_2019	150.72	154.97	159.85	163.82	164.59	168.09	167.97(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	94	160	83	127	10.77	69%	0.01	97.7	2.45%	0	1.8	72	1.4
9	Jan_31_2019	150.7	153.15	158.59	162.06	162.01	166.02	168.49(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	136	170	135	137	21.22	71%	0.05	76	2.56%	0	1.8	72	1.4
10	Jan_30_2019	150.63	151.55	157.13	159.54	159.78	161.08	166.82(6.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	105	60	104	107	37	71%	0.07	71.6	2.61%	0	1.9	70	1.1

11	Jan_29_2019	150.53	150.04	155.48	156.58	157.16	157.99	156.88(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	50	10	54	18.35	62%	0.01	70.1	2.51%	0	0.9	69	0.5
12	Jan_28_2019	150.52	149.17	154.76	155.63	155.94	158.47	158.92(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	60	120	56	71	10.14	62%	-0.03	66.5	2.65%	0	1.2	76	0.6
13	Jan_25_2019	150.56	148.14	153.98	155.25	154.73	156.32	159.21(2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	69	60	62	88	16.46	63%	-0.01	67	2.66%	0	1.4	80	1.1
14	Jan_24_2019	150.57	147.06	153.19	154.61	154.33	153.42	155.86(2.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-50	4	90	11	60%	-0.05	64.8	2.68%	0	1.1	84	0.8
15	Jan_23_2019	150.65	145.89	152.77	154.4	154.58	153.13	152.03(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-60	-39	93	10.2	60%	-0.13	57.9	2.74%	0	0.8	69	0.6

16	Jan_22_2019	150.84	144.92	152.31	154.17	154.69	155.24	152.15(-3.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	40	-7	120	21.29	62%	-0.16	46.6	2.75%	0	0.9	69	0.5
17	Jan_18_2019	151.08	144.07	151.5	153.6	154.28	156.03	157.02(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	86	90	64	153	19.61	61%	-0.13	32.1	2.74%	0	1.5	71	1.5
18	Jan_17_2019	151.27	143.03	149.82	152.46	152.1	154.13	155.97(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	65	90	41	137	16.15	61%	-0.15	21.7	2.79%	0	1.6	71	1.4
19	Jan_16_2019	151.5	142.2	147.39	151.6	151.36	152.53	154.84(2.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	74	50	55	129	14.81	63%	-0.16	13.5	2.8%	0	1.7	71	1.3
20	Jan_15_2019	151.74	141.57	145.58	151.02	150.6	150.07	150.88(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	31	-30	3	113	15	61%	-0.2	7.7	2.82%	0	1.3	74	1.7

21	Jan_14_2019	152.05	141.38	144.21	150.2	150.48	150.19	149.27(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	-10	-2	114	13.36	61%	-0.17	1.9	2.83%	0	1.2	73	1.3
22	Jan_11_2019	152.31	141.39	143.18	148.96	149.63	151.14	151.32(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	66	80	44	130	9.59	64%	-0.14	-6.4	2.86%	0	1.5	69	1.3
23	Jan_10_2019	152.53	141.29	141.83	146.65	147.14	150.76	151.69(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	110	180	101	136	14.22	60%	-0.18	-20.7	2.88%	0	1.6	65	0.9
24	Jan_9_2019	152.8	141.18	140.37	142.43	143.78	148.13	151.92(3.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	132	240	139	111	20.21	58%	-0.18	-46.3	2.98%	0	1.6	60	0.8
25	Jan_8_2019	153.08	141.04	138.31	139.39	139.15	143.52	146.79(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	91	210	103	56	16.49	56%		-65.1	2.97%	0	0.9	51	0.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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