Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ BABA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 25, 2017

Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 19, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

( Alibaba Group Holding Limited)
BABA latest price $152.4400 (0.12%) ($150.8500 - $152.7500) on Tue. Jul. 25, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.06% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $152.4400(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BABA declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BABA advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BABA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(76%)    MCHI(74%)    FXI(68%)    EEM(60%)    VWO(60%)
Factors Impacting BABA price   BABA will decline at least -1.03% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-8%)    IPO(-7%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.03% (StdDev 2.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $152.37(0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $151.78(0.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $147.5(3.35%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   32.6%
Market Cap   $408.954b

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. engages in providing online and mobile marketplaces in retail and wholesale trade. It operates through the following business segments: Core Commerce; Cloud Computing; Digital Media and Entertainment; and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The Core Commerce segment comprises of platforms operating in retail and wholesale. The Cloud Computing segment consists of Alibaba Cloud, which offers elastic computing, database, storage and content delivery network, large scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, a machine learning platform, and other services provide for enterprises of different sizes across various industries. The Digital Media and Entertainment segment relates to the Youko Tudou and UC Browser business. The Innovation Initiatives and Others segment includes businesses such as AutoNavi, DingTalk, Tmall Genie, and others. The company was founded by Chung Tsai and Yun Ma on June 28, 1999 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

$. BABA price fluctuates within 3.22% (three month std-dev: 2.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 0.57%(63%) Average negative next day return: -0.48%(37%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 1.23%(58%) Average negative next three day return: -1.2%(42%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 2.01%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.7%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170825

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_25_2017	124.18	147.5	151.78	152.37	152.28	152.28	152.44(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	18	-0	-3	80	8.46	77%	0.41	57.1	2.06%	0	1	71	INF
2	Jul_24_2017	123.67	147.01	151.16	152.63	152.28	152	152.26(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-30	-5	93	10.65	77%	0.41	63.6	2.06%	0	1.1	77	INF
3	Jul_21_2017	123.17	146.53	150.37	152.43	152.84	152.27	151.89(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-6	-20	-36	86	11.45	77%	0.41	72.5	2.07%	0	1.2	77	INF
4	Jul_20_2017	122.67	146.04	149.49	152.41	153.01	153.67	152.11(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	40	17	113	16.74	78%	0.4	83	2.07%	0	1.4	77	INF
5	Jul_19_2017	122.18	145.58	148.53	151.9	152.5	153.41	153.15(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	67	50	49	119	16.9	78%	0.42	91.8	2.07%	0	1.8	68	INF

6	Jul_18_2017	121.67	144.83	147.68	151.07	151.23	152.35	153.75(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	62	60	44	117	15.31	78%	0.42	92.3	2.07%	0	2.2	73	INF
7	Jul_17_2017	121.16	144.09	146.39	149.48	150.15	151.6	151.23(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	81	80	72	109	15.34	79%	0.41	91.8	2.07%	0	1.9	66	INF
8	Jul_14_2017	120.67	143.28	145.35	147.99	148.29	150.12	151.83(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	78	90	74	91	11.47	79%	0.42	73.5	2.07%	0	2.3	67	INF
9	Jul_13_2017	120.16	142.43	144.21	146.11	146.38	148.7	149.52(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	84	120	88	73	11.68	79%	0.38	53.4	2.08%	0	2	65	INF
10	Jul_12_2017	119.7	141.78	143.58	144.65	144.7	146.47	149(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	77	90	83	57	14.96	79%	0.4	60.3	2.08%	0	2.1	61	INF

11	Jul_11_2017	119.22	141.14	142.79	143.82	143.34	144.06	145.81(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	30	41	37	13.52	78%	0.23	76.4	2.07%	0	1.5	66	INF
12	Jul_10_2017	118.95	140.78	142.44	142.86	142.85	142.94	143.81(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	0	19	23	10.35	79%	0.38	94.7	2.08%	0	1	60	INF
13	Jul_7_2017	118.5	140.55	142.34	142.28	142.32	142.62	142.43(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	20	5	26	8.05	79%	0.36	117.8	2.09%	0	0.7	67	INF
14	Jul_6_2017	118.07	140.53	142.32	141.95	141.94	142.75	142.2(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	40	20	43	11.93	79%	0.36	146.8	2.09%	0	0.6	66	INF
15	Jul_5_2017	117.65	139.77	142.43	142.3	141.59	142.01	144.87(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	10	25	62	17	79%	0.5	104.6	2.07%	0	1.2	66	INF

16	Jul_3_2017	117.06	138.8	141.79	141.64	141.65	141.12	140.99(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-30	-9	46	6.98	78%	0.33	75.1	2.04%	0	0.4	62	INF
17	Jun_30_2017	116.67	138.08	141.67	141.98	142.04	141.16	140.9(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-17	-40	-37	42	12.28	78%	0.33	70.9	2.03%	0	0.4	54	INF
18	Jun_29_2017	116.29	137.29	141.14	142.41	142.61	142.19	140.81(-2.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-20	-25	44	24.13	78%	0.33	68.5	2.04%	0	0.5	53	INF
19	Jun_28_2017	115.91	136.5	140.63	142.7	142.93	142.92	143.95(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	0	0	45	17.76	82%	0.38	66.4	2.01%	0	1	51	INF
20	Jun_27_2017	115.47	135.45	139.9	142.57	142.76	143.04	141.53(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	20	14	73	17.37	82%	0.37	65.2	2.01%	0	0.8	73	INF

21	Jun_26_2017	115.05	134.59	139.41	141.94	142.31	142.93	142.73(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	40	31	98	17.83	82%	0.38	62.9	2%	0	1.1	76	INF
22	Jun_23_2017	114.62	133.65	139.01	141.28	141.29	142.49	143.01(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	66	60	46	126	11.76	83%	0.38	61	2%	0	1.2	75	INF
23	Jun_22_2017	114.19	132.68	138.59	139.66	140.35	141.69	142.27(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	96	80	77	152	21.9	83%	0.37	57.5	2.01%	0	1.3	75	INF
24	Jun_21_2017	113.77	131.7	138.52	138.22	138.56	140.08	143.29(3.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	86	80	59	167	30.91	80%	0.37	54.6	2.01%	0	1.5	77	INF
25	Jun_20_2017	113.35	130.65	136.82	136.89	137.05	139.01	138.38(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	86	100	60	164	20.58	79%		51.5	1.99%	0	1.1	76	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.