Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 13, 2017

Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 19, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

( Alibaba Group Holding Limited)
BABA latest price $149.5200 (0.35%) ($148.0000 - $150.0000) on Thu. Jul. 13, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.08% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $149.5200(0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BABA advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BABA advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BABA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(76%)    MCHI(74%)    FXI(68%)    EEM(60%)    VWO(60%)
Factors Impacting BABA price   BABA will decline at least -1.04% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-8%)    IPO(-7%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.04% (StdDev 2.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $146.11(2.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $144.21(3.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $142.43(4.98%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   35.7%
Market Cap   $401.121b

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. engages in providing online and mobile marketplaces in retail and wholesale trade. It operates through the following business segments: Core Commerce; Cloud Computing; Digital Media and Entertainment; and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The Core Commerce segment comprises of platforms operating in retail and wholesale. The Cloud Computing segment consists of Alibaba Cloud, which offers elastic computing, database, storage and content delivery network, large scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, a machine learning platform, and other services provide for enterprises of different sizes across various industries. The Digital Media and Entertainment segment relates to the Youko Tudou and UC Browser business. The Innovation Initiatives and Others segment includes businesses such as AutoNavi, DingTalk, Tmall Genie, and others. The company was founded by Chung Tsai and Yun Ma on June 28, 1999 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

$. BABA price fluctuates within 2.53% (three month std-dev: 2.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 35 Average positive next day return: 1.48%(34%) Average negative next day return: -0.9%(66%) Sample size 35 Average positive next three day return: 2.9%(29%) Average negative next three day return: -1.34%(71%) Sample size 35 Average positive next weekly return: 3.15%(37%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.09%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170813

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2017	120.16	142.43	144.21	146.11	146.38	148.7	149.52(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	84	120	88	73	11.68	79%	0.38	53.4	2.08%	0	2	65	INF
2	Jul_12_2017	119.7	141.78	143.58	144.65	144.7	146.47	149(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	77	90	83	57	14.96	79%	0.4	60.3	2.08%	0	2.1	61	INF
3	Jul_11_2017	119.22	141.14	142.79	143.82	143.34	144.06	145.81(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	30	41	37	13.52	78%	0.23	76.4	2.07%	0	1.5	66	INF
4	Jul_10_2017	118.95	140.78	142.44	142.86	142.85	142.94	143.81(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	0	19	23	10.35	79%	0.38	94.7	2.08%	0	1	60	INF
5	Jul_7_2017	118.5	140.55	142.34	142.28	142.32	142.62	142.43(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	20	5	26	8.05	79%	0.36	117.8	2.09%	0	0.7	67	INF

6	Jul_6_2017	118.07	140.53	142.32	141.95	141.94	142.75	142.2(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	40	20	43	11.93	79%	0.36	146.8	2.09%	0	0.6	66	INF
7	Jul_5_2017	117.65	139.77	142.43	142.3	141.59	142.01	144.87(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	10	25	62	17	79%	0.5	104.6	2.07%	0	1.2	66	INF
8	Jul_3_2017	117.06	138.8	141.79	141.64	141.65	141.12	140.99(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-30	-9	46	6.98	78%	0.33	75.1	2.04%	0	0.4	62	INF
9	Jun_30_2017	116.67	138.08	141.67	141.98	142.04	141.16	140.9(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-17	-40	-37	42	12.28	78%	0.33	70.9	2.03%	0	0.4	54	INF
10	Jun_29_2017	116.29	137.29	141.14	142.41	142.61	142.19	140.81(-2.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-20	-25	44	24.13	78%	0.33	68.5	2.04%	0	0.5	53	INF

11	Jun_28_2017	115.91	136.5	140.63	142.7	142.93	142.92	143.95(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	0	0	45	17.76	82%	0.38	66.4	2.01%	0	1	51	INF
12	Jun_27_2017	115.47	135.45	139.9	142.57	142.76	143.04	141.53(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	20	14	73	17.37	82%	0.37	65.2	2.01%	0	0.8	73	INF
13	Jun_26_2017	115.05	134.59	139.41	141.94	142.31	142.93	142.73(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	40	31	98	17.83	82%	0.38	62.9	2%	0	1.1	76	INF
14	Jun_23_2017	114.62	133.65	139.01	141.28	141.29	142.49	143.01(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	66	60	46	126	11.76	83%	0.38	61	2%	0	1.2	75	INF
15	Jun_22_2017	114.19	132.68	138.59	139.66	140.35	141.69	142.27(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	96	80	77	152	21.9	83%	0.37	57.5	2.01%	0	1.3	75	INF

16	Jun_21_2017	113.77	131.7	138.52	138.22	138.56	140.08	143.29(3.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	86	80	59	167	30.91	80%	0.37	54.6	2.01%	0	1.5	77	INF
17	Jun_20_2017	113.35	130.65	136.82	136.89	137.05	139.01	138.38(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	86	100	60	164	20.58	79%	0.35	51.5	1.99%	0	1.1	76	INF
18	Jun_19_2017	112.96	129.95	135.55	136.54	136.55	137.04	139.47(3.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	76	30	48	160	24.95	79%	0.34	54	1.99%	0	1.4	74	INF
19	Jun_16_2017	112.58	129.12	134.19	136.46	136.64	135.09	134.87(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-80	-46	132	36.43	78%	0.29	58.4	1.96%	0	0.8	70	INF
20	Jun_15_2017	112.26	128.44	133.2	137.37	137.6	136.06	135.08(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-37	-70	-93	131	30.51	78%	0.29	63.6	1.97%	0	1	71	INF

21	Jun_14_2017	111.94	127.72	132.15	138.83	139.46	138.2	136.67(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	31	-50	-22	190	32.86	78%	0.32	71.2	1.96%	0	1.3	75	INF
22	Jun_13_2017	111.58	127.05	130.76	136.62	140.39	139.14	136.6(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	69	20	31	183	40.88	79%	0.35	68.2	1.97%	0	1.5	75	INF
23	Jun_12_2017	111.19	126.26	129.48	134.22	136.89	140.73	139.08(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	80	260	52	162	32.18	79%	0.4	64.5	1.95%	0	2.1	74	INF
24	Jun_9_2017	110.75	125.28	127.9	131.48	133.41	141.63	139.44(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	292	480	312	232	54.37	79%	0.4	62.3	1.95%	0	2.6	76	INF
25	Jun_8_2017	110.31	124.26	126.22	128.42	129	133.06	142.34(13.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.1	274	230	301	193	81.38	82%		61.5	1.93%	0	4	84	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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