Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ BABA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 2, 2016

Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 19, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

( Alibaba Group Holding Limited)
BABA latest price $98.5100 (-2.61%) ($97.3000 - $104.1000) on Wed. Nov. 2, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.85% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $98.5100(-2.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BABA declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BABA declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BABA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(75%)    MCHI(74%)    FXI(68%)    EEM(59%)    VWO(59%)
Factors Impacting BABA price   BABA will decline at least -0.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-7%)    UUP(-6%)    IPO(-3%)    SHY(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.925% (StdDev 1.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.1%

Resistance Level   $103.37
5 Day Moving Average   $101.13(-2.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $102.4(-3.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.37(-4.7%)
To recent high   -9.9%
To recent low   17.7%
Market Cap   $264.275b

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. engages in providing online and mobile marketplaces in retail and wholesale trade. It operates through the following business segments: Core Commerce; Cloud Computing; Digital Media and Entertainment; and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The Core Commerce segment comprises of platforms operating in retail and wholesale. The Cloud Computing segment consists of Alibaba Cloud, which offers elastic computing, database, storage and content delivery network, large scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, a machine learning platform, and other services provide for enterprises of different sizes across various industries. The Digital Media and Entertainment segment relates to the Youko Tudou and UC Browser business. The Innovation Initiatives and Others segment includes businesses such as AutoNavi, DingTalk, Tmall Genie, and others. The company was founded by Chung Tsai and Yun Ma on June 28, 1999 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

$. BABA price fluctuates within 2.14% (three month std-dev: 1.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 0.75%(47%) Average negative next day return: -0.89%(53%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 2.27%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.05%(33%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 2.39%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.47%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_2_2016	93.45	103.37	102.4	101.13	101.48	100.72	98.51(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-38	-40	-35	-45	37.07	77%	0.23	-54.2	1.85%	0	-2.2	34	INF
2	Nov_1_2016	93.24	103.8	102.97	101.99	101.98	101.38	101.15(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-40	-41	-32	21.29	82%	0.28	-55.1	1.82%	0	-1.4	36	INF
3	Oct_31_2016	92.98	104.02	103.21	102.6	102.67	102.23	101.69(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-30	-25	-20	15.84	82%	0.28	-55.7	1.83%	0	-1.3	31	INF
4	Oct_28_2016	92.72	104.22	103.35	103.16	103.25	102.58	101.93(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-28	-40	-28	-28	8.48	82%	0.27	-50.9	1.83%	0	-1.3	23	INF
5	Oct_27_2016	92.47	104.41	103.37	103.56	103.84	103.11	102.38(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-40	-28	-33	8.81	82%	0.27	-51.8	1.83%	0	-1.2	38	INF

6	Oct_26_2016	92.22	104.58	103.38	103.86	104.01	103.93	102.78(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-0	-23	-40	7.58	82%	0.27	-52.8	1.83%	0	-1	36	INF
7	Oct_25_2016	91.97	104.87	103.46	104.09	104.21	104.58	104.22(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	5	30	17	-30	8.99	82%	0.28	-41.8	1.82%	0	-0.3	39	INF
8	Oct_24_2016	91.71	105.06	103.54	103.91	104.11	104.08	104.5(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	0	12	-37	10.9	82%	0.32	-29.3	1.83%	0	-0.3	47	INF
9	Oct_21_2016	91.42	105.13	103.87	103.58	103.97	103.84	103.94(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	0	2	-39	8.07	82%	0.29	-26.8	1.83%	0	-0.6	45	INF
10	Oct_20_2016	91.16	105.31	104.05	103.16	103.64	104.13	103.85(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	50	9	-43	7.11	83%	0.31	-24.6	1.84%	0	-0.7	44	INF

11	Oct_19_2016	90.88	105.57	104.35	102.82	103.36	104.1	103.93(0.57%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	19	70	37	-34	8.92	83%	0.24	-19	1.85%	0	-0.8	45	INF
12	Oct_18_2016	90.66	105.68	104.63	102.76	102.68	103.15	103.34(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	30	11	-51	11.11	83%	0.14	-11.6	1.85%	0	-1	34	INF
13	Oct_17_2016	90.53	105.63	104.86	103.14	102.64	102.62	102.84(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-20	-17	-65	10.35	83%	0.24	-4.6	1.85%	0	-1.2	34	INF
14	Oct_14_2016	90.31	105.67	105.13	104.25	103.69	102.2	101.85(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-44	-120	-40	-57	12.79	83%	0.27	13.9	1.86%	0	-1.7	41	INF
15	Oct_13_2016	90.07	105.83	105.56	105.08	104.87	102.67	102.15(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-92	-150	-98	-72	22.39	83%	0.3	37.4	1.86%	0	-1.8	37	INF

16	Oct_12_2016	89.8	105.98	105.94	106.07	106.14	105.18	103.62(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-66	-60	-70	-55	18.43	83%	0.26	56.3	1.86%	0	-1.2	36	INF
17	Oct_11_2016	89.57	105.95	106.46	106.74	106.14	107.08	105.23(-2.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3	20	-1	-10	14.92	84%	0.3	58.4	1.84%	0	-0.3	50	INF
18	Oct_10_2016	89.3	105.73	106.76	106.78	106.92	107.1	108.41(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	20	24	19	11.52	88%	0.34	48.5	1.83%	0	1.1	66	INF
19	Oct_7_2016	89	105.36	106.49	106.17	106.42	106.76	106(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	30	5	10	8.95	88%	0.33	41.9	1.82%	0	0.2	58	INF
20	Oct_6_2016	88.71	105.07	106.66	106.13	106.17	106.75	107.08(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	40	25	26	9.89	88%	0.32	44.9	1.81%	0	0.7	56	INF

21	Oct_5_2016	88.43	104.84	106.85	105.83	105.99	106.08	106.96(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	10	12	29	13.18	88%	0.32	51	1.81%	0	0.8	56	INF
22	Oct_4_2016	88.15	104.61	106.77	106.18	105.83	105.6	105.45(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-12	-30	-26	32	11.07	88%	0.31	66.9	1.81%	0	0.3	58	INF
23	Oct_3_2016	87.88	104.53	106.44	106.75	106.55	105.91	105.38(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-50	-13	51	10.85	88%	0.33	87.5	1.83%	0	0.3	62	INF
24	Sep_30_2016	87.59	104.24	106.25	106.85	107.02	106.06	105.79(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-13	-60	-35	52	15.58	88%	0.31	89.9	1.82%	0	0.5	62	INF
25	Sep_29_2016	87.32	103.85	106.15	107.23	107	107.19	105.55(-2.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-9	10	-37	74	30.24	88%		90.8	1.83%	0	0.5	63	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.