Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 19, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

( Alibaba Group Holding Limited)
BABA latest price $76.6900 (-6.48%) ($76.5500 - $80.1400) on Wed. Jun. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.93% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $76.6900(-6.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BABA declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BABA declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BABA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(75%)    MCHI(73%)    FXI(67%)    EEM(59%)    VWO(58%)
Factors Impacting BABA price   BABA will decline at least -0.965% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-7%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-2%)    IPO(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.965% (StdDev 1.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.1%

Resistance Level   $78.89
5 Day Moving Average   $78.72(-2.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $78.99(-2.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $78.89(-2.79%)
To recent high   -6.5%
To recent low   8.2%
Market Cap   $205.738b

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. engages in providing online and mobile marketplaces in retail and wholesale trade. It operates through the following business segments: Core Commerce; Cloud Computing; Digital Media and Entertainment; and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The Core Commerce segment comprises of platforms operating in retail and wholesale. The Cloud Computing segment consists of Alibaba Cloud, which offers elastic computing, database, storage and content delivery network, large scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, a machine learning platform, and other services provide for enterprises of different sizes across various industries. The Digital Media and Entertainment segment relates to the Youko Tudou and UC Browser business. The Innovation Initiatives and Others segment includes businesses such as AutoNavi, DingTalk, Tmall Genie, and others. The company was founded by Chung Tsai and Yun Ma on June 28, 1999 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

$. BABA price fluctuates within 2% (three month std-dev: 1.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.72%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.48%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.61%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_1_2016	73.77	78.89	78.99	78.72	79.23	79.72	76.69(-6.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-24	60	-27	-16	62.53	65%	0.05	29.5	1.93%	0	-1.4	45	0
2	May_31_2016	73.73	78.88	79.29	79.61	78.91	80.51	82(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	58	120	64	40	78.86	74%	0.2	36.1	1.76%	0	1.9	55	0
3	May_27_2016	73.58	78.61	78.98	79.01	78.62	78.73	80.97(3.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	42	-10	49	19	24.55	78%	0.12	21.3	1.79%	0	1.5	54	0
4	May_26_2016	73.49	78.4	78.59	78.57	78.45	77.31	78.35(3.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-110	-39	-34	26.97	76%	0.01	5.2	1.77%	0	-0	48	0
5	May_25_2016	73.48	78.31	78.67	78.56	78.74	78.51	75.59(-6.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-46	-10	-49	-38	49.69	73%	-0.04	-7.8	1.71%	0	-1.8	41	0

6	May_24_2016	73.51	78.44	79.12	79.25	79.14	79.59	81.12(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	40	33	30	16.71	91%	0.05	-6.2	1.47%	0	1.9	72	0
7	May_23_2016	73.47	78.29	78.95	78.9	78.86	78.96	79(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	10	5	27	7.19	81%	0.08	-18.1	1.44%	0	0.6	67	0
8	May_20_2016	73.41	78.28	78.98	78.96	79.02	78.69	78.79(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-30	4	41	11.04	81%	-0.04	-17	1.5%	0	0.4	62	0
9	May_19_2016	73.44	78.32	79.03	78.63	78.96	78.76	78.32(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-10	-21	33	8.32	81%	-0.04	-19.8	1.51%	0	0	58	0
10	May_18_2016	73.47	78.43	79.09	78.8	78.86	79.36	79.03(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	50	2	59	9.09	81%	-0.05	-11.4	1.5%	0	0.4	64	0

11	May_17_2016	73.51	78.43	78.8	78.95	78.96	79.17	79.35(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	20	25	66	10.97	81%	-0.04	-4.1	1.5%	0	0.5	57	0
12	May_16_2016	73.54	78.52	78.48	79.03	78.99	78.35	79.29(2.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-5	-60	-19	39	11.66	86%	0.08	1.5	1.5%	0	0.5	52	0
13	May_13_2016	73.48	78.5	78.48	79.05	79.24	78.76	77.16(-2.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-22	-40	-35	18	10.08	85%	-0.1	6.3	1.82%	0	-0.9	43	0
14	May_12_2016	73.55	78.59	78.22	79.46	79.56	79.63	79.16(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	9	10	1	31	8.79	91%	-0.08	18.4	1.8%	0	0.4	45	0
15	May_11_2016	73.61	78.61	77.95	79.39	79.41	79.72	79.8(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	30	21	21	11.07	91%	-0.07	23	1.79%	0	0.8	42	0

16	May_10_2016	73.66	78.59	77.71	78.6	79.24	79.48	79.72(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	28	50	39	-4	9.32	91%	-0.05	11.6	1.81%	0	0.8	40	0
17	May_9_2016	73.7	78.49	77.57	77.83	78.22	79.09	79.41(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	11	90	25	-31	11.8	91%	-0.04	-1.1	1.82%	0	0.6	49	0
18	May_6_2016	73.73	78.41	77.47	77.27	77.37	78.99	79.2(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	37	150	60	-31	12.86	85%	-0.05	-15.9	1.84%	0	0.5	50	0
19	May_5_2016	73.77	78.32	77.5	76.82	76.8	77.35	78.83(3.97%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	35	50	60	-39	27.95	77%	-0.09	-28	1.85%	0	0.3	49	0
20	May_4_2016	73.84	78.26	77.65	76.34	76.19	75.74	75.82(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-50	-25	-81	14.33	74%	-0.08	-41.8	1.85%	0	-1.6	31	0

21	May_3_2016	73.9	78.42	78.17	76.7	76.55	76.25	75.91(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	-30	-25	-67	8.02	69%	-0.07	-37.9	1.87%	0	-1.8	31	0
22	May_2_2016	73.95	78.51	78.55	77.24	77.02	76.64	76.61(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-40	-20	-48	7.72	64%	-0.05	-32.5	1.9%	0	-1.5	47	0
23	Apr_29_2016	73.99	78.64	78.81	77.69	77.54	76.84	76.94(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-70	-33	-39	10.12	64%	-0.09	-15	1.92%	0	-1.4	49	0
24	Apr_28_2016	74.06	78.74	79.03	78.28	78.2	77.4	76.4(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-45	-70	-50	-28	9.96	58%	-0.11	9.7	1.92%	0	-2.1	48	0
25	Apr_27_2016	74.14	78.88	79.38	79.15	79.26	78.25	77.65(-1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-30	-90	-40	2	11.49	58%		45.7	1.97%	0	-1.2	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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