Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 29, 2015

Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 19, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

( Alibaba Group Holding Limited)
BABA latest price $89.3200 (-1.79%) ($89.3200 - $91.5000) on Fri. May. 29, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.78% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $89.3200(-1.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BABA declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BABA advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BABA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(65%)    EEM(58%)    VWO(57%)    QQQ(47%)    VT(45%)
Factors Impacting BABA price   BABA will decline at least -0.89% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)    UUP(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.89% (StdDev 1.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $91.73(-2.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.77(-1.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $87.78(1.75%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $239.621b

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. engages in providing online and mobile marketplaces in retail and wholesale trade. It operates through the following business segments: Core Commerce; Cloud Computing; Digital Media and Entertainment; and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The Core Commerce segment comprises of platforms operating in retail and wholesale. The Cloud Computing segment consists of Alibaba Cloud, which offers elastic computing, database, storage and content delivery network, large scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, a machine learning platform, and other services provide for enterprises of different sizes across various industries. The Digital Media and Entertainment segment relates to the Youko Tudou and UC Browser business. The Innovation Initiatives and Others segment includes businesses such as AutoNavi, DingTalk, Tmall Genie, and others. The company was founded by Chung Tsai and Yun Ma on June 28, 1999 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

$. BABA price fluctuates within 4.86% (three month std-dev: 1.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.23%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.28%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 9.36%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 11.62%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150629

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_29_2015	87.55	87.78	90.77	91.73	91.73	90.83	89.32(-1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-25	-70	-54	61	13.89	66%	-0.19	50	1.78%	0	0.4	60	INF
2	May_28_2015	87.72	87.4	90.72	92.64	92.63	91.82	90.95(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-60	-28	102	14.21	69%	-0.13	53.4	1.78%	0	0.8	69	INF
3	May_27_2015	87.83	86.98	90.4	92.59	92.99	92.63	92.6(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	37	-10	1	144	9.52	72%	-0.13	53.8	1.77%	0	1.3	86	INF
4	May_26_2015	87.94	86.58	89.82	91.72	92.21	93.43	92.52(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	72	110	39	170	15.67	72%	-0.28	53.8	1.77%	0	1.4	86	INF
5	May_22_2015	88.19	86.17	89.24	90.63	90.88	93.34	93.27(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	131	200	108	201	22.18	72%	0.06	53.9	1.76%	0	1.8	83	INF

6	May_21_2015	88.14	85.7	88.59	89.67	89.22	90.98	93.88(3.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	129	120	104	203	40.73	72%	-0.11	54.8	1.77%	0	2.2	82	INF
7	May_20_2015	88.24	85.08	87.76	88.58	88.17	88.43	90.7(2.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	76	10	41	179	29.81	69%	-0.18	50.9	1.73%	0	1.8	78	INF
8	May_19_2015	88.4	84.63	86.73	87.94	87.87	87.47	88.21(1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	29	-30	-9	142	20.73	67%	-0.2	45.7	1.7%	0	1.2	69	INF
9	May_18_2015	88.58	84.33	85.91	87.65	87.84	87.91	87.11(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	10	-8	119	13.49	67%	-0.21	40.4	1.69%	0	1	55	INF
10	May_15_2015	88.77	84.08	85.3	87.58	87.73	88.27	88.46(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	50	26	117	13.42	62%	-0.01	37.2	1.69%	0	1.6	59	INF

11	May_14_2015	88.78	83.74	84.57	87.3	87.3	87.78	88.4(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	40	26	98	12.09	62%	-0.2	32.6	1.71%	0	1.8	60	INF
12	May_13_2015	88.96	83.49	83.84	86.82	87.17	87.19	87.53(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	10	32	87	19.02	64%	-0.21	26.2	1.72%	0	1.7	65	INF
13	May_12_2015	89.15	83.32	83.29	85.31	87.11	86.83	86.77(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	40	40	57	16.08	64%	-0.26	7.8	1.74%	0	1.5	64	INF
14	May_11_2015	89.38	83.2	83.06	83.86	85.39	87.15	86.72(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	39	200	41	34	19.78	64%	-0.27	-4.7	1.75%	0	1.7	62	INF
15	May_8_2015	89.62	83.05	82.82	82.64	83.61	87.38	87.06(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	130	350	153	61	30.14	64%	-0.27	-16.5	1.74%	0	2	64	INF

16	May_7_2015	89.86	82.9	82.5	81.46	81.95	83.63	86(7.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	122	160	149	41	69.45	64%	-0.27	-29.2	1.74%	0	1.6	62	INF
17	May_6_2015	90.1	82.87	82.09	80.52	80.42	79.83	80(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-60	-31	-68	24.95	55%	-0.29	-35.1	1.47%	0	-1.5	34	INF
18	May_5_2015	90.36	83.14	82.32	81.01	80.83	80.26	79.54(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-66	-60	-61	-79	32.66	50%	-0.3	-24.9	1.48%	0	-2	30	INF
19	May_4_2015	90.63	83.31	82.64	82.12	81.7	81	80.59(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-49	-80	-47	-54	21.55	50%	-0.28	-13	1.53%	0	-1.7	31	INF
20	May_1_2015	90.88	83.39	82.83	82.98	82.73	81.4	81.17(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-60	-120	-64	-48	17.91	50%	-0.27	-6	1.51%	0	-1.5	38	INF

21	Apr_30_2015	91.13	83.47	82.94	83.66	83.78	82.39	81.29(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-63	-110	-69	-44	14.21	50%	-0.25	0.6	1.52%	0	-1.5	37	INF
22	Apr_29_2015	91.36	83.54	83.22	83.86	84.32	84.07	82.45(-3.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-0	-30	-32	21.1	39%	-0.29	0	1.52%	0	-0.8	34	INF
23	Apr_28_2015	91.63	83.58	83.44	83.78	84.07	85.17	85.08(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	24	100	35	-8	11.11	38%	-0.22	-2.4	1.83%	0	1.1	47	INF
24	Apr_27_2015	91.83	83.52	83.39	83.24	83.39	84.57	84.9(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	45	100	59	1	17.43	38%	-0.26	-15	1.91%	0	1	61	INF
25	Apr_24_2015	92.07	83.49	83.31	82.7	82.71	82.97	84.57(2.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	22	20	33	-13	21.06	38%		-29.1	1.9%	0	0.8	61	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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