Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 19, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

( Alibaba Group Holding Limited)
BABA latest price $103.6000 (-0.33%) ($102.5200 - $104.7200) on Fri. Jan. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.08% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $103.6000(-0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BABA declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BABA declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BABA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(64%)    EEM(57%)    VWO(56%)    QQQ(47%)    VT(45%)
Factors Impacting BABA price   BABA will decline at least -1.04% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)    UUP(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.04% (StdDev 2.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $106.39
5 Day Moving Average   $105.04(-1.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $106.41(-2.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $106.39(-2.62%)
To recent high   -13.1%
To recent low   22%
Market Cap   $277.93b

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. engages in providing online and mobile marketplaces in retail and wholesale trade. It operates through the following business segments: Core Commerce; Cloud Computing; Digital Media and Entertainment; and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The Core Commerce segment comprises of platforms operating in retail and wholesale. The Cloud Computing segment consists of Alibaba Cloud, which offers elastic computing, database, storage and content delivery network, large scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, a machine learning platform, and other services provide for enterprises of different sizes across various industries. The Digital Media and Entertainment segment relates to the Youko Tudou and UC Browser business. The Innovation Initiatives and Others segment includes businesses such as AutoNavi, DingTalk, Tmall Genie, and others. The company was founded by Chung Tsai and Yun Ma on June 28, 1999 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

$. BABA price fluctuates within 1.83% (three month std-dev: 2.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 1.15%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.26%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 2.35%(90%) Average negative next three day return: -2.14%(10%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 3.22%(90%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.34%(10%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_2_2015	101.24	106.39	106.41	105.04	105.26	104.46	103.6(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	-50	-37	-31	12.3	61%	0.03	-63.4	2.08%	0	-1.4	48	INF
2	Dec_31_2014	101.21	106.74	106.97	105.51	105.84	105.47	103.94(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-20	-21	-6	10.28	58%	0.04	-59.4	2.08%	0	-1.3	54	INF
3	Dec_30_2014	101.17	107.03	107.2	105.83	106.08	106.06	105.75(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-9	10	-11	-1	10.21	58%	0.06	-64.3	2.11%	0	-0.6	46	INF
4	Dec_29_2014	101.11	107.06	107.14	106.43	106.26	106.2	105.98(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-12	-10	-18	5	8.07	58%	0.07	-67.7	2.11%	0	-0.5	54	INF
5	Dec_26_2014	101.04	107.33	107.09	107.37	107.12	106.1	105.95(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-16	-70	-24	10	6.53	58%	0.08	-47.9	2.13%	0	-0.6	46	INF

6	Dec_24_2014	100.96	107.64	107.02	108.03	108.05	106.33	105.95(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-47	-110	-61	-5	5.87	60%	0.07	-29.7	2.13%	0	-0.7	43	INF
7	Dec_23_2014	100.89	108	106.86	108.64	108.98	108.14	105.52(-2.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-34	-40	-43	-5	19.1	58%	0.07	-17	2.18%	0	-0.9	39	INF
8	Dec_22_2014	100.82	108.4	107.06	108.69	109.32	109.77	108.77(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	50	21	16	13.04	57%	0.12	-15.9	2.18%	0	0.1	46	INF
9	Dec_19_2014	100.7	108.49	106.69	107.88	108.19	109.82	110.65(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	110	45	12	14.86	57%	0.16	-29.6	2.24%	0	0.7	59	INF
10	Dec_18_2014	100.54	108.43	106.35	106.77	107.15	108.86	109.25(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	55	120	73	-0	22.79	57%	0.14	-47.7	2.26%	0	0.3	45	INF

11	Dec_17_2014	100.4	108.4	106.28	105.91	106.03	106.56	109.02(3.07%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	24	40	43	-32	17.31	57%	0.13	-69.2	2.27%	0	0.2	43	INF
12	Dec_16_2014	100.27	108.47	106.37	104.89	105.34	105.43	105.77(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-22	20	-5	-72	21.7	55%	0.09	-83.3	2.26%	0	-0.9	36	INF
13	Dec_15_2014	100.18	108.89	106.75	105.23	105.4	105.5	104.7(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-12	10	8	-72	16.52	55%	0.08	-83.4	2.28%	0	-1.3	33	INF
14	Dec_12_2014	100.1	109.4	106.92	105.3	105.17	105.25	105.11(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	0	-7	-88	14.54	55%	0.09	-80.9	2.3%	0	-1.3	41	INF
15	Dec_11_2014	100.01	109.88	107.55	105.86	105.25	105.3	104.97(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10	-15	-80	15.68	55%	0.08	-72.6	2.32%	0	-1.5	43	INF

16	Dec_10_2014	99.93	110.53	108.3	106.7	106.19	105.1	103.88(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-90	-26	-67	18.47	55%	0.07	-50.9	2.34%	0	-1.9	44	INF
17	Dec_9_2014	99.86	111.08	109.27	108.05	107.24	105.19	107.48(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-66	-160	-67	-62	24.87	58%	0.14	-33.4	2.31%	0	-1.1	45	INF
18	Dec_8_2014	99.72	111.65	109.89	108.53	108.65	107.28	105.07(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-54	-80	-54	-52	19.22	58%	0.09	-5.6	2.31%	0	-1.8	35	INF
19	Dec_5_2014	99.63	112.15	110.51	108.72	109.35	109.29	107.9(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	10	-18	-45	12.15	60%	0.16	17.1	2.3%	0	-1.3	37	INF
20	Dec_4_2014	99.47	112.36	110.51	109.47	109	110.03	109.17(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	50	-1	-39	10.86	60%	0.18	43.7	2.31%	0	-1	39	INF

21	Dec_3_2014	99.29	112.37	110.74	110.17	109.65	109.42	110.64(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	-30	18	-42	16.22	60%	0.22	65.7	2.32%	0	-0.5	36	INF
22	Dec_2_2014	99.07	112.19	110.76	110.73	110.31	107.98	109.89(3.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-67	-160	-64	-76	18.79	60%	0.21	74.5	2.35%	0	-0.7	43	INF
23	Dec_1_2014	98.86	111.85	111.17	111.54	111.69	109.89	105.99(-5.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-84	-110	-84	-85	38.46	58%	0.14	73.3	2.32%	0	-1.4	30	INF
24	Nov_28_2014	98.72	111.59	112.11	112.49	113.03	112.65	111.64(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10	-15	-48	8.08	63%	0.27	71.3	2.21%	0	0	46	INF
25	Nov_26_2014	98.45	111.01	112.41	112.12	112.95	113.5	112.67(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	8	60	21	-31	11.83	63%		59.3	2.23%	0	0.3	53	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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