Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 1, 2013

Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AutoZone Inc.)
AZO latest price $447.9900 (-0.13%) ($445.9500 - $452.1500) on Thu. Aug. 1, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $447.9900(-0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AZO advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AZO advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AZO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(48%)    XLY(48%)    XLP(47%)    IWM(43%)    PEJ(40%)
Factors Impacting AZO price   AZO will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $444.33(0.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $441.07(1.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $438.09(2.26%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   10.5%
Market Cap   $10.46b

AutoZone, Inc. engages in the provision of retail and distribution of automotive replacement parts and accessories. The firm offers ALLDATA, which produces, sells, and maintains diagnostic and repair information software used in the automotive repair industry. The company was founded by Joseph R. Hyde, III on July 4, 1979 and is headquartered in Memphis, TN.

$. AZO price fluctuates within 1.15% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.88%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.12%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.64%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -1.95%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 1.12%(13%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.72%(88%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130901

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_1_2013	412.85	438.09	441.07	444.33	444.27	447.72	447.99(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	186	50	201	139	0.29	64%	0.14	100.9	1.12%	0	2	60	NAN
2	Jul_31_2013	412.28	436.89	439.77	442.34	441.7	444.95	448.58(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	225	50	253	140	0.36	64%	0.15	94.3	1.13%	0	2.2	58	NAN
3	Jul_30_2013	411.67	435.67	437.9	439.89	439.44	440.82	444.69(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	131	20	148	79	0.2	65%	0.14	86	1.12%	0	1.7	64	NAN
4	Jul_29_2013	411.1	434.7	436.75	438.64	438.04	438.46	440.73(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	0	25	21	0.13	65%	0.14	89.3	1.13%	0	1.2	58	NAN
5	Jul_26_2013	410.53	433.87	436.42	438.04	437.87	438.06	439.66(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	0	35	24	0.19	68%	0.14	92.9	1.13%	0	1	57	NAN

6	Jul_25_2013	409.94	433.05	436.31	437.3	437.39	437.62	438.02(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	0	5	19	0.32	72%	0.15	93.3	1.16%	0	0.9	63	NAN
7	Jul_24_2013	409.31	431.92	436.54	436.76	437.15	437.69	436.35(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	50	10	50	50	0.17	72%	0.13	72	1.24%	0	0.6	67	NAN
8	Jul_23_2013	408.76	431.2	436.29	435.49	436.16	437.16	438.45(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	20	56	54	0.13	73%	0.14	62.9	1.24%	0	1	69	NAN
9	Jul_22_2013	408.17	430.06	435.89	434.54	434.91	436.62	437.72(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	62	30	62	61	0.11	73%	0.15	50	1.25%	0	1	66	NAN
10	Jul_19_2013	407.56	428.82	435.6	434.6	434.74	435.16	435.97(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	73	10	72	77	0.16	73%	0.14	40.8	1.25%	0	0.8	67	NAN

11	Jul_18_2013	406.99	427.69	434.92	435.27	434.92	433.19	435.32(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-59	-30	-87	25	0.26	73%	0.15	37.5	1.25%	0	0.9	67	NAN
12	Jul_17_2013	406.39	426.95	433.88	436.4	436.51	434.31	430(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-91	-30	-130	27	0.22	73%	0.13	44.2	1.25%	0	0.3	72	NAN
13	Jul_16_2013	405.85	426.7	433.44	437.1	437.93	436.65	433.71(-0.98%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-34	-10	-66	62	0.19	73%	0.14	52.7	1.24%	0	0.8	63	NAN
14	Jul_15_2013	405.28	426.22	432.66	437.27	437.18	438.72	438(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	20	-0	103	0.14	68%	0.13	58.2	1.24%	0	1.4	73	NAN
15	Jul_12_2013	404.74	425.43	431.25	436.65	436.47	439.21	439.3(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	189	40	190	187	0.1	68%	0.16	63.9	1.27%	0	1.7	76	NAN

16	Jul_11_2013	404.11	424.39	429.58	434.49	434.7	435.64	441(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	160	20	156	173	0.29	68%	0.15	63.8	1.27%	0	2.2	77	NAN
17	Jul_10_2013	403.49	423.08	426.89	431.07	431.8	433.74	433.48(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	72	40	60	109	0.13	68%	0.15	66	1.26%	0	1.6	61	NAN
18	Jul_9_2013	402.9	422.14	425.66	429.21	429.54	433.76	434.56(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	206	70	221	159	0.22	63%	0.08	66.7	1.27%	0	2	56	NAN
19	Jul_8_2013	402.57	421.29	423.69	427.36	426.95	429.86	434.91(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	199	40	220	137	0.28	63%	0.16	72.4	1.32%	0	2.4	57	NAN
20	Jul_5_2013	401.94	420.32	421.37	425.11	425.17	425.33	428.52(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	70	0	75	55	0.12	60%	0.2	80.5	1.31%	0	1.7	54	NAN

21	Jul_3_2013	401.15	419.64	419.78	423.98	424.22	424.05	423.88(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-4	-0	-8	9	0.1	59%	0.1	65.1	1.33%	0	0.8	54	NAN
22	Jul_2_2013	400.73	418.76	419.4	422	423.25	425.02	424.2(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	57	40	66	31	0.21	61%	0.1	42.2	1.35%	0	1	58	NAN
23	Jul_1_2013	400.33	417.97	419.39	421.46	421.41	424.39	425.27(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	125	50	144	69	0.13	61%	0.1	30.9	1.37%	0	1.3	60	NAN
24	Jun_28_2013	399.93	417.26	419.22	419.4	419.99	421.48	423.69(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	155	30	181	77	0.37	61%	0.11	17.6	1.37%	0	1.1	54	NAN
25	Jun_27_2013	399.48	416.52	419.09	417.06	417.17	418.43	422.87(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	35	20	42	14	0.22	61%		-1.5	1.38%	0	1.2	56	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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