Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 25, 2013

Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AutoZone Inc.)
AZO latest price $398.2600 (3.73%) ($390.0000 - $402.1000) on Thu. Apr. 25, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $398.2600(3.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AZO advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AZO declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AZO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(48%)    XLY(48%)    XLP(46%)    IWM(43%)    PEJ(40%)
Factors Impacting AZO price   AZO will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-14%)    TIP(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $383.97(-3.59%)
5 Day Moving Average   $384.6(3.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $384.72(3.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $389.35(2.29%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $9.299b

AutoZone, Inc. engages in the provision of retail and distribution of automotive replacement parts and accessories. The firm offers ALLDATA, which produces, sells, and maintains diagnostic and repair information software used in the automotive repair industry. The company was founded by Joseph R. Hyde, III on July 4, 1979 and is headquartered in Memphis, TN.

$. AZO price fluctuates within 1.92% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.63%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.21%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.4%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.27%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.58%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.14%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130525

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_25_2013	373.72	389.35	384.72	384.6	385.1	389.98	398.26(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	331	90	401	119	0.42	62%	0.11	-32.3	1.25%	0	1.2	48	NAN
2	Apr_24_2013	373.32	389.06	383.93	380.75	380.83	382.91	383.95(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	97	40	138	-27	0.21	58%	0.05	-49.2	1.19%	0	-0.7	31	NAN
3	Apr_23_2013	373.14	389.57	384.48	380.35	380.83	380.22	383.62(1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	29	0	61	-67	0.3	58%	0.02	-49.7	1.19%	0	-0.8	41	NAN
4	Apr_22_2013	373.08	390.08	384.54	380.54	379.91	378.74	378.76(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-95	-30	-78	-144	0.33	58%	-0.02	-48.9	1.18%	0	-1.6	32	NAN
5	Apr_19_2013	373.14	390.97	386.17	381.77	381.35	379.6	378.43(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-143	-40	-138	-157	0.33	58%	-0	-45.3	1.19%	0	-1.9	41	NAN

6	Apr_18_2013	373.15	391.77	388.04	384.79	383.84	381.08	379.01(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-165	-60	-170	-150	0.44	58%	-0.01	-34	1.2%	0	-2.1	38	NAN
7	Apr_17_2013	373.2	392.68	390.3	387.56	386.81	383.1	381.93(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-200	-70	-219	-143	0.32	58%	-0	-21.1	1.19%	0	-2.1	43	NAN
8	Apr_16_2013	373.21	393.18	391.58	389.17	389.39	386.61	384.59(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-173	-50	-190	-120	0.39	58%	0.01	-13.6	1.19%	0	-1.9	44	NAN
9	Apr_15_2013	373.19	393.58	393.22	389.06	390.44	390.52	384.87(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-72	10	-74	-67	0.33	59%	0.01	-12.1	1.19%	0	-2.1	45	NAN
10	Apr_12_2013	373.17	393.99	394.15	391.15	390.25	392.18	393.57(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	36	30	50	-7	0.17	63%	0.06	9.5	1.16%	0	-0.1	49	NAN

11	Apr_11_2013	372.96	393.82	394.46	391.88	391.22	390.36	392.83(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-20	46	1	0.18	63%	0.03	24.5	1.17%	0	-0.3	50	NAN
12	Apr_10_2013	372.84	393.8	394.6	393.68	392.52	388.33	389.98(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-193	-80	-225	-97	0.36	63%	0.02	56.1	1.17%	0	-1	46	NAN
13	Apr_9_2013	372.75	393.79	395.07	394.48	394.92	392.08	384.03(-2.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-234	-50	-276	-108	0.58	61%	0.01	69	1.16%	0	-2.5	47	NAN
14	Apr_8_2013	372.73	394.09	396.15	397.87	397.31	396.71	395.36(-0.46%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-41	-10	-57	9	0.22	62%	0.04	115.7	1.1%	0	0.4	55	NAN
15	Apr_5_2013	372.57	393.62	396.2	397.44	397.74	397.76	397.2(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	0	9	36	0.25	60%	0.07	109	1.14%	0	0.9	56	NAN

16	Apr_4_2013	372.32	392.88	395.82	397.35	397.16	397.9	401.83(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	43	10	40	53	0.21	63%	0.09	95.7	1.14%	0	1.9	63	NAN
17	Apr_3_2013	371.98	391.64	395.16	395.77	396.21	397.72	393.98(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	84	30	90	67	0.51	61%	0.06	75	1.12%	0	0.4	53	NAN
18	Apr_2_2013	371.76	391.09	394.86	395.79	395	396.42	400.99(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	110	20	119	83	0.37	64%	0.08	76.4	1.1%	0	1.8	66	NAN
19	Apr_1_2013	371.48	390.07	393.87	394.25	393.75	394.7	393.19(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	53	10	54	49	0.16	62%	0.02	72.5	1.08%	0	0.6	59	NAN
20	Mar_28_2013	371.39	389.36	393.76	394.76	393.59	393.58	396.77(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	-10	39	57	0.54	62%	0.04	63.3	1.08%	0	1.2	70	NAN

21	Mar_27_2013	371.26	388.53	393.05	394.06	393.61	392.8	393.94(-0.03%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0	-27	-20	-45	28	0.19	62%	0.02	60.4	1.1%	0	0.8	72	NAN
22	Mar_26_2013	371.17	387.7	392.86	394.47	393.86	393.6	394.04(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-18	-10	-42	54	0.34	60%	0.03	58.1	1.1%	0	1	77	NAN
23	Mar_25_2013	371.06	386.82	392.37	393.74	394.13	394.43	393.33(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	53	10	40	90	0.26	60%	0.03	56.4	1.11%	0	1	64	NAN
24	Mar_22_2013	370.95	386.08	391.89	393.37	393.26	394.11	395.72(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	10	42	99	0.18	60%	0.04	60.1	1.12%	0	1.5	69	NAN
25	Mar_21_2013	370.79	385.5	390.86	392.61	392.28	393.83	393.26(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	100	30	92	124	0.17	60%		67.5	1.12%	0	1.2	70	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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