Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 2, 2012

Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AutoZone Inc.)
AZO latest price $378.4500 (0%) ($377.4200 - $379.4800) on Fri. Mar. 2, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $378.4500(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AZO advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AZO advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AZO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(47%)    XLY(47%)    XLP(46%)    IWM(42%)    PEJ(40%)
Factors Impacting AZO price   AZO will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-14%)    TIP(-5%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $374.77(0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $367.58(2.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $361.28(4.75%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.3%
Market Cap   $8.836b

AutoZone, Inc. engages in the provision of retail and distribution of automotive replacement parts and accessories. The firm offers ALLDATA, which produces, sells, and maintains diagnostic and repair information software used in the automotive repair industry. The company was founded by Joseph R. Hyde, III on July 4, 1979 and is headquartered in Memphis, TN.

$. AZO price fluctuates within 2.49% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 0.71%(44%) Average negative next day return: -0.84%(56%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 1.64%(61%) Average negative next three day return: -1.62%(39%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 1.99%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.65%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120402

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_2_2012	338.41	361.28	367.58	374.77	376.05	377.45	378.45(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	256	40	252	267	0.23	78%	0.16	75.5	0.92%	0	1.9	80	NAN
2	Mar_1_2012	337.87	359.77	365.48	371.04	372.34	375.44	378.44(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	201	70	197	213	0.49	80%	0.16	70.3	0.95%	0	2.2	80	NAN
3	Feb_29_2012	337.34	358.42	363.17	367.06	368.11	374.66	374.48(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	375	130	410	269	0.36	81%	0.15	69.2	0.98%	0	2.2	81	NAN
4	Feb_28_2012	336.85	357.05	361.62	363.95	364.29	369.25	376.41(2.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	474	100	530	304	0.93	81%	0.14	65.2	0.98%	0	3	81	NAN
5	Feb_27_2012	336.39	355.55	359.67	360.6	360.4	361.57	366.09(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	151	20	155	140	0.56	79%	0.13	66.9	0.94%	0	2.1	75	NAN

6	Feb_24_2012	335.95	354.6	358.45	359.42	360.4	359.34	359.8(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-0	8	72	0.33	79%	0.12	67.2	0.94%	0	1.1	62	NAN
7	Feb_23_2012	335.56	354.01	357.9	359.06	359.49	359.23	358.5(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-0	-2	75	0.22	79%	0.13	66.7	0.94%	0	1	67	NAN
8	Feb_22_2012	335.13	353.51	357.04	358.58	358.97	359.64	358.95(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	20	0	65	0.13	75%	0.12	66.7	0.95%	0	1.2	59	NAN
9	Feb_21_2012	334.73	352.9	356.23	358.81	358.74	359.75	359.66(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	94	20	89	107	0.27	72%	0.2	70	0.97%	0	1.5	66	NAN
10	Feb_17_2012	334.07	352.26	355.35	358.57	358.32	358.31	360.21(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	68	-0	58	99	0.24	72%	0.13	74	0.98%	0	1.8	67	NAN

11	Feb_16_2012	333.63	351.58	354.61	357.35	357.62	357.73	357.96(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	0	1	74	0.45	69%	0.11	75.6	0.99%	0	1.5	66	NAN
12	Feb_15_2012	333.26	350.99	353.74	356.57	356.73	358.33	356.12(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	107	30	106	110	0.24	69%	0.09	79.8	1.01%	0	1.3	63	NAN
13	Feb_14_2012	332.95	350.49	353.4	355.17	354.78	357.52	360.11(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	181	50	194	141	0.23	71%	0.1	78.8	1%	0	2.4	69	NAN
14	Feb_13_2012	332.61	349.71	352.15	353.25	352.67	355.13	358.46(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	193	40	213	133	0.43	71%	0.11	85.4	1%	0	2.6	69	NAN
15	Feb_10_2012	332.23	348.98	351.03	351.71	351	352.05	354.1(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	100	10	107	78	0.36	73%	0.12	97.5	1.02%	0	1.8	64	NAN

16	Feb_9_2012	331.84	348.42	350.38	351.52	350.46	350.22	354.04(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10	12	39	0.31	68%	0.1	111.1	1.04%	0	2	64	NAN
17	Feb_8_2012	331.52	347.82	349.74	350.55	350.68	349.96	349.15(-0.38%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-34	-10	-48	7	0.22	69%	0.07	127.2	1.08%	0	0.5	58	NAN
18	Feb_7_2012	331.3	347.4	349.7	351.32	351.01	350.7	350.48(-0.08%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-20	-10	-34	23	0.18	69%	0.06	147.3	1.1%	0	1	62	NAN
19	Feb_6_2012	331.11	346.87	349.35	350.8	351.18	351.4	350.76(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	10	24	45	0.16	69%	0.06	151	1.1%	0	1.1	66	NAN
20	Feb_3_2012	330.91	346.25	348.98	350.18	350.57	351.31	353.18(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	20	50	55	0.16	69%	0.09	149.1	1.1%	0	1.8	74	NAN

21	Feb_2_2012	330.62	345.31	348.32	349.06	349.55	350.96	349.17(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	75	30	79	63	0.16	68%	0.08	133.3	1.09%	0	0.9	72	NAN
22	Feb_1_2012	330.37	344.27	348.06	348.81	348.62	349.83	352.99(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	96	20	102	78	0.26	68%	0.11	97.6	1.08%	0	1.5	91	NAN
23	Jan_31_2012	330.02	342.69	347.35	347.92	347.95	348.14	347.88(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	49	0	46	58	0.23	66%	0.1	66.5	1.07%	0	0.7	90	NAN
24	Jan_30_2012	329.7	341.6	347.08	347.7	347.54	347.42	347.67(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	5	-0	-8	43	0.22	66%	0.11	62.9	1.08%	0	0.8	90	NAN
25	Jan_27_2012	329.35	340.57	346.77	347.57	347.3	347.75	347.58(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	10	7	57	0.3	66%		55.3	1.09%	0	0.8	92	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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