Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 13, 2011

Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AutoZone Inc.)
AZO latest price $319.4800 (1.04%) ($312.3800 - $320.4900) on Tue. Sep. 13, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $319.4800(1.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AZO advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AZO advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AZO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(47%)    SPY(46%)    XLP(46%)    IWM(42%)    PEJ(40%)
Factors Impacting AZO price   AZO will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $316.58(0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $313.73(1.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $305.55(4.56%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19%
Market Cap   $7.459b

AutoZone, Inc. engages in the provision of retail and distribution of automotive replacement parts and accessories. The firm offers ALLDATA, which produces, sells, and maintains diagnostic and repair information software used in the automotive repair industry. The company was founded by Joseph R. Hyde, III on July 4, 1979 and is headquartered in Memphis, TN.

$. AZO price fluctuates within 3.3% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 2.82%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.85%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 3.65%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -6.24%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 5.6%(17%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.75%(83%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2011	291.85	305.55	313.73	316.58	315.72	315.7	319.48(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	76	-10	56	135	0.48	55%	0.13	86.4	1.25%	0	1.4	74	0
2	Sep_12_2011	291.47	303.95	312.49	315.45	315.37	314.66	316.18(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	21	-20	-11	118	0.41	55%	0.09	92.2	1.25%	0	1.2	75	0
3	Sep_9_2011	291.21	302.53	311.06	314.39	314.25	315.74	314.49(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	50	30	21	138	0.33	57%	0.1	93.2	1.25%	0	1.2	77	0
4	Sep_8_2011	290.91	300.93	309.53	313.9	312.92	316.08	316.1(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	195	60	188	217	0.36	58%	0.11	93	1.26%	0	1.4	81	0
5	Sep_7_2011	290.58	298.91	308.3	312.08	310.93	312.76	316.67(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	184	30	172	221	0.34	58%	0.14	80.7	1.26%	0	1.6	82	0

6	Sep_6_2011	290.18	297.07	306.54	310.45	309.03	309.77	313.83(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	77	0	44	175	0.49	58%	0.16	80.2	1.26%	0	1.5	81	0
7	Sep_2_2011	289.73	294.85	304.74	309.11	308.57	309.1	310.85(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	98	10	67	189	0.37	55%	0.11	66.2	1.26%	0	1.3	80	0
8	Sep_1_2011	289.4	293.23	302.85	307.2	307.51	308.3	312.05(1.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	105	20	78	185	0.43	55%	0.11	59.6	1.27%	0	1.5	82	0
9	Aug_31_2011	289.07	291.28	300.58	304.48	305.25	308.04	307(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	119	70	97	184	0.32	53%	0.1	52	1.26%	0	1.4	83	0
10	Aug_30_2011	288.77	289.95	298.76	303.9	303.49	306.72	308.53(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	228	70	220	253	0.43	53%	0.12	49.4	1.26%	0	1.7	89	0

11	Aug_29_2011	288.41	288.32	296.71	302.06	301.75	302.46	307.14(1.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	164	10	145	221	0.29	53%	0.11	40.6	1.27%	0	1.8	77	0
12	Aug_26_2011	288.09	286.99	294.7	299.77	299.76	300.27	301.3(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	47	10	3	179	0.25	50%	0.09	32	1.25%	0	1.5	81	0
13	Aug_25_2011	287.83	286.12	293.31	297.79	298.78	301.04	298.43(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	175	60	153	239	0.3	52%	0.08	22.8	1.25%	0	1.4	65	0
14	Aug_24_2011	287.61	285.41	291.7	295.94	295.81	299.25	304.1(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	231	80	219	267	0.53	61%	0.1	12.6	1.24%	0	2.2	73	0
15	Aug_23_2011	287.33	284.53	288.78	292.81	292.01	296.52	299.31(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	205	100	204	206	0.4	59%	0.09	-1.5	1.43%	0	1.9	62	0

16	Aug_22_2011	287.08	284.18	286.81	290.61	289.7	292.37	295.7(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	220	60	225	205	0.55	59%	0.08	-12.2	1.42%	0	1.6	63	0
17	Aug_19_2011	286.86	284.02	284.16	288.95	287.57	287.49	291.42(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	-20	32	97	0.57	56%	0.06	-18.8	1.41%	0	1	56	0
18	Aug_18_2011	286.68	284.13	282.85	288.18	287.02	287.03	289.16(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-10	-19	62	0.62	56%	0.06	-22.1	1.43%	0	0.7	52	0
19	Aug_17_2011	286.52	284.36	281.27	286.73	287.23	287.65	288.48(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	76	20	77	73	0.21	56%	0.05	-28.1	1.43%	0	0.5	51	0
20	Aug_16_2011	286.37	284.64	280.48	284	285.25	287.02	288.27(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	60	66	36	0.25	54%	0.06	-36.6	1.43%	0	0.4	48	0

21	Aug_15_2011	286.19	285.05	279.26	282.36	282.84	286.82	287.4(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	162	100	199	50	0.29	54%	0.04	-40.9	1.44%	0	0.3	44	0
22	Aug_12_2011	286.07	285.39	278.61	278.59	279.76	283.49	287.61(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	188	110	244	20	0.63	54%	0.06	-51.5	1.44%	0	0.3	44	0
23	Aug_11_2011	285.91	285.8	278.22	276.81	276.17	278.86	281.89(2.57%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	84	60	131	-56	0.74	52%	0.04	-55.8	1.42%	0	-0.4	39	0
24	Aug_10_2011	285.79	286.56	278.49	275.09	275.1	276.03	274.82(-1.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	40	20	88	-106	0.72	49%	0.04	-60.4	1.38%	0	-1.3	34	0
25	Aug_9_2011	285.69	287.69	279.87	276.43	275	273.47	280.1(4.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-73	-50	-43	-161	0.69	53%		-59	1.36%	0	-0.8	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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