Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 20, 2008

Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AutoZone Inc.)
AZO latest price $135.1700 (0.21%) ($133.8900 - $137.2500) on Wed. Aug. 20, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.85% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $135.1700(0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AZO advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AZO advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AZO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(53%)    SPY(51%)    XLP(48%)    IWM(47%)    PEJ(45%)
Factors Impacting AZO price   AZO will decline at least -0.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.925% (StdDev 1.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $136.38(-0.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $136.39(-0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $133.79(1.03%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   20.9%
Market Cap   $3.156b

AutoZone, Inc. engages in the provision of retail and distribution of automotive replacement parts and accessories. The firm offers ALLDATA, which produces, sells, and maintains diagnostic and repair information software used in the automotive repair industry. The company was founded by Joseph R. Hyde, III on July 4, 1979 and is headquartered in Memphis, TN.

$. AZO price fluctuates within 2.65% (three month std-dev: 1.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.93%(50%) Average negative next day return: -4.78%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.39%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.26%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.56%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.6%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080920

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_20_2008	124.1	133.79	136.39	136.38	136.63	135.6	135.17(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-15	-50	-31	32	0.74	65%	0.13	66.8	1.85%	0	0.4	61	0
2	Aug_19_2008	123.94	133.57	136.31	136.21	136.46	136.91	134.89(-1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	30	-19	41	0.51	65%	0.17	77.2	1.85%	0	0.4	58	0
3	Aug_18_2008	123.73	133.25	136.45	136.55	136.21	137.67	137.21(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	70	45	84	0.57	65%	0.19	87.9	1.84%	0	1	63	0
4	Aug_15_2008	123.49	132.64	135.82	136.9	136.03	136.02	138.59(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	-20	26	92	0.62	65%	0.19	97.2	1.83%	0	1.4	72	0
5	Aug_14_2008	123.25	132	135.11	136.86	136.58	134.75	136.06(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-100	-36	77	0.86	64%	0.15	107.6	1.83%	0	1	66	0

6	Aug_13_2008	123.07	131.46	134.56	136.43	136.81	136.05	134.3(-1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-28	-30	-60	67	0.94	64%	0.12	98.6	1.82%	0	0.6	61	0
7	Aug_12_2008	122.92	130.78	134.29	136.37	136.54	138.4	136.61(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	57	100	39	110	0.69	65%	0.14	81.4	1.81%	0	1	61	0
8	Aug_11_2008	122.75	129.75	133.73	136.26	135.63	137.57	138.96(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	123	90	115	148	1	65%	0.13	71.2	1.82%	0	1.5	70	0
9	Aug_8_2008	122.59	128.69	132.51	134.56	134.34	134.67	138.35(3.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	73	10	61	110	0.97	65%	0.19	62.3	1.82%	0	1.6	74	0
10	Aug_7_2008	122.36	127.65	131.44	133.16	133.01	133.68	133.93(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	30	7	76	1.08	63%	0.17	56.6	1.79%	0	1.1	65	0

11	Aug_6_2008	122.15	126.96	130.93	132.43	132.39	134.01	134(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	73	80	64	99	1.17	63%	0.17	55.9	1.79%	0	1.2	67	0
12	Aug_5_2008	121.94	126.31	130.55	131.88	131.6	132.35	136.05(4.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	80	30	66	120	1.1	63%	0.21	55.4	1.78%	0	1.8	77	0
13	Aug_4_2008	121.69	125.59	129.73	130.87	130.84	130.77	130.47(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	-0	12	123	0.64	60%	0.15	55.1	1.71%	0	1	78	0
14	Aug_1_2008	121.51	125.03	129.17	130.12	130.42	130.86	131.33(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	30	23	136	0.68	63%	0.13	51.2	1.72%	0	1.2	73	0
15	Jul_31_2008	121.35	124.46	128.64	129.43	129.33	130.92	130.29(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	67	80	37	155	0.75	63%	0.16	54.1	1.73%	0	1.2	72	0

16	Jul_30_2008	121.16	123.87	128.12	129.17	128.9	129.98	131.25(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	93	50	67	172	0.77	59%	0.14	60.4	1.81%	0	1.5	67	0
17	Jul_29_2008	120.99	123.35	127.03	129.04	128.68	127.74	131.03(3.41%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	34	-60	-1	139	0.72	59%	0.17	74.5	1.87%	0	1.7	64	0
18	Jul_28_2008	120.78	122.82	125.51	128.48	128.92	127.82	126.71(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-50	-44	103	0.7	57%	0.12	87.5	1.83%	0	0.9	57	0
19	Jul_25_2008	120.64	122.48	124.65	128.04	128.87	129.61	127.87(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	35	60	8	116	0.77	57%	0.12	92.6	1.83%	0	1.3	64	0
20	Jul_24_2008	120.49	121.83	123.65	127.67	127.88	130.02	129(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	91	120	77	134	0.84	57%	0.1	84.3	1.84%	0	1.7	64	0

21	Jul_23_2008	120.37	120.98	122.73	126.85	126.77	128.12	130.58(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	121	70	113	143	1.44	57%	0.12	70.2	1.84%	0	2.2	68	0
22	Jul_22_2008	120.23	120.03	121.72	124.72	124.92	125.75	128.22(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	75	50	68	94	1.08	55%	0.09	50.6	1.83%	0	1.9	59	0
23	Jul_21_2008	120.12	119.22	121.03	122.1	122.74	125.43	124.52(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	83	170	89	66	0.78	53%	0.07	25.4	1.82%	0	1.3	55	0
24	Jul_18_2008	120.03	118.74	120.5	120.7	120.34	124.09	126.01(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	136	210	157	71	1.12	53%	0.06	11.1	1.81%	0	1.8	59	0
25	Jul_17_2008	119.96	118.33	119.85	119.03	118.51	120.06	124.9(4.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	104	80	123	45	1.3	53%		0	1.81%	0	1.8	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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