Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 20, 2008

Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AutoZone Inc.)
AZO latest price $126.9900 (-0.63%) ($125.6700 - $130.7900) on Tue. May. 20, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.13% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $126.9900(-0.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AZO advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AZO advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AZO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(53%)    SPY(51%)    XLP(48%)    IWM(47%)    PEJ(45%)
Factors Impacting AZO price   AZO will decline at least -1.065% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(1%)    LQD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.065% (StdDev 2.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $127.44(-0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $126(0.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $124.65(1.88%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   15.2%
Market Cap   $2.965b

AutoZone, Inc. engages in the provision of retail and distribution of automotive replacement parts and accessories. The firm offers ALLDATA, which produces, sells, and maintains diagnostic and repair information software used in the automotive repair industry. The company was founded by Joseph R. Hyde, III on July 4, 1979 and is headquartered in Memphis, TN.

$. AZO price fluctuates within 2.08% (three month std-dev: 2.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.37%(86%) Average negative next day return: -0.11%(14%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.7%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -1.12%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.31%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.35%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080620

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_20_2008	117.08	124.65	126	127.44	127.52	127.92	126.99(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	20	20	53	1.03	72%	0.07	62	2.13%	0	0.9	66	0
2	May_19_2008	117	124.29	125.76	127.37	127.34	127.2	127.8(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10	10	47	0.79	72%	0.08	65.4	2.16%	0	1.4	54	0
3	May_16_2008	116.91	124	125.27	126.97	126.97	127.12	127.21(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	10	7	40	0.84	72%	0.06	74	2.16%	0	1.3	57	0
4	May_15_2008	116.84	123.75	124.93	126.01	126.36	127.49	128.35(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	42	70	42	42	0.66	72%	0.06	76.4	2.18%	0	1.9	58	0
5	May_14_2008	116.77	123.38	124.63	124.89	125.07	126.81	126.83(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	49	100	51	41	0.51	72%	0.09	78.5	2.17%	0	1.6	61	0

6	May_13_2008	116.67	123.06	124.04	124.37	124.34	125.22	126.67(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	48	50	51	38	0.48	72%	0.03	83.1	2.2%	0	1.6	64	0
7	May_12_2008	116.64	122.64	123.86	123.95	123.95	123.34	125.77(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-30	5	27	0.39	72%	0.03	79.3	2.2%	0	1.3	62	0
8	May_9_2008	116.6	122.22	123.63	123.37	123.65	123.47	122.44(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-20	-0	-30	9	0.55	70%	-0.01	71.7	2.17%	0	0.1	51	0
9	May_8_2008	116.61	121.97	123.78	123.66	123.84	124.56	122.76(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	50	10	32	1.02	70%	0	69.6	2.19%	0	0.3	51	0
10	May_7_2008	116.61	121.69	123.69	124.3	123.99	123.82	124.19(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	-20	24	47	0.67	70%	0.03	66	2.19%	0	0.8	56	0

11	May_6_2008	116.57	121.22	123.23	123.61	123.77	123.12	124.61(1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-15	-30	-25	17	0.87	70%	0.04	52.6	2.2%	0	1	59	0
12	May_5_2008	116.52	120.79	122.74	123.76	123.8	124.15	122.85(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	20	-12	27	0.57	70%	0.03	48.5	2.2%	0	0.6	60	0
13	May_2_2008	116.49	120.45	122.68	123.92	124.14	124.42	123.9(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	33	20	26	55	0.45	70%	0.03	52.7	2.24%	0	1	65	0
14	May_1_2008	116.46	120.1	122.51	123.91	123.77	123.46	125.95(4.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-20	-0	56	0.57	70%	0.02	59.9	2.25%	0	1.8	69	0
15	Apr_30_2008	116.44	119.67	122.02	123.02	123.6	123.87	120.75(-3.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	19	30	6	59	0.77	70%	-0.06	61.8	2.22%	0	0.4	63	0

16	Apr_29_2008	116.51	119.54	122.03	122.71	122.97	124.08	125.36(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	52	70	41	84	0.64	76%	-0.06	60.4	2.19%	0	2	82	0
17	Apr_28_2008	116.58	119.22	121.31	121.54	121.88	123.33	123.65(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	54	90	46	78	0.51	79%	-0.06	51.1	2.18%	0	1.6	72	0
18	Apr_25_2008	116.65	118.73	120.67	121.26	121.15	121.87	123.85(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	47	40	38	72	0.78	79%	-0.03	38.6	2.3%	0	1.8	73	0
19	Apr_24_2008	116.69	118.19	119.98	120.97	120.85	120.42	121.48(1.92%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	7	-30	-8	52	0.57	79%	-0.04	33	2.31%	0	1.2	64	0
20	Apr_23_2008	116.74	117.87	119.51	120.95	121.47	120.43	119.19(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-50	-21	46	0.66	81%	-0.09	39.1	2.3%	0	0.5	55	0

21	Apr_22_2008	116.84	117.87	119.08	121.2	121.56	121.28	119.52(-2.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-10	-22	41	0.39	82%	0.1	49.3	2.34%	0	0.7	54	0
22	Apr_21_2008	116.72	117.8	118.75	120.96	121.31	122.52	122.25(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	80	34	54	0.28	82%	0.09	63.1	2.37%	0	1.7	57	0
23	Apr_18_2008	116.61	117.63	118.08	119.93	120.31	121.83	122.42(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	61	100	62	57	0.61	82%	0.12	67	2.39%	0	2	72	0
24	Apr_17_2008	116.47	117.32	117.5	118.84	118.88	120.11	121.36(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	46	70	46	45	0.64	82%	0.11	64.7	2.4%	0	1.9	72	0
25	Apr_16_2008	116.34	116.89	117.09	117.89	117.95	118.78	120.46(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	44	50	45	39	0.65	82%		54.8	2.44%	0	1.6	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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