Trading Signals: AZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 23, 2017

Trading Signals: AZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(AstraZeneca PLC)
AZN latest price $29.5100 (2.04%) ($29.2200 - $29.6300) on Thu. Feb. 23, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $29.5100(2.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AZN advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AZN advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(48%)    IBB(41%)    SPLV(41%)    VT(41%)    SPY(40%)
Factors Impacting AZN price   AZN will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-14%)    VIXM(-9%)    TLT(-7%)    DIA(-5%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.07(1.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.22(0.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.48(3.62%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   14.3%
Market Cap   $77.434b

AstraZeneca Plc is a holding company, which engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical products. Its pipeline are used for the following therapy areas: oncology, cardiovascular, renal, metabolism, and respiratory. The company was founded on June 17, 1992 and is headquartered in Cambridge, the United Kingdom.

July 16, 2020 The company was given $1B from the U.S. Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority back in late May to supply 400 million doses of the vaccine to the United States. On Wednesday the shares of AstraZeneca were up over 5% after British media reports said that the results of the phase 1 tests were promising. These reports will be published in the Lance medical journal on Monday July 20.

$. AZN price fluctuates within 3.23% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 24 Average positive next day return: 1.47%(54%) Average negative next day return: -0.86%(46%) Sample size 24 Average positive next three day return: 1.88%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -1.7%(46%) Sample size 24 Average positive next weekly return: 2.5%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.26%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_23_2017	28.2	28.48	29.22	29.07	29.08	29.09	29.51(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	0	17	73	5.21	55%	-0.11	49.5	1.4%	0	1.1	75	INF
2	Feb_22_2017	28.23	28.37	29.13	28.94	28.92	28.89	28.92(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-10	-12	65	5.12	48%	-0.14	40.1	1.38%	0	0.6	68	INF
3	Feb_21_2017	28.27	28.27	29.08	29.07	28.9	29.06	29.01(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	20	-5	91	4.47	48%	-0.32	36	1.45%	0	0.8	74	INF
4	Feb_17_2017	28.36	28.18	29	29.2	29.02	28.95	29.16(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	32	-40	2	121	4.5	48%	-0.14	32.3	1.44%	0	1	77	INF
5	Feb_16_2017	28.4	28.08	28.88	29.27	29.14	28.73	28.76(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-110	-21	134	4.4	48%	-0.18	30.1	1.43%	0	0.7	75	INF

6	Feb_15_2017	28.45	28.03	28.77	29.38	29.3	29.09	28.84(-2.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	27	-60	-17	160	3.76	48%	-0.18	32.8	1.44%	0	0.9	79	INF
7	Feb_14_2017	28.5	28	28.67	29.34	29.43	29.56	29.59(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	63	40	21	188	5.48	52%	-0.14	31	1.4%	0	1.7	77	INF
8	Feb_13_2017	28.54	27.94	28.44	29.07	29.16	29.51	29.64(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	66	90	30	175	5.48	52%	-0.17	24.4	1.41%	0	2	80	INF
9	Feb_10_2017	28.59	27.87	28.18	28.76	28.81	29.31	29.53(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	71	130	42	156	8.7	46%	-0.17	16.8	1.41%	0	2.1	77	INF
10	Feb_9_2017	28.64	27.79	27.93	28.44	28.43	28.81	29.3(2.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	61	90	40	122	7.26	50%	-0.14	2.8	1.52%	0	2.2	76	INF

11	Feb_8_2017	28.68	27.73	27.67	28.09	28.07	28.31	28.62(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	60	22	72	5.11	48%	-0.17	-10.9	1.55%	0	1.5	55	INF
12	Feb_7_2017	28.73	27.72	27.52	27.92	27.78	28.06	28.26(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	60	21	44	6.34	48%	-0.21	-11.2	1.54%	0	0.9	44	INF
13	Feb_6_2017	28.79	27.73	27.39	27.71	27.61	27.82	28.09(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	40	25	11	6.3	48%	-0.21	-11.5	1.54%	0	0.6	43	INF
14	Feb_3_2017	28.85	27.74	27.29	27.51	27.35	27.51	27.92(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	20	15	-28	10.79	46%	-0.21	-12.6	1.54%	0	0.3	40	INF
15	Feb_2_2017	28.91	27.77	27.2	27.34	27.18	27.4	27.56(-0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	40	16	-57	11.2	46%	-0.17	-9.5	1.55%	0	-0.3	41	INF

16	Feb_1_2017	28.96	27.77	27.22	27.17	27.1	27.2	27.76(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	20	14	-75	10.01	46%	-0.17	-12	1.55%	0	-0	44	INF
17	Jan_31_2017	29.01	27.79	27.28	27.08	27.01	26.96	27.23(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-24	-20	-1	-94	10.64	43%	-0.24	-13.7	1.54%	0	-0.8	31	INF
18	Jan_30_2017	29.08	27.8	27.39	27.08	27.1	27.01	27.09(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-20	-1	-100	6.14	43%	-0.17	-14.3	1.54%	0	-1	33	INF
19	Jan_27_2017	29.13	27.82	27.53	27.08	27.07	27.05	27.05(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-0	-5	-101	7.38	40%	-0.21	-12.7	1.54%	0	-1.2	34	INF
20	Jan_26_2017	29.19	27.84	27.65	27.03	27.09	27.19	26.72(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	30	-8	-105	10.39	40%	-0.24	-11.6	1.59%	0	-1.7	27	INF

21	Jan_25_2017	29.26	27.87	27.8	27.27	27.1	27.09	27.29(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-32	-20	-12	-90	4.79	42%	-0.2	0.5	1.57%	0	-1	45	INF
22	Jan_24_2017	29.32	27.88	27.94	27.51	27.31	26.99	26.99(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-36	-100	-26	-67	9.28	40%	-0.07	7.8	1.57%	0	-1.5	45	INF
23	Jan_23_2017	29.34	27.9	28.11	27.81	27.72	27.12	27.1(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-36	-160	-36	-34	5.51	40%	-0.24	18.5	1.59%	0	-1.4	52	INF
24	Jan_20_2017	29.41	27.9	28.25	28.11	28.09	27.63	27.07(-3.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-28	-120	-37	-0	10.13	40%	-0.17	31.9	1.59%	0	-1.5	51	INF
25	Jan_19_2017	29.46	27.91	28.42	28.34	28.4	28.31	27.91(-2.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	-20	-11	48	3.69	41%		39.3	1.55%	0	0	62	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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