Trading Signals: AXP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 6, 2023

Trading Signals: AXP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Express)
AXP latest price $170.9400 (-2.64%) ($168.2200 - $172.3100) on Thu. Jul. 6, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.55% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $170.9400(-2.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AXP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AXP advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AXP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(75%)    DIA(69%)    IVE(68%)    IWD(68%)    VT(66%)
Factors Impacting AXP price   AXP will decline at least -0.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-48%)    VIXM(-44%)    UUP(-26%)    TBT(-15%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.775% (StdDev 1.55%)
Hourly BBV -1 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $171.53
5 Day Moving Average   $173.65(-1.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $171.12(-0.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $171.53(-0.34%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   15.6%
Market Cap   $137.607b

American Express Co. engages in the provision of charge and credit card products, and travel-related services. It operates through the following segments: Global Consumer Services Group, Global Commercial Services, Global Merchant and Network Services and Corporate & Other. The Global Consumer Services Group segment issues a wide range of proprietary consumer cards globally. The Global Commercial Services segment provides proprietary corporate and small business cards, payment and expense management services, and commercial financing products. The Global Merchant and Network Services segment operates a global payments network that processes and settles card transactions, acquires merchants, and provides multi-channel marketing programs and capabilities, services, and data analytics. The Corporate & Other segment covers corporate functions and certain other businesses and operations. The company was founded by Henry Wells, William G. Fargo and John Warren Butterfield on March 28, 1850 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. AXP price fluctuates within 1.61% (three month std-dev: 1.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.69%(17%) Average negative next day return: -0.41%(83%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.26%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -2.57%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 3.61%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.24%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230806

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_6_2023	163.99	171.53	171.12	173.65	173.77	172.98	170.94(-2.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-50	-30	-67	3	3.16	57%	-0.06	69.6	1.55%	-1	-0.2	40	-0.6
2	Jul_5_2023	164.09	171.57	170.84	173.41	173.9	175.04	175.57(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	54	50	59	37	2.49	61%	-0.15	90.7	1.52%	1	1.4	47	0.9
3	Jul_3_2023	164.33	171.17	170.18	171.94	172.24	174.57	175.44(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	90	100	110	29	1.7	61%	-0.02	96.8	1.52%	0	1.6	52	1.2
4	Jun_30_2023	164.37	170.81	169.77	170.27	170.33	172.77	174.2(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	103	100	132	17	3.37	61%	-0.03	115.4	1.52%	1.5	1.3	55	1
5	Jun_29_2023	164.42	170.26	169.64	169.05	168.85	169.92	172.08(1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	67	40	93	-10	2.9	64%	-0.04	107.5	1.52%	1.5	0.6	52	1

6	Jun_28_2023	164.49	169.63	169.8	168.28	167.82	167.89	169.78(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-10	12	-46	2.29	60%	-0.05	84.3	1.54%	1.7	0	45	1.2
7	Jun_27_2023	164.58	169.1	170.29	167.91	167.52	167.79	168.19(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	0	-5	-51	2.43	60%	-0.05	71.9	1.57%	-0.1	-0.2	39	1.1
8	Jun_26_2023	164.67	168.62	170.83	168.15	167.78	167.75	167.11(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-10	-1	-34	2.51	60%	-0.07	76.9	1.59%	0.3	-0.3	53	1
9	Jun_23_2023	164.79	167.92	171.33	169.17	168.22	167.26	168.07(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-60	-53	-37	4.21	60%	-0.03	71.2	1.61%	0.4	0	52	1.1
10	Jun_22_2023	164.84	167.14	171.68	170.32	169.71	167.81	168.26(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-60	-90	-75	-15	2.76	60%	-0.04	62.9	1.61%	-0.5	0.2	66	1.4

11	Jun_21_2023	164.9	166.42	172.05	171.56	170.95	169.19	167.92(-0.88%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-86	-80	-118	9	2.81	63%	-0.04	62.6	1.61%	-0.9	0.2	72	1.3
12	Jun_20_2023	164.97	165.84	172.5	173.01	172.69	171.61	169.41(-1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-27	-50	-61	75	2.87	63%	-0.07	66.9	1.67%	-1.4	0.4	76	1.2
13	Jun_16_2023	165.08	165.06	172.39	173.85	173.91	172.72	172.21(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-50	-29	120	4.62	60%	0.1	69.8	1.69%	-1	0.8	83	1.6
14	Jun_15_2023	164.91	164.14	172.06	173.76	173.84	173.77	173.81(-0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	15	-0	-33	157	2.8	57%	0.1	72.4	1.68%	-0.3	1.1	91	1.2
15	Jun_14_2023	164.74	163.05	171.02	173.22	173.7	175.1	174.47(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	98	60	59	214	2.33	60%	0.12	73	1.71%	0.1	1.3	92	4.5

16	Jun_13_2023	164.54	161.76	169.51	172.64	172.57	173.92	175.14(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	101	50	62	218	2.48	55%	0.13	68.7	1.78%	1.2	1.5	87	1.3
17	Jun_12_2023	164.33	160.48	167.83	171.97	171.88	172.3	173.64(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	88	20	48	206	2.61	55%	0.14	67.8	1.88%	2.2	1.5	77	1.4
18	Jun_9_2023	164.1	159.18	166.22	170.73	171.13	171.22	171.72(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	57	10	14	186	2.2	52%	0.15	63.4	1.94%	1.3	1.5	78	1.7
19	Jun_8_2023	163.85	157.97	164.23	170.1	170.06	171.45	171.14(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	74	60	36	189	2.35	52%	0.13	63.1	1.94%	-0.4	1.6	76	2
20	Jun_7_2023	163.64	156.81	162.23	168.42	169.12	171.03	171.55(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	143	90	121	207	2.79	50%	0.11	58.7	1.94%	0.8	1.9	78	2.2

21	Jun_6_2023	163.46	155.83	160.3	165.82	166.32	168.66	171.82(2.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	120	110	100	180	3.63	50%	0.06	55.3	1.96%	1.5	2.3	81	2.4
22	Jun_5_2023	163.37	154.81	158.57	163.06	163.36	167.21	167.43(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	146	170	135	178	2.87	48%	0.07	47.8	1.93%	0.5	2.1	75	2.3
23	Jun_2_2023	163.25	154.01	157.06	161.02	160.92	163.99	168.56(3.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	184	130	183	185	4.82	50%	0.09	36.2	1.95%	1.4	2.9	79	2.2
24	Jun_1_2023	163.11	152.96	155.45	157.52	157.98	159.51	162.72(2.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	109	80	102	128	4.09	47%	0.06	11	1.9%	1.9	2.5	75	2
25	May_31_2023	163.02	152.38	154.33	155.12	155.33	157.86	158.56(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	79	120	73	97	5.59	44%		-12.6	1.89%	1.9	2	69	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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