Trading Signals: AXP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 4, 2020

Trading Signals: AXP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Express)
AXP latest price $106.5400 (1.08%) ($103.2300 - $107.4300) on Thu. Jun. 4, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.65% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $106.5400(1.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AXP advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AXP advances 7.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AXP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(69%)    IWD(66%)    JETS(66%)    IVE(65%)    DIA(64%)
Factors Impacting AXP price   AXP will decline at least -3.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-41%)    UUP(-24%)    VXX(-15%)    TLT(-14%)    BND(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.325% (StdDev 6.65%)
Hourly BBV 0.9 ()
Intraday Trend 3%

5 Day Moving Average   $100.57(5.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $97.86(8.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $91.96(15.85%)
To recent high   -7.9%
To recent low   54.5%
Market Cap   $85.765b

American Express Co. engages in the provision of charge and credit card products, and travel-related services. It operates through the following segments: Global Consumer Services Group, Global Commercial Services, Global Merchant and Network Services and Corporate & Other. The Global Consumer Services Group segment issues a wide range of proprietary consumer cards globally. The Global Commercial Services segment provides proprietary corporate and small business cards, payment and expense management services, and commercial financing products. The Global Merchant and Network Services segment operates a global payments network that processes and settles card transactions, acquires merchants, and provides multi-channel marketing programs and capabilities, services, and data analytics. The Corporate & Other segment covers corporate functions and certain other businesses and operations. The company was founded by Henry Wells, William G. Fargo and John Warren Butterfield on March 28, 1850 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. AXP price fluctuates within 8.28% (three month std-dev: 6.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 47 Average positive next day return: 3.32%(45%) Average negative next day return: -3.33%(55%) Sample size 47 Average positive next three day return: 7.66%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -3.83%(45%) Sample size 47 Average positive next weekly return: 7.95%(49%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.11%(51%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200704

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_4_2020	102.26	91.96	97.86	100.57	101.1	104.54	106.54(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	51	250	39	85	5.75	58%	-0.23	48.6	6.65%	0.9	1.9	76	1.6
2	Jun_3_2020	102.5	90.78	96.23	98.87	98.71	101.5	105.4(6.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	48	190	35	88	7.29	57%	-0.23	38.1	6.7%	1.6	2.1	80	1.7
3	Jun_2_2020	102.74	89.78	94.39	98.04	97.77	97.66	99.07(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-20	15	83	5.43	57%	-0.29	39.1	6.69%	0.8	1.5	67	1.3
4	Jun_1_2020	103.04	89.11	93.32	97.09	97.98	95.91	96.75(1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-120	-8	73	4.28	57%	-0.31	38.2	6.68%	-0.4	1.3	62	1
5	May_29_2020	103.36	88.64	91.94	95.6	97.47	97.88	95.07(-3.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	90	-6	60	7.75	57%	-0.33	37.2	6.73%	-1.2	1.2	55	1.3

6	May_28_2020	103.7	88.4	90.85	94.55	95.9	100.05	98.06(-3.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	350	38	70	9.26	57%	-0.27	40.8	6.77%	0.3	1.9	61	0.9
7	May_27_2020	103.98	88.2	88.87	93.09	93.39	97.06	101.23(7.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	62	280	60	66	10.87	56%	-0.22	46.8	6.76%	1.5	2.6	66	1.5
8	May_26_2020	104.21	87.47	86.97	90.29	90.9	91.74	94.32(5.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	80	26	34	6.55	53%	-0.49	46.3	6.72%	1.6	1.7	58	1.3
9	May_22_2020	104.72	86.98	85.99	89.11	89.36	89.71	89.33(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	40	4	18	3.71	51%	-0.35	42.7	6.64%	-1.1	0.6	54	1.2
10	May_21_2020	105.09	86.68	85.93	87.69	88.92	90.06	89.83(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	130	21	17	6.24	50%	-0.15	26.6	6.69%	-0.1	0.8	52	1.1

11	May_20_2020	105.25	86.32	85.56	86.49	86.97	89.02	90.73(3.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	180	29	9	5.17	50%	-0.33	19.3	6.69%	1.6	1.1	49	1.5
12	May_19_2020	105.6	85.9	84.84	83.95	84.51	87.77	87.26(-1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	22	290	34	-15	4.92	50%	-0.36	-0.4	6.67%	0.6	0.4	40	0.9
13	May_18_2020	105.98	85.63	84.74	83.12	82.47	84.92	88.41(7.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	19	180	33	-22	7.77	50%	-0.36	-14.3	6.67%	1.5	0.7	51	1.4
14	May_15_2020	106.36	85.4	84.48	82.51	81.82	81.24	82.22(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-70	-1	-39	6.54	49%	-0.41	-26.5	6.6%	0.7	-0.8	49	1
15	May_14_2020	106.8	85.67	85.08	83.96	82.85	80.02	83.81(7.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-32	-280	-30	-38	10.61	49%	-0.22	-24.6	6.65%	0.7	-0.5	53	0.8

16	May_13_2020	107.04	85.58	85.78	84.55	85.01	82.4	78.03(-6.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-34	-200	-36	-29	10.66	47%	-0.46	-32.7	6.57%	-1.7	-2	48	0.1
17	May_12_2020	107.53	85.92	87.58	85.74	86.56	85.67	83.14(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-40	-18	-3	5.49	47%	-0.4	-31.9	6.54%	-1.5	-0.8	54	1.2
18	May_11_2020	107.96	86.19	88.14	86.46	86.78	87.62	85.33(-4.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	80	-1	15	5.9	47%	-0.39	-20.6	6.53%	-1.2	-0.2	58	2.3
19	May_8_2020	108.38	86.42	88.18	86.67	87.03	87.44	89.5(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	50	15	24	3.88	47%	-0.34	1.7	6.46%	1.7	0.8	59	2
20	May_7_2020	108.75	86.62	87.58	86.43	86.4	85.93	86.73(3.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-6	-40	-11	9	4.63	46%	-0.36	20.2	6.5%	0.2	0	50	1.4

21	May_6_2020	109.14	86.86	87.21	87.34	86.92	86.62	84(-3.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-10	-40	-18	13	4.67	46%	-0.39	41.2	6.48%	-1.4	-0.7	56	0.8
22	May_5_2020	109.57	87.05	87.15	89.76	88.63	86.86	86.74(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-180	-11	30	4.4	47%	-0.35	61.5	6.47%	-0.4	-0.1	55	1.1
23	May_4_2020	109.95	86.93	86.69	90.05	90.21	87.21	86.38(-2.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-14	-230	-25	21	4.86	47%	-0.36	56.4	6.47%	-1	-0.1	48	0.5
24	May_1_2020	110.35	86.36	86.48	89.79	90.58	90.39	88.32(-3.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	10	-13	18	4.61	47%	-0.33	31.5	6.42%	-1.2	0.4	48	0.4
25	Apr_30_2020	110.71	85.82	86.35	88.76	89.54	93.2	91.25(-5.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	310	36	24	6.54	46%		10.4	6.42%	0.1	1	45	1.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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