Trading Signals: AXP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 10, 2017

Trading Signals: AXP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Express)
AXP latest price $74.3655 (1.04%) ($73.8513 - $75.6753) on Tue. Jan. 10, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $74.3655(1.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AXP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AXP advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AXP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(28%)    IVE(27%)    SPY(27%)    VYM(27%)    IWD(26%)
Factors Impacting AXP price   AXP will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    XHB(-11%)    TLT(-8%)    DIA(-8%)    TIP(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $73.65(0.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $72.88(2.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.49(2.59%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   28.5%
Market Cap   $59.864b

American Express Co. engages in the provision of charge and credit card products, and travel-related services. It operates through the following segments: Global Consumer Services Group, Global Commercial Services, Global Merchant and Network Services and Corporate & Other. The Global Consumer Services Group segment issues a wide range of proprietary consumer cards globally. The Global Commercial Services segment provides proprietary corporate and small business cards, payment and expense management services, and commercial financing products. The Global Merchant and Network Services segment operates a global payments network that processes and settles card transactions, acquires merchants, and provides multi-channel marketing programs and capabilities, services, and data analytics. The Corporate & Other segment covers corporate functions and certain other businesses and operations. The company was founded by Henry Wells, William G. Fargo and John Warren Butterfield on March 28, 1850 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. AXP price fluctuates within 1.14% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 0.6%(70%) Average negative next day return: -0.22%(30%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 0.91%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -1.96%(40%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 0.69%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.59%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_10_2017	65.93	72.49	72.88	73.65	73.7	74.14	74.37(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	40	33	52	9.56	94%	0.18	77.2	1.5%	0	2.3	65	0
2	Jan_9_2017	65.81	72.37	72.67	73.34	73.45	73.48	73.6(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	10	20	38	4.82	94%	0.17	89.6	1.49%	0	1.6	57	0
3	Jan_6_2017	65.7	72.3	72.51	72.93	73.17	73.27	73.22(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	20	10	20	3.09	84%	0.15	95.9	1.5%	0	1.3	55	0
4	Jan_5_2017	65.6	72.22	72.45	72.57	72.76	73.43	73.08(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	70	24	20	3.38	84%	0.15	102.2	1.58%	0	1.3	61	0
5	Jan_4_2017	65.5	72.07	72.39	72.32	72.32	73.08	73.99(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	39	70	43	26	4.64	84%	0.18	102.2	1.57%	0	3	69	0

6	Jan_3_2017	65.38	71.85	72.18	72.01	71.99	72.09	72.79(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	10	19	12	5.85	84%	0.18	83.3	1.56%	0	1.4	65	0
7	Dec_30_2016	65.26	71.69	72.13	71.94	71.94	71.56	71.57(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-40	-16	-3	3.38	83%	0.14	53.7	1.56%	0	-0.1	45	0
8	Dec_29_2016	65.17	71.62	72.22	72.03	72.15	71.89	71.41(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-20	-22	-2	2.57	80%	0.15	52.8	1.56%	0	-0.2	43	0
9	Dec_28_2016	65.07	71.55	72.25	72.3	72.34	72.32	71.85(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-0	-8	11	2.52	80%	0.14	56.8	1.57%	0	0.3	52	0
10	Dec_27_2016	64.98	71.42	72.21	72.44	72.44	72.42	72.44(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	9	-0	3	27	2.05	81%	0.17	55.2	1.56%	0	0.8	69	0

11	Dec_23_2016	64.87	71.28	72.09	72.44	72.45	72.35	72.43(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10	-3	30	1.96	81%	0.17	57.2	1.56%	0	0.9	70	0
12	Dec_22_2016	64.76	71.18	72.06	72.36	72.38	72.47	72.05(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	10	-5	43	2.87	81%	0.17	62.4	1.57%	0	0.7	70	0
13	Dec_21_2016	64.65	71.09	72.09	72.43	72.43	72.55	72.76(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	10	14	66	3.24	81%	0.19	69.2	1.56%	0	1.4	68	0
14	Dec_20_2016	64.53	70.92	71.98	72.19	72.36	72.29	72.51(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	0	8	68	3.24	81%	0.17	62	1.57%	0	1.3	70	0
15	Dec_19_2016	64.42	70.75	71.73	71.95	72.15	72.3	72.02(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	20	3	64	3.08	81%	0.16	54.7	1.57%	0	1.1	70	0

16	Dec_16_2016	64.32	70.58	71.51	71.77	71.93	72.43	72.46(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	60	20	67	8.2	81%	0.16	51.1	1.56%	0	1.5	67	0
17	Dec_15_2016	64.22	70.42	71.21	71.77	71.68	71.99	72.4(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	30	19	61	4.06	81%	0.17	59.5	1.57%	0	1.7	60	0
18	Dec_14_2016	64.11	70.26	70.97	71.72	71.63	71.42	71.56(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-20	-2	53	5.42	78%	0.14	75.3	1.56%	0	1.2	57	0
19	Dec_13_2016	64.02	70.17	70.78	71.76	71.77	71.37	71.34(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-40	-8	54	2.89	73%	0.16	104	1.58%	0	1.1	62	0
20	Dec_12_2016	63.92	70.1	70.57	71.46	71.7	71.84	71.08(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	20	2	49	3.65	73%	0.14	123.1	1.61%	0	1	62	0

21	Dec_9_2016	63.83	69.95	70.43	71.16	71.31	72.18	72.23(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	46	90	40	62	2.57	70%	0.19	131.8	1.6%	0	2.1	73	0
22	Dec_8_2016	63.71	69.72	70.22	70.6	70.72	71.56	72.37(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	56	90	55	57	3.42	70%	0.16	143	1.61%	0	2.5	66	0
23	Dec_7_2016	63.61	69.43	70	70.14	70.09	70.44	71.77(2.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	32	30	30	39	5.8	70%	0.16	140.4	1.61%	0	2.2	64	0
24	Dec_6_2016	63.51	69.09	69.73	69.71	69.83	69.87	69.86(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	10	9	15	3.84	68%	0.14	107.7	1.58%	0	0.6	48	0
25	Dec_5_2016	63.42	68.85	69.66	69.55	69.75	69.73	69.59(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-0	10	-1	2	3.93	68%		88.6	1.58%	0	0.5	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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