Trading Signals: AXP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: AXP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Express)
AXP latest price $68.1083 (0.56%) ($67.2872 - $68.1953) on Fri. Nov. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.51% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $68.1083(0.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AXP advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AXP advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AXP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(28%)    VYM(28%)    XLF(28%)    IWD(27%)    SPY(27%)
Factors Impacting AXP price   AXP will decline at least -0.755% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    XHB(-10%)    TLT(-9%)    DIA(-8%)    TIP(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.755% (StdDev 1.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $66.35(2.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $65.05(4.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $63.97(6.47%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.7%
Market Cap   $54.827b

American Express Co. engages in the provision of charge and credit card products, and travel-related services. It operates through the following segments: Global Consumer Services Group, Global Commercial Services, Global Merchant and Network Services and Corporate & Other. The Global Consumer Services Group segment issues a wide range of proprietary consumer cards globally. The Global Commercial Services segment provides proprietary corporate and small business cards, payment and expense management services, and commercial financing products. The Global Merchant and Network Services segment operates a global payments network that processes and settles card transactions, acquires merchants, and provides multi-channel marketing programs and capabilities, services, and data analytics. The Corporate & Other segment covers corporate functions and certain other businesses and operations. The company was founded by Henry Wells, William G. Fargo and John Warren Butterfield on March 28, 1850 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. AXP price fluctuates within 4.46% (three month std-dev: 1.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 31 Average positive next day return: 1.26%(42%) Average negative next day return: -1.25%(58%) Sample size 31 Average positive next three day return: 2.42%(39%) Average negative next three day return: -2.7%(61%) Sample size 31 Average positive next weekly return: 4.41%(42%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.14%(58%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_11_2016	61.73	63.97	65.05	66.35	66.35	67.57	68.11(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	76	130	70	92	4.66	64%	0.13	68.4	1.51%	0	1.5	70	INF
2	Nov_10_2016	61.65	63.47	64.63	65.39	65.57	66.51	67.73(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	78	110	84	60	9.42	64%	0.15	56.3	1.52%	0	1.5	65	INF
3	Nov_9_2016	61.56	63	64.28	64.47	64.57	65.14	66.41(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	70	42	13	9.32	61%	0.1	45.8	1.51%	0	1.2	63	INF
4	Nov_8_2016	61.5	62.62	64.06	63.83	63.94	64.64	64.79(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	27	80	31	16	3.96	58%	0.1	34.2	1.48%	0	0.8	81	INF
5	Nov_7_2016	61.44	62.32	64.02	63.67	63.64	64	64.73(2.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	35	40	30	48	4.01	58%	0.08	28.7	1.48%	0	0.9	83	INF

6	Nov_4_2016	61.39	62.07	64.01	63.56	63.5	63.25	63.29(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-30	-10	69	3.43	58%	0.07	25.8	1.48%	0	0.4	82	INF
7	Nov_3_2016	61.35	61.9	64.19	63.74	63.76	63.28	63.11(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-50	-29	112	3.8	58%	0.08	24.4	1.48%	0	0.4	79	INF
8	Nov_2_2016	61.3	61.74	64.34	64.05	64.09	63.75	63.23(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-40	-28	163	3.66	58%	0.08	26.3	1.49%	0	0.5	77	INF
9	Nov_1_2016	61.25	61.67	64	64.31	64.4	64.24	64(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	41	-10	-9	191	3.76	58%	0.05	30.3	1.48%	0	0.8	80	INF
10	Oct_31_2016	61.22	61.53	63.46	64.41	64.46	64.42	64.17(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	42	-0	-9	196	3.23	58%	0.03	31.6	1.48%	0	1	79	INF

11	Oct_28_2016	61.2	61.37	62.88	64.54	64.54	64.57	64.2(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	46	0	-4	196	4.99	58%	0.02	34.9	1.49%	0	1.1	71	INF
12	Oct_27_2016	61.19	61.22	62.3	64.71	64.7	64.5	64.66(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	51	-20	0	203	4.75	58%	0.03	38.6	1.48%	0	1.4	73	INF
13	Oct_26_2016	61.17	61.01	61.67	64.68	64.71	64.51	64.53(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	60	-20	12	203	3.62	58%	0.02	38.3	1.48%	0	1.5	72	INF
14	Oct_25_2016	61.16	60.85	61.08	63.61	64.6	64.9	64.48(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	83	80	57	161	3.88	58%	0.02	27.2	1.48%	0	1.6	56	INF
15	Oct_24_2016	61.15	60.69	60.48	62.32	63.15	64.92	64.81(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	93	240	87	110	5.17	58%	0.05	13.6	1.48%	0	1.9	60	INF

16	Oct_21_2016	61.12	60.47	59.93	60.93	61.41	64.3	65.07(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	141	350	162	78	8.56	55%	0.02	-6.2	1.49%	0	2.4	61	INF
17	Oct_20_2016	61.11	60.25	59.33	59.54	59.76	61.38	64.51(9.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	115	200	150	10	25.87	55%	0.03	-29.2	1.5%	0	2.5	59	INF
18	Oct_19_2016	61.09	60.1	58.8	58.31	58.42	58.53	59.17(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-14	20	29	-143	7.89	37%	-0.07	-54.5	1%	0	-0.6	38	INF
19	Oct_18_2016	61.13	60.23	59.06	58.2	58.24	58.14	58.04(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-57	-10	-18	-172	3.42	31%	-0.05	-55.3	0.97%	0	-1.5	25	INF
20	Oct_17_2016	61.16	60.4	59.39	58.35	58.37	58.31	57.87(-0.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-61	-10	-24	-172	3.9	31%	-0.08	-57.8	0.97%	0	-1.8	24	INF

21	Oct_14_2016	61.21	60.59	59.74	58.74	58.63	58.35	58.11(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-57	-40	-26	-150	4.96	31%	-0.07	-61.9	0.97%	0	-2	34	INF
22	Oct_13_2016	61.25	60.76	60.08	59.05	58.98	58.43	58.36(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-71	-70	-47	-141	4.22	31%	-0.08	-67.6	0.98%	0	-2.1	33	INF
23	Oct_12_2016	61.3	60.92	60.35	59.35	59.4	58.9	58.63(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-91	-60	-72	-148	3.29	31%	-0.05	-80.4	0.97%	0	-2.3	30	INF
24	Oct_11_2016	61.33	61.05	60.67	60.06	59.87	59.54	58.8(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-69	-50	-57	-103	3.93	31%	-0.03	-85.1	0.99%	0	-2.6	34	INF
25	Oct_10_2016	61.35	61.22	60.98	60.58	60.58	59.9	59.8(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-45	-80	-38	-64	2.52	33%		-79.9	0.98%	0	-1.7	43	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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