Trading Signals: AXP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: AXP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Express)
AXP latest price $49.8751 (-2.93%) ($49.7133 - $50.8745) on Mon. Feb. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.9% (three month average)
RSI   19
Latest Price   $49.8751(-2.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AXP declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AXP declines -4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AXP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(30%)    IVE(29%)    SPY(29%)    VYM(29%)    IWD(28%)
Factors Impacting AXP price   AXP will decline at least -0.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-10%)    XHB(-7%)    GLD(-7%)    TIP(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.95% (StdDev 1.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $37.26(-25.29%)
Resistance Level   $54.73
5 Day Moving Average   $51.12(-2.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.3(-2.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.73(-8.87%)
To recent high   -28.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $40.149b

American Express Co. engages in the provision of charge and credit card products, and travel-related services. It operates through the following segments: Global Consumer Services Group, Global Commercial Services, Global Merchant and Network Services and Corporate & Other. The Global Consumer Services Group segment issues a wide range of proprietary consumer cards globally. The Global Commercial Services segment provides proprietary corporate and small business cards, payment and expense management services, and commercial financing products. The Global Merchant and Network Services segment operates a global payments network that processes and settles card transactions, acquires merchants, and provides multi-channel marketing programs and capabilities, services, and data analytics. The Corporate & Other segment covers corporate functions and certain other businesses and operations. The company was founded by Henry Wells, William G. Fargo and John Warren Butterfield on March 28, 1850 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. AXP price fluctuates within 7.88% (three month std-dev: 1.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 2.86%(63%) Average negative next day return: -1.73%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 3.12%(88%) Average negative next three day return: -7.86%(13%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 6.99%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.58%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160308

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2016	65.84	54.73	51.3	51.12	51.2	51	49.88(-2.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-65	-20	-30	-168	11.83	16%	-0.33	-59.5	1.9%	0	-1.1	19	0
2	Feb_5_2016	66.06	55.26	51.56	51.56	51.47	51.65	51.38(-0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-38	20	10	-180	9.16	18%	-0.33	-62.7	1.88%	0	-0.9	20	0
3	Feb_4_2016	66.28	55.73	51.66	51.46	51.39	51.39	51.76(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-47	-0	12	-224	6.9	18%	-0.33	-68.8	1.88%	0	-0.9	20	0
4	Feb_3_2016	66.5	56.2	52.36	51.18	51.2	51.29	51.5(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-64	10	-4	-242	9.73	18%	-0.33	-75.6	1.88%	0	-1.1	21	0
5	Feb_2_2016	66.72	56.77	53.15	51.26	51.15	51.39	51.07(-1.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-64	30	-2	-248	11.7	18%	-0.3	-77.4	1.87%	0	-1.3	17	0

6	Feb_1_2016	66.92	57.42	53.97	51.53	51.41	51.1	52.06(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-63	-50	-1	-247	9.86	19%	-0.3	-78.5	1.87%	0	-1.2	20	0
7	Jan_29_2016	67.12	58.1	54.72	51.59	51.7	50.91	50.92(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-93	-100	-34	-268	13.98	14%	-0.31	-80.8	1.84%	0	-1.6	17	0
8	Jan_28_2016	67.33	58.88	55.65	51.89	52.05	51.71	50.33(-3.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-123	-40	-71	-279	18.02	14%	-0.31	-78.6	1.83%	0	-1.9	13	0
9	Jan_27_2016	67.54	59.72	56.62	53.75	52.77	52.48	51.89(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-105	-90	-62	-233	11.04	15%	-0.3	-69.6	1.81%	0	-1.8	14	0
10	Jan_26_2016	67.74	60.44	57.58	55.37	54.69	52.4	52.44(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-106	-330	-74	-200	12.84	15%	-0.24	-60.6	1.81%	0	-1.9	12	0

11	Jan_25_2016	67.9	61.16	58.47	56.8	56.38	53.05	52.37(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-180	-440	-169	-212	18.5	15%	-0.26	-55.3	1.81%	0	-2.3	11	0
12	Jan_22_2016	68.08	61.89	59.34	58.3	58.32	56.98	52.41(-12.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-136	-160	-124	-173	43.78	19%	-0.29	-53.4	1.85%	0	-2.8	10	0
13	Jan_21_2016	68.28	62.57	60.25	59.87	59.69	59.71	59.62(-0.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-38	-10	1	-156	8.99	26%	-0.16	-53.8	1.26%	0	-1.1	15	0
14	Jan_20_2016	68.39	62.84	60.42	59.91	59.68	59.66	59.99(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-60	-10	-13	-199	9.04	26%	-0.16	-53.8	1.26%	0	-1	15	0
15	Jan_19_2016	68.5	63.06	60.7	60.17	59.9	59.68	59.62(-0.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-66	-40	-16	-214	7.65	26%	-0.25	-53.8	1.26%	0	-1.3	19	0

16	Jan_15_2016	68.67	63.38	61.13	60.44	60.24	59.7	59.88(-0.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-79	-70	-29	-229	8.64	26%	-0.19	-55.9	1.25%	0	-1.4	18	0
17	Jan_14_2016	68.8	63.74	61.7	60.58	60.57	60.13	60.24(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-82	-50	-33	-228	6.66	26%	-0.16	-55.5	1.26%	0	-1.4	20	0
18	Jan_13_2016	68.91	64.06	62.3	60.68	60.78	60.77	59.82(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-68	0	-19	-214	11.29	26%	-0.14	-55.4	1.25%	0	-1.7	27	0
19	Jan_12_2016	69.01	64.35	62.99	60.98	60.86	61.01	61.3(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-50	10	-3	-189	7.56	29%	-0.14	-59.6	1.23%	0	-1.3	34	0
20	Jan_11_2016	69.11	64.57	63.46	61.33	60.97	60.78	60.96(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-67	-40	-30	-178	8.16	29%	-0.17	-63.3	1.22%	0	-1.7	36	0

21	Jan_8_2016	69.23	64.85	64.02	61.95	61.62	60.71	60.56(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-91	-120	-66	-165	10	29%	-0.2	-62.3	1.22%	0	-2.2	28	0
22	Jan_7_2016	69.37	65.15	64.62	63.02	62.43	61.15	60.76(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-128	-170	-121	-150	11.32	29%	-0.23	-58.3	1.22%	0	-2.5	26	0
23	Jan_6_2016	69.53	65.45	65.11	64.17	63.84	62.53	61.32(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-107	-160	-107	-107	9.75	29%	-0.23	-57.5	1.22%	0	-3	30	0
24	Jan_5_2016	69.69	65.74	65.51	65.28	65.08	63.72	63.07(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-89	-160	-98	-62	10.81	41%	-0.2	-54.2	1.18%	0	-2.6	43	0
25	Jan_4_2016	69.83	65.97	65.67	65.88	65.93	65.16	64.05(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-64	-80	-74	-32	9.25	44%		-50.4	1.28%	0	-2.3	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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