Trading Signals: AXP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 24, 2015

Trading Signals: AXP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Express)
AXP latest price $75.8015 (0.7%) ($75.2390 - $76.5889) on Tue. Feb. 24, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $75.8015(0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AXP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AXP declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AXP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(32%)    IVE(31%)    SPY(30%)    VYM(30%)    VT(29%)
Factors Impacting AXP price   AXP will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-11%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(-7%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $69.35(-8.51%)
Resistance Level   $76.79
5 Day Moving Average   $74.84(1.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75.72(0.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $76.79(-1.29%)
To recent high   -14%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $61.02b

American Express Co. engages in the provision of charge and credit card products, and travel-related services. It operates through the following segments: Global Consumer Services Group, Global Commercial Services, Global Merchant and Network Services and Corporate & Other. The Global Consumer Services Group segment issues a wide range of proprietary consumer cards globally. The Global Commercial Services segment provides proprietary corporate and small business cards, payment and expense management services, and commercial financing products. The Global Merchant and Network Services segment operates a global payments network that processes and settles card transactions, acquires merchants, and provides multi-channel marketing programs and capabilities, services, and data analytics. The Corporate & Other segment covers corporate functions and certain other businesses and operations. The company was founded by Henry Wells, William G. Fargo and John Warren Butterfield on March 28, 1850 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. AXP price fluctuates within 2.94% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.36%(43%) Average negative next day return: -1.4%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.62%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -0.93%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 1.82%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.76%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_24_2015	82.26	76.79	75.72	74.84	74.72	75.39	75.8(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	60	37	-88	10.95	35%	-0.06	-56.1	1.6%	0	-0.4	41	0
2	Feb_23_2015	82.31	76.91	76.07	74.51	74.39	74.57	75.28(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	10	32	-89	6.87	35%	-0.08	-65.4	1.6%	0	-0.7	46	0
3	Feb_20_2015	82.38	77.09	76.48	74.09	73.95	74.05	74.84(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-30	0	-6	-101	11.35	35%	-0.06	-74.1	1.59%	0	-1	50	0
4	Feb_19_2015	82.43	77.3	76.94	74.21	73.88	74.21	73.5(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	20	-19	-94	20.86	32%	-0.08	-79	1.57%	0	-1.7	42	0
5	Feb_18_2015	82.5	77.73	77.46	75.64	74.25	73.84	74.79(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-90	-39	-58	13.42	34%	-0.1	-64.4	1.56%	0	-1.3	47	0

6	Feb_17_2015	82.58	78.08	77.85	76.77	75.76	73.55	74.13(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-76	-240	-87	-41	18.58	34%	-0.08	-54.3	1.56%	0	-1.7	42	0
7	Feb_13_2015	82.65	78.42	78.19	77.88	77.51	74.65	73.2(-2.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-129	-270	-158	-43	34.87	34%	-0.1	-52.8	1.53%	0	-2.4	37	0
8	Feb_12_2015	82.73	78.8	78.52	79.18	78.92	77.97	75.45(-6.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-88	-90	-116	-3	32.65	36%	-0.1	-56.3	1.49%	0	-1.8	39	0
9	Feb_11_2015	82.81	79.12	78.72	79.98	80.03	80.37	80.63(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	30	37	83	4.37	42%	-0.01	-54.6	1.26%	0	0.8	56	0
10	Feb_10_2015	82.82	79.24	78.31	79.53	79.71	79.87	80.47(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	20	26	34	3.59	42%	-0.04	-53.3	1.26%	0	0.6	40	0

11	Feb_9_2015	82.85	79.38	77.97	79.13	79.26	79.68	79.66(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	18	40	25	-5	3.1	42%	-0.05	-54.7	1.26%	0	0.1	39	0
12	Feb_6_2015	82.89	79.6	77.79	78.6	78.89	79.55	79.69(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	43	70	65	-22	5.14	42%	-0.05	-58.9	1.26%	0	0	45	0
13	Feb_5_2015	82.93	79.88	77.68	77.79	78.03	78.85	79.43(1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	24	80	53	-64	3.97	42%	-0.05	-61.8	1.26%	0	-0.2	45	0
14	Feb_4_2015	82.97	80.12	77.61	77.28	77.3	78.22	78.38(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	20	80	58	-94	6.16	40%	-0.05	-68.3	1.26%	0	-0.6	36	0
15	Feb_3_2015	83.01	80.34	77.93	76.92	76.87	77.2	78.49(1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	30	42	-122	5.59	40%	-0.04	-79.2	1.26%	0	-0.6	31	0

16	Feb_2_2015	83.04	80.64	78.22	76.67	76.69	76.37	76.99(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-55	-30	-17	-169	5.46	37%	-0.06	-84.6	1.24%	0	-1.2	24	0
17	Jan_30_2015	83.09	81.12	78.58	76.89	76.93	76.53	75.64(-1.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-84	-30	-46	-199	7.21	36%	-0.08	-81.4	1.23%	0	-1.7	15	0
18	Jan_29_2015	83.16	81.69	79.09	77.54	77.45	77.01	76.87(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-80	-40	-37	-207	7.55	38%	-0.07	-82.8	1.22%	0	-1.6	15	0
19	Jan_28_2015	83.22	82.25	79.57	77.98	78.06	77.33	76.62(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-99	-60	-59	-219	7.94	41%	-0.06	-79	1.22%	0	-1.8	22	0
20	Jan_27_2015	83.27	82.83	80.27	79.1	78.57	77.9	77.25(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-108	-80	-81	-189	6.33	41%	-0.07	-69	1.24%	0	-1.8	33	0

21	Jan_26_2015	83.33	83.38	80.94	80.01	79.71	78.78	78.09(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-75	-90	-49	-154	6.63	41%	-0.06	-61.8	1.23%	0	-1.8	31	0
22	Jan_23_2015	83.38	83.88	81.6	80.52	80.5	79.25	78.87(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-92	-110	-70	-159	7.37	44%	-0.06	-54.6	1.23%	0	-1.7	28	0
23	Jan_22_2015	83.43	84.34	82.29	80.85	80.77	80.64	79.09(-3.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-86	-10	-64	-150	16.39	42%	-0.06	-47.4	1.26%	0	-1.9	28	0
24	Jan_21_2015	83.48	84.77	82.87	81.35	81.21	81.74	82.19(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	40	30	-124	7.19	49%	-0.02	-39.8	1.19%	0	-1	30	0
25	Jan_20_2015	83.5	85.01	82.94	81.65	81.18	80.9	81.8(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-52	-40	-16	-160	6.36	52%		-34	1.21%	0	-1.2	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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