Trading Signals: AXP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: AXP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Express)
AXP latest price $83.6479 (-0.3%) ($82.8979 - $85.4384) on Tue. Jan. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.24% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $83.6479(-0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AXP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AXP declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AXP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(32%)    IVE(31%)    SPY(30%)    VYM(30%)    VT(29%)
Factors Impacting AXP price   AXP will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-11%)    GLD(-8%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $80.33(-3.97%)
Resistance Level   $85.81
5 Day Moving Average   $84.56(-1.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $85.16(-1.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $85.81(-2.52%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   11.5%
Market Cap   $67.337b

American Express Co. engages in the provision of charge and credit card products, and travel-related services. It operates through the following segments: Global Consumer Services Group, Global Commercial Services, Global Merchant and Network Services and Corporate & Other. The Global Consumer Services Group segment issues a wide range of proprietary consumer cards globally. The Global Commercial Services segment provides proprietary corporate and small business cards, payment and expense management services, and commercial financing products. The Global Merchant and Network Services segment operates a global payments network that processes and settles card transactions, acquires merchants, and provides multi-channel marketing programs and capabilities, services, and data analytics. The Corporate & Other segment covers corporate functions and certain other businesses and operations. The company was founded by Henry Wells, William G. Fargo and John Warren Butterfield on March 28, 1850 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. AXP price fluctuates within 2.17% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.45%(64%) Average negative next day return: -0.8%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 2.42%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -2.31%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 2.94%(82%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.72%(18%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_13_2015	83.58	85.81	85.16	84.56	84.89	84.26	83.65(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-44	-40	-25	-102	3.54	52%	0	-30	1.24%	0	-1.2	33	INF
2	Jan_12_2015	83.58	85.9	85.6	84.4	85.06	84.85	83.9(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	10	-25	-99	3.23	52%	0.01	-37.1	1.29%	0	-1.1	39	INF
3	Jan_9_2015	83.57	86.06	86.02	84.55	84.89	85.53	84.76(-1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	60	1	-81	3.68	49%	0.02	-32.9	1.29%	0	-0.7	40	INF
4	Jan_8_2015	83.55	86.16	86.33	84.99	84.95	85.27	85.85(1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	20	27	-42	3.78	51%	0.04	-23.4	1.3%	0	-0.2	58	INF
5	Jan_7_2015	83.52	86.23	86.51	85.21	85.27	84.26	84.65(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-80	-43	-39	5.67	48%	0.04	-19	1.32%	0	-0.9	63	INF

6	Jan_6_2015	83.49	86.37	86.81	85.9	86	84.63	82.84(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-86	-110	-105	-28	4.81	45%	0.02	-5.4	1.32%	0	-2	49	INF
7	Jan_5_2015	83.47	86.58	87.26	86.96	87.09	86.27	84.65(-2.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-46	-60	-70	27	3.48	47%	0.05	13.9	1.29%	0	-1.2	51	INF
8	Jan_2_2015	83.43	86.66	87.54	87.65	87.74	87.36	86.94(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-8	-30	-33	67	2.45	52%	0.1	28.5	1.25%	0	0.2	49	INF
9	Dec_31_2014	83.35	86.58	87.33	87.85	88.04	87.91	86.96(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-0	-13	73	2.31	50%	0.06	32.6	1.25%	0	0.3	51	INF
10	Dec_30_2014	83.3	86.57	86.94	88	88.12	88.11	88.11(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	0	2	60	1.43	52%	0.1	40.7	1.26%	0	1	52	INF

11	Dec_29_2014	83.22	86.47	86.55	87.88	88.03	88.17	88.11(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	20	12	45	1.48	52%	0.07	45.2	1.26%	0	1.1	51	INF
12	Dec_26_2014	83.16	86.37	86.24	87.62	87.79	88.13	88.13(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	30	21	34	1.44	54%	0.13	47.8	1.26%	0	1.3	55	INF
13	Dec_24_2014	83.05	86.23	86.1	87.41	87.48	87.89	87.94(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	40	38	40	1.32	52%	0.1	49	1.3%	0	1.3	57	INF
14	Dec_23_2014	82.97	86.1	85.94	86.73	87.06	87.46	87.69(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	40	57	34	2.86	52%	0.07	39.3	1.3%	0	1.2	59	INF
15	Dec_22_2014	82.91	85.97	85.87	85.69	86.03	87.07	87.51(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	38	100	50	2	2.91	51%	0.08	20.4	1.3%	0	1.2	51	INF

16	Dec_19_2014	82.84	85.81	85.82	85.02	85.07	86.66	86.83(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	63	130	83	1	7.17	51%	0.06	4.8	1.31%	0	0.8	52	INF
17	Dec_18_2014	82.79	85.71	85.78	84.66	84.49	85	87.09(3.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	41	40	61	-18	4.55	52%	0.02	-4.8	1.31%	0	1.1	52	INF
18	Dec_17_2014	82.77	85.58	85.64	84.65	84.36	83.48	84.53(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-80	-50	-63	5.2	50%	-0.01	-8.4	1.26%	0	-0.9	48	INF
19	Dec_16_2014	82.78	85.6	85.74	85.09	85.29	83.98	82.48(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-86	-100	-91	-69	4.95	48%	-0.04	-2.8	1.23%	0	-2.6	40	INF
20	Dec_15_2014	82.81	85.71	86.21	86.04	86.18	85.24	84.16(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-67	-70	-81	-25	4.77	50%	-0.01	13.2	1.21%	0	-1.5	48	INF

21	Dec_12_2014	82.82	85.75	86.43	86.7	86.69	86.6	85.06(-2.29%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.6	-21	-10	-35	23	4.49	49%	-0.02	25.6	1.2%	0	-0.7	56	INF
22	Dec_11_2014	82.84	85.76	86.58	87.01	86.99	87.12	87.05(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	36	10	25	68	4.42	52%	0	32.5	1.17%	0	1.3	65	INF
23	Dec_10_2014	82.84	85.68	86.43	86.77	86.76	86.78	86.69(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	0	10	60	4.66	52%	0	23.4	1.17%	0	1.1	65	INF
24	Dec_9_2014	82.84	85.63	86.31	86.49	86.46	86.86	87.26(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	30	11	57	4.09	51%	0	17.8	1.17%	0	1.8	68	INF
25	Dec_8_2014	82.84	85.57	86.09	86.42	86.29	86.74	87.45(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	45	30	36	70	4.47	50%		24.8	1.18%	0	2.2	72	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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