Trading Signals: AWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 22, 2013

Trading Signals: AWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Apr. 23, 2008 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(American Water Works Company Inc.)
AWK latest price $43.1100 (1.2%) ($42.5100 - $43.2200) on Mon. Jul. 22, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.04% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $43.1100(1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AWK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AWK advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AWK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(79%)    XLP(61%)    SPY(48%)    JNK(44%)    XLK(41%)
Factors Impacting AWK price   AWK will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(3%)    USO(5%)    TLT(5%)    SHY(9%)    OIH(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.49(1.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.25(2.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.33(4.31%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.4%
Market Cap   $7.812b

American Water Works Co., Inc. engages in the provision of complementary water and wastewater services. It operates through the following segments: Regulated Businesses, Market-Based Businesses, and Other. The Regulated Businesses segment provides water and wastewater services to customers. The Market-Based Businesses segment is responsible for Military Services Group, Contract Operations Group, Homeowner Services Group, and Keystone Operations. The Other segment includes corporate costs that are not allocated to the Company's operating segments, eliminations of inter-segment transactions, fair value adjustments and associated income and deductions related to the acquisitions that have not been allocated to the operating segments for evaluation of performance and allocation of resource purposes. The company was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Camden, NJ.

$. AWK price fluctuates within 2.61% (three month std-dev: 1.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 0.77%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.17%(44%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 1.76%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -1.55%(44%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 2.19%(59%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.4%(41%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130822

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_22_2013	41.17	41.33	42.25	42.49	42.45	42.64	43.11(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	55	30	21	156	0.68	50%	0.1	52.5	1.04%	0	1.6	82	0
2	Jul_19_2013	41.13	41.15	42.05	42.43	42.38	42.3	42.6(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	-20	8	146	0.52	48%	0.07	45.3	1.04%	0	1.4	61	0
3	Jul_18_2013	41.1	41	41.82	42.3	42.37	42.26	42.32(0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	32	-10	-2	134	0.84	48%	0.07	37.1	1.04%	0	1.3	65	0
4	Jul_17_2013	41.07	40.91	41.65	42.21	42.27	42.45	42.11(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	30	5	136	0.5	48%	0.07	37.3	1.04%	0	1.2	65	0
5	Jul_16_2013	41.04	40.85	41.44	42.14	42.17	42.47	42.32(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	60	50	33	141	0.81	52%	0.07	43.4	1.04%	0	1.5	68	0

6	Jul_15_2013	41.01	40.78	41.2	41.97	41.92	42.09	42.79(1.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	59	20	34	134	0.7	50%	0.07	47.5	1.08%	0	2.2	76	0
7	Jul_12_2013	40.98	40.67	41.03	41.61	41.65	41.86	41.96(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	40	26	127	0.69	47%	0.07	49.7	1.1%	0	1.7	72	0
8	Jul_11_2013	40.95	40.61	40.87	41.28	41.39	41.76	41.87(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	58	70	38	119	0.78	47%	0.05	46.9	1.1%	0	1.8	70	0
9	Jul_10_2013	40.93	40.54	40.7	40.99	41.01	41.43	41.75(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	58	70	45	98	0.64	49%	0.05	45.6	1.1%	0	1.9	57	0
10	Jul_9_2013	40.91	40.44	40.53	40.62	40.64	41.02	41.46(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	46	70	42	58	0.62	49%	0.02	33.1	1.11%	0	1.7	50	0

11	Jul_8_2013	40.9	40.35	40.33	40.33	40.29	40.59	41.01(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	12	50	14	5	0.7	50%	0.05	16.3	1.1%	0	1.2	48	0
12	Jul_5_2013	40.88	40.29	40.17	40.37	40.26	40.27	40.29(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	3	-10	8	-13	0.47	48%	0.05	18.7	1.08%	0	0	43	0
13	Jul_3_2013	40.86	40.28	40.1	40.41	40.39	39.98	40.46(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-70	-13	-36	0.93	48%	0.02	12.9	1.08%	0	0.3	46	0
14	Jul_2_2013	40.85	40.28	40.11	40.37	40.49	40.24	39.9(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-30	-32	-46	1.53	45%	0.02	0.7	1.07%	0	-0.6	46	0
15	Jul_1_2013	40.84	40.24	40.23	40.41	40.62	40.8	39.98(-3.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	8	50	13	-9	1.27	45%	0.02	-11.3	1.07%	0	-0.5	53	0

16	Jun_28_2013	40.83	40.26	40.33	40.3	40.45	40.74	41.23(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	37	60	46	10	1.53	51%	0.05	-24.6	1%	0	1.7	64	0
17	Jun_27_2013	40.81	40.19	40.29	39.94	40.02	40.44	40.46(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	21	80	32	-11	0.65	48%	0.05	-59.7	0.98%	0	0.5	58	0
18	Jun_26_2013	40.79	40.21	40.33	39.76	39.76	40.15	40.26(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	17	70	28	-16	0.49	48%	0.07	-76.3	0.98%	0	0.1	54	0
19	Jun_25_2013	40.76	40.24	40.35	39.84	39.64	39.59	40.13(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-8	-20	-6	-12	0.85	48%	0.05	-77.1	0.98%	0	-0.2	58	0
20	Jun_24_2013	40.74	40.31	40.33	40.04	39.89	39.36	39.4(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-40	-100	-50	-11	0.78	45%	0.02	-74.5	0.95%	0	-1.4	48	0

21	Jun_21_2013	40.73	40.4	40.39	40.37	40.37	39.69	39.45(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-51	-120	-69	4	1.27	45%	0.02	-70.8	0.95%	0	-1.5	42	0
22	Jun_20_2013	40.72	40.52	40.45	40.69	40.8	40.42	39.57(-2.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-31	-60	-54	38	0.79	45%	0.02	-61.2	0.95%	0	-1.4	48	0
23	Jun_19_2013	40.71	40.64	40.51	40.95	41.04	41.05	40.64(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	10	-3	73	0.86	49%	0.05	-52.6	0.9%	0	0	46	0
24	Jun_18_2013	40.69	40.73	40.41	40.92	40.96	41.18	41.16(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	40	30	67	0.94	52%	0.1	-44.7	0.88%	0	0.5	50	0
25	Jun_17_2013	40.65	40.8	40.27	40.66	40.78	41.02	41.05(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	50	43	21	1.34	52%		-44.8	0.88%	0	0.3	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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