Trading Signals: AWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 7, 2012

Trading Signals: AWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Apr. 23, 2008 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(American Water Works Company Inc.)
AWK latest price $37.8900 (-0.71%) ($37.8700 - $38.4900) on Tue. Aug. 7, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $37.8900(-0.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AWK advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AWK advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AWK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(78%)    XLP(60%)    SPY(48%)    JNK(43%)    XLK(41%)
Factors Impacting AWK price   AWK will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(3%)    TLT(4%)    USO(6%)    SHY(9%)    OIH(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.23(1.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.78(3.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.26(4.5%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   14.8%
Market Cap   $6.866b

American Water Works Co., Inc. engages in the provision of complementary water and wastewater services. It operates through the following segments: Regulated Businesses, Market-Based Businesses, and Other. The Regulated Businesses segment provides water and wastewater services to customers. The Market-Based Businesses segment is responsible for Military Services Group, Contract Operations Group, Homeowner Services Group, and Keystone Operations. The Other segment includes corporate costs that are not allocated to the Company's operating segments, eliminations of inter-segment transactions, fair value adjustments and associated income and deductions related to the acquisitions that have not been allocated to the operating segments for evaluation of performance and allocation of resource purposes. The company was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Camden, NJ.

$. AWK price fluctuates within 2.4% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 21 Average positive next day return: 0.96%(43%) Average negative next day return: -1.44%(57%) Sample size 21 Average positive next three day return: 2.25%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -2.57%(52%) Sample size 21 Average positive next weekly return: 2.41%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.07%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_7_2012	34.37	36.26	36.78	37.23	37.54	38.1	37.89(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	60	130	41	115	0.84	65%	0.12	71.3	1%	0	1.9	69	0
2	Aug_6_2012	34.33	36.12	36.6	36.91	37.12	37.89	38.16(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	83	160	74	110	0.93	65%	0.15	67.4	0.99%	0	2.5	75	0
3	Aug_3_2012	34.28	35.94	36.4	36.62	36.72	36.99	37.62(3.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	62	60	52	90	1.18	63%	0.12	70.2	0.98%	0	2.4	73	0
4	Aug_2_2012	34.24	35.79	36.24	36.42	36.46	36.34	36.25(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-20	-3	67	0.76	57%	0.06	76.1	0.87%	0	0.7	63	0
5	Aug_1_2012	34.22	35.72	36.21	36.35	36.49	36.45	36.25(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	0	5	83	0.94	57%	0.06	81.3	0.87%	0	0.8	70	0

6	Jul_31_2012	34.2	35.65	36.18	36.35	36.35	36.58	36.25(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	28	50	7	90	0.77	57%	0.06	85.6	0.88%	0	0.9	70	0
7	Jul_30_2012	34.18	35.57	36.12	36.23	36.22	36.54	36.71(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	52	60	32	113	0.55	58%	0.09	94.6	0.87%	0	1.7	73	0
8	Jul_27_2012	34.15	35.45	36	36.16	36.11	36.12	36.63(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	-0	23	114	1.14	60%	0.09	101.1	0.88%	0	1.8	75	0
9	Jul_26_2012	34.12	35.32	35.88	36.04	36.02	35.91	35.92(0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-20	-12	108	0.65	56%	0.06	99.5	0.85%	0	0.9	71	0
10	Jul_25_2012	34.1	35.22	35.79	36.05	36.04	36.09	35.64(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	25	10	-6	117	0.69	58%	0.06	94.1	0.85%	0	0.6	69	0

11	Jul_24_2012	34.08	35.11	35.72	36.12	36.02	36.13	36.26(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	10	22	144	0.58	65%	0.06	84	0.83%	0	1.4	80	0
12	Jul_23_2012	34.06	34.96	35.6	35.98	35.91	35.99	36.33(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	48	10	19	135	0.86	60%	0.06	71.5	0.85%	0	1.6	83	0
13	Jul_20_2012	34.04	34.81	35.45	35.81	35.79	35.92	36.07(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	20	18	124	0.48	62%	0.06	64.8	0.88%	0	1.5	85	0
14	Jul_19_2012	34.02	34.67	35.32	35.69	35.65	35.82	35.93(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	30	28	129	0.3	62%	0.06	59.6	0.89%	0	1.5	86	0
15	Jul_18_2012	34	34.55	35.19	35.49	35.49	35.65	35.99(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	55	30	31	128	0.8	62%	0.06	53.3	0.89%	0	1.7	89	0

16	Jul_17_2012	33.98	34.44	35.07	35.27	35.27	35.48	35.6(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	48	40	21	130	0.66	62%	0.06	49.3	0.88%	0	1.5	90	0
17	Jul_16_2012	33.96	34.35	34.97	35.17	35.12	35.32	35.45(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	57	40	26	149	0.56	62%	0.06	48.6	0.89%	0	1.5	90	0
18	Jul_13_2012	33.94	34.26	34.86	35.04	35.04	35.05	35.5(1.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	55	0	22	154	0.55	60%	0.03	42.9	0.89%	0	1.8	85	0
19	Jul_12_2012	33.93	34.18	34.71	34.88	34.92	34.92	34.92(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	35	0	-2	145	0.46	59%	0.03	37.6	0.87%	0	1.2	78	0
20	Jul_11_2012	33.92	34.12	34.6	34.84	34.87	35.03	34.9(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	30	10	151	0.61	59%	0.06	29.5	0.88%	0	1.3	75	0

21	Jul_10_2012	33.9	34.07	34.45	34.83	34.8	34.91	35.06(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	53	20	21	149	0.79	56%	0.03	28.7	0.88%	0	1.8	70	0
22	Jul_9_2012	33.89	34	34.27	34.75	34.66	34.72	34.83(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	0	11	124	0.42	54%	0.03	27.3	0.89%	0	1.6	65	0
23	Jul_6_2012	33.88	33.97	34.12	34.64	34.61	34.69	34.71(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	10	16	109	0.81	54%	0.03	24.1	0.9%	0	1.5	67	0
24	Jul_5_2012	33.87	33.97	33.99	34.5	34.53	34.61	34.72(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	20	24	90	0.46	54%	0.03	18.5	0.9%	0	1.7	60	0
25	Jul_3_2012	33.86	33.95	33.87	34.32	34.3	34.52	34.82(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	40	31	68	0.49	52%		15.9	0.92%	0	1.9	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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