Trading Signals: AWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 21, 2011

Trading Signals: AWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Apr. 23, 2008 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(American Water Works Company Inc.)
AWK latest price $30.2900 (0.4%) ($30.0400 - $30.6600) on Wed. Sep. 21, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.14% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $30.2900(0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AWK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AWK advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AWK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(77%)    XLP(60%)    SPY(48%)    JNK(43%)    XLK(41%)
Factors Impacting AWK price   AWK will decline at least -1.07% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(2%)    IGOV(5%)    USO(7%)    SHY(8%)    TIP(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.07% (StdDev 2.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.88(1.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.49(2.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.4(3.03%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.6%
Market Cap   $5.489b

American Water Works Co., Inc. engages in the provision of complementary water and wastewater services. It operates through the following segments: Regulated Businesses, Market-Based Businesses, and Other. The Regulated Businesses segment provides water and wastewater services to customers. The Market-Based Businesses segment is responsible for Military Services Group, Contract Operations Group, Homeowner Services Group, and Keystone Operations. The Other segment includes corporate costs that are not allocated to the Company's operating segments, eliminations of inter-segment transactions, fair value adjustments and associated income and deductions related to the acquisitions that have not been allocated to the operating segments for evaluation of performance and allocation of resource purposes. The company was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Camden, NJ.

$. AWK price fluctuates within 1.7% (three month std-dev: 2.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.28%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.02%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.53%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -1.05%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.64%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.28%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111021

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_21_2011	29.07	29.4	29.49	29.88	29.96	30.23	30.29(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	70	15	27	1.67	53%	0.03	101.2	2.14%	0	1.8	54	0
2	Sep_20_2011	29.06	29.29	29.41	29.73	29.84	29.86	30.17(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	20	16	20	1.83	53%	0.03	78.8	2.14%	0	1.6	55	0
3	Sep_19_2011	29.05	29.16	29.3	29.46	29.62	29.69	29.5(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	30	6	-1	0.84	51%	0	45.5	2.12%	0	0.5	50	0
4	Sep_16_2011	29.05	29.05	29.29	29.27	29.4	29.82	29.69(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	13	110	18	-3	1.04	52%	0	24.7	2.13%	0	0.9	58	0
5	Sep_15_2011	29.05	28.96	29.28	29.07	29.04	29.55	29.77(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	12	120	17	-5	1	51%	0.03	13.4	2.13%	0	1.1	64	0

6	Sep_14_2011	29.04	28.9	29.28	29.04	28.84	28.98	29.53(2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	10	9	-1	1.34	52%	0.03	23.8	2.13%	0	0.9	58	0
7	Sep_13_2011	29.03	28.87	29.27	29.05	28.92	28.52	28.83(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-110	-9	5	0.91	50%	0	31.7	2.11%	0	-0.1	62	0
8	Sep_12_2011	29.03	28.88	29.34	29.11	29.11	28.7	28.52(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-12	-100	-23	21	1.12	50%	0	57	2.11%	0	-0.5	64	0
9	Sep_9_2011	29.03	28.87	29.34	29.31	29.28	29.31	28.68(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	4	0	-13	53	1.34	50%	0	69.6	2.11%	0	-0.3	68	0
10	Sep_8_2011	29.03	28.86	29.4	29.5	29.38	29.53	29.66(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	20	6	80	1.02	53%	0.03	82.8	2.07%	0	1.1	68	0

11	Sep_7_2011	29.02	28.73	29.32	29.5	29.42	29.53	29.56(1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	20	-50	-1	83	1.19	53%	0.07	67.1	2.07%	0	1	58	0
12	Sep_6_2011	29	28.64	29.17	29.52	29.49	29.24	29.14(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-60	-13	72	1.11	53%	0.03	70.3	2.06%	0	0.6	52	0
13	Sep_2_2011	28.99	28.47	29.02	29.59	29.59	29.61	29.49(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	0	0	69	1.02	52%	0.03	46.1	2.05%	0	1	53	0
14	Sep_1_2011	28.98	28.37	28.81	29.5	29.56	29.75	29.65(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	50	16	62	0.94	51%	0.03	42.4	2.05%	0	1.2	61	0
15	Aug_31_2011	28.97	28.26	28.63	29.28	29.26	29.57	29.78(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	70	15	44	0.96	51%	0.07	35.2	2.06%	0	1.6	59	0

16	Aug_30_2011	28.95	28.18	28.5	29.08	29.01	29.38	29.56(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	80	25	54	0.74	51%	0.07	32.2	2.06%	0	1.5	69	0
17	Aug_29_2011	28.93	28.08	28.42	28.77	28.75	28.95	29.49(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	50	27	47	0.84	51%	0	17.1	2.07%	0	1.6	59	0
18	Aug_26_2011	28.93	28	28.36	28.37	28.36	28.65	29.02(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	70	19	55	0.93	51%	0.03	-2.1	2.06%	0	1.3	69	0
19	Aug_25_2011	28.92	27.94	28.27	28.01	28.11	28.55	28.54(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	120	20	44	0.83	53%	0	-23.6	2.05%	0	0.8	56	0
20	Aug_24_2011	28.92	27.92	28.26	27.89	27.78	28.08	28.79(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	60	13	43	0.95	53%	0	-36.6	2.08%	0	1.1	56	0

21	Aug_23_2011	28.92	27.89	28.07	27.85	27.7	27.66	28(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	1	-30	-6	21	1.65	50%	0	-43.9	2.05%	0	0.1	50	0
22	Aug_22_2011	28.92	27.93	28.06	28.03	27.97	27.49	27.51(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-9	-130	-21	28	1.44	50%	-0.03	-37.4	2.04%	0	-0.5	51	0
23	Aug_19_2011	28.93	28.01	27.9	28.34	28.3	27.73	27.23(-2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-18	-150	-30	20	1.98	51%	-0.03	-25.5	2.03%	0	-0.9	48	0
24	Aug_18_2011	28.94	28.12	27.93	28.54	28.63	28.46	27.9(-2.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-30	-16	33	2.02	53%	0	-19	2.02%	0	-0.2	51	0
25	Aug_17_2011	28.94	28.21	27.9	28.67	28.75	28.86	28.61(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	40	18	49	1.06	55%		-13.4	2%	0	0.4	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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